WaitingForMackerel

Nothing to speak of yet in my area, it has been gusting 25-30 mph for the last few hours, very little rain. I expect to be feeling some bigger gusts by midnight.

Looking forward to this, the first decent storm of autumn. Shame it will be in the middle of the night when i will be asleep. Nothing that out of the ordinary for my location at this time of year, we would usually have several forcast of this magnitude over the year. Met office have gusts to 54mph with Netweather forcasting gusts of 50mph both in the early hours of the morning. Will be very surprised to see anything other than maybe one or two gusts over 50 mph here, you never know though!.

Been doing some more reading on this. Trying to get a handle on whether Lord Stirlings claims are possible. First of all he should be banging on about the direct ecological impact of the dispersants. They sound nasty to say the least. It sounds like it is better if they are not used, we would have to put up with seeing the oil, but it would overall be less damaging. I have read that numerous plumes of oil have been discovered, at a variety of depths, sizes and locations. Not all of these can be attributed to the BP oil spil, some are from from oil that naturally leaks out from the sea bed and i assuue other are from previous spills. Results from testing found a density of 0.5 ppm in the water column. Nowhere is their accurate data about the gulf current depths and speeds. As has been covered pretty well earlier, they vary and move. The gulf current looks very unstable to my eyes, with the eddies forming and breaking off of the main current periodically. This is truly a dynamic system and is never in a fixed equilibrim state. With that i find it hard to belive that a plume of oil could dramatically effect the state of the current, especially plumes that could have been their for many years. There is a massive amount of water moving, with a huge amount of momentum, driven externally by the trade winds. The gulf loop is created as a result of water flowing in to the gulf of mexico, so to stop the current the energy source would have to be cut off. The breaking of the gulf loop in june probably served to actually reduce the amount of polluted water flowing into NAD, itslef being driven by the sinking of water off of Greenland. From a different angle for the plumes to be suspended the dispersed tiny oil droplets have to be at the same density as the surrounding water , so no net change in the water density. I dont know how methane dissoved in the sea water could effect the density of the sea water. Viscosity could certainly be affected, but this would only have an impact if concentrations were significant. The oil is in the form of tiny discrete droplets, dispersed at a low concentration, for them to alter the viscosity they would have to come into physical contact with each other. I just dont think that the flowing water would really notice that the oil is there. Allthough i have read articles that quote scientists as saying that in places it could be the consistency of thin salad dressing. This sounds slightly more concentrated than the 0.5ppm. I do think we will be feeling the reprucussions of the deepwater horizon oil spill for years, but it will not be in the form of the NAD ceasing,. It is the marine creatures of the gulf that i feel for most. One piece i read stated that in places as much as 2 inches of oil lay on the sea floor, thats not going to help life down there.

I could not agree more mesocyclone. I have been digging for at least an hour trying to find anything about Tim Alexander "The Lord of Stirling". With statements like he made in that video i assumed he would be a reputable climate scientist. I have found virtually nothing of real use about him. There are only a few references which are not links to articles from his website and most of them are forum posts much like here. One interesting hit was on a wikipedia disscusstion page which seems to be debateing weather he should be named as the current holders of the 20 or so titles he claims to hold. He has about 10 degrees in various disaplines none of which look like climate science. I would treat everything he says with a bucket of salt. He does seem to be a lover of the conspiracy theories, which worries me. I feel conspiracy theorists have made their mind up before they have seen all of the evidence and will point blank refute any evidence contrary to their belief. Maybe some of the science he talks about is correct, but i always like the saying that even a broken clock is right twice a day. My opinion , He is a Charlatan. This link is worth a look at My link

Thought i would add my two cents. In Pembrokeshire the traditional roofing method is to grout the roof, that is basically rendering the roof with mortar. It originated because of the low quality of local slate and the difficulty getting a weather seal. It prevents the rain from getting blown up between the slates amd also stops them rattling.