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kiddydaz

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    The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, Barometer Cat said:

    Cool, thanks for positing this!  I missed this one for midlands in 91 but heard there was some good snowfall.   

    I came home for the weekend from London on the Friday. Couldn't get back to London until the following Thursday. Motorways shut etc etc. Had a walk out in the snow on the Saturday afternoon. The coldest I have ever been in my life. No water or electricity. This is going to be a classic spell of weather and something very rare. ENJOY !!

    • Like 1

    West Midlands Regional Discussion 22/01/13 23z ------>

    in Regional

    Posted

    Some people really need to look at the model forecasts before downgrades /pessimism etc.

    First band was expected to break up and will be reinforced later this afternoon and will rapidly intensify as it hits us.

    You only have to look at the intensity of the precip over Ireland at this moment.

    Ok, a quick checklist of models and outputs and precip accumulation amounts (mm) (multiply by roughly 8-10 for your snow amount in cm)

    > GFS much more keen on a snow event than yesterday, 850hpa temps not great but no higher than 0c, except for say west of a line telford to worcester (10-15mm)

    >NAE pushes the snowline further south west, so those in herefordshire and worcestershire have a greater chance. Also keeps it as snow the whole way through for central WM northeastwards. Dews no higher than 0 for 90% of the region. 00z = 8-12mm, 06z = 10-20mm

    > UKMO better than yday with regards to 850temps. (10-15mm)

    > ECMWF the pace setter with the best 850 temps and intense precip (~15mm)

    > NMM simliar to GFS (both american i believe) but intense snow at some stage for us all. turning to rain west of Birmingham well hard to read into on meteociel (dont subsrcibe to netweather extra) but american products havent been great with snow events over last fortnite.

    In summary, I would guess that the amber warning *COULD* be extended but not certain. I would say more likely snow all the way through east of Brimingham. Turning to sleet west of wolverhampton - evesham late evening/midnight.

    Its going to be excited some people should see some large temporary totals before the big thaw sets in saturday/night!

    Great post. Well done.

    Winter Model Discussion 18Z 19/1/13 onwards.

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Can i request a present say 6-72hrs Model watch section particualy through the coldest periods, it is hard word trawling through all the long range model watch to find just a few post on current synopis. The last few days have shown how sudden things change and little mention is given in this forum which is a shame for such a good weather siteacute.gif

    Really good point. This model thread is fabulous for people such as myself who are interested in up coming cold spells, BUT, once the cold spell is here, everyone starts to look 7-10days in the future, with very little information about what is happening in the next 2-3 days.

    The spell of snow now forecast for the south this evening has hardly had a mention ? It wasn't even modelled yesterday ? Surely this is of some significance ?

    Anyway, this is a great thread. Especially all the bickering !!!!!

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