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snowydog

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Posts posted by snowydog

  1. Been following this thread for a few days ... just logged in today on the laptop - very excited about the prospect of snow at the Weekend - although means I might not get to go up to Ballymoney (I'm in Belfast) to see my cousins if the roads are bad :(

    Pretty cold here at the minute

    I know very little about reading weather models, forecasting etc... I do know they can change very quickly etc..but how's it looking for next week at the minute?

  2. There are a multitude of factors and only 15% of tropical waves actually develop on average.

    1) Dry air (look at the moisture content of the surrounding location)

    2) Speed (fast motion indicates high easterly and relative shear)

    3) shear (Upper level lows can shred a storm)

    4) Lattitude (further south means it will likely get further west)

    5) Track (further west the higher the chance of landfall)

    Thanks for that. I'm going to go and read up on what you've listed :)

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