EllyTech
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Posts posted by EllyTech
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2 minutes ago, davechesh said:
The only decent looking cloud near me just got ripped in 2 by an Emirates A380 on its descent to Manchester, thanks
Don't want to predict what will or will not turn up but its good to see clear sunny skies in between potent convective cells, any claggyness will mess up storm cells.
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4 minutes ago, dave reid said:
Change of plans.
The storm I was gonna chase towards peterbourgh has died.
Gonna head east towards Cambridge and intercept the north London cells
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5 minutes ago, lancem said:
Why? It's so far away and is barely active compared to what's heading into the south east
I'd like to try to answer, because I'm an enthusiast.. but don't want to come across with a certainty as the tools to examine it aren't at my disposal. But very severe cells .. supercell that are potentially tornadic in nature have less lighting, but more extreme strikes, they cycle up and down, stay very compact ... they can 'float' over your head and yet a mile away drop a severe hail core, blow the cobwebs away with very strong winds and drop a funnel. I have my eye on it.
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7 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:
Wonderful structure on this storm in the far North
If I was looking for something tornadic, it would be that sort of thing.. see the fan tail? Like a plume of feathers parted.
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1 minute ago, Cloud 10 said:
Huge anvil from that storm,looks like a super-cell going off Sat.Pic.
Could you detect any rotation?
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2 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:
I’m both optimistic and concerned here.
If you look at the sat you can see the kind of line from the north west clump, south east clump and one further in France.
Now if they stay clumped along the axis then we here may get nothing but equally we could see convection develop roughly in a line between them.
Large system.. and I think thats a good point. Is it not supportive of massive convection throughout the whole of this line? Quite dangerous too, as it chucks out storm cells ahead and to the side of the cell line.
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Whispering... <Canterbury>
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There's a fantastic MCS in central France and air masses look related to our Channel cluster. I feel that once those cells make it to our shore proper, things will begin to go bonkers and sferics will spit out all over the place.. new daughter cells developing as the night progresses. Just a guess/wish.
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Just now, Flash bang flash bang etc said:
On UKWW it’s been mentioned that the storms in the channel won’t cross to our shores. They are surface based and the channel will supposedly keep killing them off
Conditions are great, it might cycle down but it will jolly well cycle back up when it reaches our shores imo.
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1 minute ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:
I’m going to head to Firle and see if I can catch the side of that system in the channel
Wish we had doplar.. looking at the forecasted radar, there seems to be rotation on the hail core. Taking the East flank of that/those cells would be a great place to observe. Good luck down there.
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I think Canterbury is the place to be today
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Just now, Harsh Climate said:
Wow that sucks for north midlands, north and north west england, I do hope it's wrong! About 75% of forcasts/maps go for the areas I just mentioned at highest risk of severe storms.
Just a question; we have moisture moving up through the midlands from the South, and we also have all the conducive conditions in place .. surely that will spark storms right here?
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2 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:
The radar is very uninspiring
The SE corner of England is being compensated for the storms they missed Tuesday. Quite a lively couple of cells about to hit the shores in that area.
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One has to sit for a while to let it sink in.. Xcweather: Cambridge @ 15.20 pm 38C!
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Temp coming down a tad here too.. but it doesn't feel like it because the humidity is rising
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Though I've only got the shape of rainfall radar to go by, it does look like there's a very decent 'hook' on the cell coming to our shores from Le Harve/Dieppe.. complete hail core (but weakening slightly over the channel). ..
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7 minutes ago, CheesepuffScott said:
My bedroom is up to 30.2°C and the heat hasn't even started radiating through the walls and loft as it does after about 6pm, so phew!
Gosh, Cheese.. I have the same problem.. not at home yet but later it will be scorchio. Luckily, I have a portable air con unit ... but its too noisy to use late at night .. so I want a storm and a cool off asap.
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Just now, chris55 said:
It really ‘feels’ incredibly hot, the humidity along with the super high temps are getting on for the hottest I’ve ever experienced in the UK.
Incredible heat.
Agree. The wind is a very disappointing 'cooler'. Very odd to feel such a hot breeze. The shade is no respite. Bring on some electricity!
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Staverton Airport, Gloucs, 34C. That's 4C higher than the GFS forecast 06z.
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Sferic just SE of Northleach, Gloucs. A bit of activity moving up through the Eastern border of Wales, recent activity around Shabdon Aerodrome NW of Leominster and East of - Tenbury Wells.
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Xcweather: Cambridge reporting 37C @ 13.20
Sorry, just saw Mizzle posted this
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50/50 cloud. Temp 90F Humidity 41% Dewpoint 63F
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1 minute ago, Mapantz said:
Dew point record gone for a burton - 21.4°C
Yay!
33C Staverton/Gloucester airport. Dew points not to phenomenal, 17C.
Its not even the hottest part of the day yet, looking forward to seeing where this all goes.
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Clouding over here. Temps haven't budged, which to me means they are obviously rising in clearances.
Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
The MCS shift to the East is Marked. We have hours yet so lets not give up hope. Those in the far SE missed out on Tuesday so pleased they have seen some action. Its looking a dead loss for me, so far West but there are showers around so the moisture is there..