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FROZENFOOT

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Posts posted by FROZENFOOT

  1. Is anyone else getting excited? A few comments:

    1) Radar shows precip over NW Wales currently, any reports as to whether this is rain, snow, or non-existent (i.e. radar anaprop, evaporating before it hits the ground, etc?) This wasn't modelled, but is now showing on the latest GFS, NAE and (to some extent) NMM runs. It isn't likely to amount to much but yet again shows the difficulty in forecasting precip.

    2) There is likley to be some light precip around tomorrow, which should be snow in the east of Wales, may be rain out west. This doesn't really have much bearing on what happens Friday.

    3) The 12z models for Friday look similar to the 0z to me (from a quick glance not any close analysis) no real upgrade or downgrade either way. One thing I'd like to say though is people are talking about a snow to rain event, but it may be the other way round, i.e. start as rain but turn to snow as the low pressure undercuts and the winders back SErly, or it might be snow to rain to snow again. So please no premature moaning, only moan when you are sure you have missed out!

    can i expect to see snow here friday and saturday mike ? hay/glasbury area
  2. feeling totally confused ..

    some say........... rain no snow

    some say .......lots of snow all weekend.

    some say .....no snow just cold.

    some say.........snow turning to rain.

    some say .........hard luck you are in the snow hope postcode lottery .........it could be you.

    can anyone here give us a little clue as to what really is the most likelihood of this weekend>

  3. Yes I think so, should be there now? If not it may just be missing you East, but as others are saying it should veer later. It's mostly missing me tbh just getting a bit of light snow on the edge, if it were just 10miles west and I'd be right in the thick of it.

    nothing here at all , rained most of the day ,

    will keep an eye on my lamppost.

  4. all of my daughters were born in february starting in 1979 up to 1989 and there has always been snow lying on the ground or falling around that time ( born 5th / 14th / 15th . i think that after the new year we will see huge snow falls maybe middle jan begining february, and i think this for no reason apart from thinking it might happen. :)

  5. this will be only about the 2nd time i have not seen it either snowing , or a lot of laying snow outside my door for nearly 30 years. all of my kids were born in february and there has been snow every year from what i can remember............. however there is not a speck of snow any where near me this year.

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