Mole
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Its not over yet folks.
Looks like turning colder, with skies clearing and winds turning South Easterly by the end of the week, which will bring in much drier air eventually from the continent and get rid of this marginal for snow rubbish we on the coasts have had to put up with this cold spell.
Met office agree too
Cold with bright spells and some sleet or snow showers. Strong winds becoming light and variable by Saturday, then freshening from the southeast on Sunday with SNOW into Hampshire later.
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Evening all,
I hate this awful rain!!! I have to say I was delighted to be at work today (Chilworth at bottom of M3) - it snowed beautifully for a few hours, really heavy sometimes too - the office closed early as it was really coming down and I got back to Pompey to rain.
And it's still raining...... to make matters worse, imagine how much snow that would have produced (oh those further inland don't have to imagine lol) Ahr well, a night of the soaps for me instead :smiliz19:Yes the difference between the coasts and driving just a few miles inland is just crazy during this cold spell.From virtually nothing here to inches of the stuff inland plus temps at least 7 degress colder inland.Its like we are living in a different country
I've given up of seeing any decent snow this cold spell,at least the last one produced one substantial fall of snow on the coast even if the snow on the ground lasted less than 48 hours due to the wind suddenly swtiching onshore
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Looks like rain is back for guys on the S.coast, no doubt Chichester has rain which is probably causing quite a quick thaw...no white Xmas (in terms of snow on the ground!) for you guys close to the coast it seems...shame really...
Forecast I saw SE today showed the rain turning back to snow on the coast once the wind finally backs offshore again
, with up to 20cm on the South downs.Still chucking it down with rain at the moment though.temp 3c
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RAINING
However looking at the local forecast she mentioned up to 20cm on the South downs,so I presume when the wind backs offshore later its all going to turn to snow.Here's hoping anyway.
Going to be terrible driving conditions by the morning wether you have had further snow or rain which will freeze solid later with temps down to -3c on the coasts and much colder inland.
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Excellent forecast their
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BBC latest forecast going for snow into NE Scotland Friday,so is this some change because I though all areas in the N and E of the country were at risk.
The BBC do like like to underplay cold weather so it comes as no surprise expect much more widespread snow by Friday.
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Awful forecast.
"Things are set to get a lot colder" when it shows maxes of 4-7c on Friday, which is what we had this weekend
That can't be correct,we barely reached much higher than that today,and the BBC are still showing those sort of temps with much colder air coming across from Scandenavia by then.
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bit harsh.
i think its a very likely outcome and i reckon there be pretty close to there forecast well done net weather.
"Very likely outcome"
Don't make me laugh.Its nothing more than an educated guess.sure it might be close but then again it could be miles out.
With so many winter forecasts coming out now,why these companies don't just admit its an educated guess instead of using words like "will be" or "very likely" is beyond me.
Its just making themselves open to ridicule with their credibilty falling through the floor,if their forecasts turn out to be a long way out.
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Any ideas for next winter yet fred
hoping for another wintry one with minimum sun spot activity. GFS 12z is looking like a warm up in FI with the cold snap early next week becoming downgraded with every gfs run, shows hp in control with sunny days and a touch of overnight frost with some mist followed by warmer winds from a southerly source.
Now we have the uk 12 met model going for a wintry blast ,and its been against this idea for the past few days,the ecm is also in favor,and surprise surprise the12 gfs backtracks,it seems we can never get cross model agreement-what a joke these models are sometimes.
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Yes, but the difference so far today, is that the UKMO has moved much closer to the GFS scenario!
Karyo
Yes its the same old story,lol, in that we can never get cross model agreement on a cold spell.Still its 2vs 1 and Ecm has a tendency to flip flop a lot as was seen during the winter
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I would say that we are now looking at a greater than 50% chance of an Easterly of sorts occuring in about 5 days time (that's just jinxed it it then!
).Seriously though, there is universal agreement both from the computer models and human forecasters that a block will form over or above us come the end of next week. I didn't buy the SSE/SE feed that was being shown a few days ago and most have now binned that for a much more likely Easterly - North Easterly. Of course, as we get into the higher resolution we can for sure expect the details to change but I'm fairly confident that we will be, at worst, under the influence of high pressure bringing us settled, dry and frosty conditions. At best, be at the mercy of a roaring Easterly with blizzards for many (possibly the first time this winter that this word could be used correctly, for the south at least).
So something like the blizzard of March 1891 isn't entirely out of the question is what you are saying-excellent.
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Pretty good agreement from the models of an E,ly developing.
http://www.wetterzen...cs/Recm1681.gif
This chart from the NOGAPS is very alarming.
http://91.121.94.83/...0-180.png?27-18
What has been noticeable in some of the model runs isn't just a cold E,ly but how strong the flow could be. The wind chill effect on the NOGAPS chart could be incredible!
Trouble is we have seen quite a few extremly bitter Easterlies at the t+144 time-range which have never materilised or have just missed us this winter.The credibility off all weather models beyond t+144 is so poor is best to ignore them.
I think despite this being a cold winter,i still think we have missed out on an exceptionally cold- winter,by just missing out on the extremly cold air out to the N AND E ,apart from mid Dec,and again the early part of Jan.
Close,but still a frustating Winter in my book,and i dont think the models have performed very well either
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UK meto Model 12 h run not keen on any spring like weather.Looks like the gfs has gone off on one of its odd runs again.
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Everything is further south than expedcted this morning. Sussex and Kent may see some sleet showers but thats all IMO. Tonight there may be some sleet / snow in north of the region then rain next week i'm afraid. Its looking unlikely that things will change in our favour, its looking marginal for areas south of Manchester / North midlands now.
Yes not very inspiring for us in the SE is it,everything needs to move 3oo miles further South,but its not loking like happening i'm afraid
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Anyone South of the M4 is more likely to see sleet or rain in the coming week,unless you live on the highest ground,is how i read the current situation.
And it's still raining...... to make matters worse, imagine how much snow that would have produced (oh those further inland don't have to imagine lol) Ahr well, a night of the soaps for me instead :smiliz19:
, with up to 20cm on the South downs.
Don't make me laugh.
hoping for another wintry one with minimum sun spot activity. 
).
Central Southern England - Cold Spell Discussion Part 7
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
And it could be a long wait for the next cold spell with none of the models wanting to bring any really cold air to the uk.
Although here on the coast it was nothing special.The previous cold spell was far better hopefully a repeat of that would be nice.Don't bet on it though.