Summer Sun
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Posts posted by Summer Sun
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Issued: 0859 Sunday 22nd May 2011
More like autumn
Duty forecaster: John Ejdowski
Gusts of 70mph for Scotland
With the jet stream forecast to be across the United Kingdom this week, deep areas of low pressure are forecast to develop in the Atlantic. Strong winds are set to affect the country with fronts spreading in bands of rain to be followed by showers. Gales will often affect Britain with severe gales and gusts to 70 mph across Scotland initially. Temperatures this will be suppressed and will below normal for May.
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20110522
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"While temperatures of 101.F (38.5C) will be welcomed by sun lovers", I can't imagine many people will find those temperatures pleasant!
I have to agree I'm all for a hot summer but 101.F (38.5C) would be unpleasant and I can't imagine how muggy it would be at night. If this does happen the elderly would suffer.
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HOTTEST SUMMER EVER ON THE WAY
BRITAIN could be facing the hottest summer ever with temperatures hitting 101F, forecasters said last night. Blistering heat similar to 2003 – the warmest summer for five centuries – is “a real possibilityâ€.
But experts are warning of a lack of rain. While temperatures of 101.F (38.5C) will be welcomed by sun lovers, farmers are desperate after the driest spring on record. Forecasters say there is no significant rain on the horizon and in June and July, temperatures are potentially going to be consistently high. As high pressure sets in next month, bringing prolonged spells of clear skies and unbroken sunshine, the heat is likely to rise to 95F.
Paul Michaelwhite, of online forecasters Netweather, said: “It is not beyond that realms of possibility that we could see temperatures pushing up to the record 101.3F – and temperatures of 95F are certainly not out of the question.â€
Jonathan Powell, forecaster at Positive Weather Solutions, described the continued lack of rain as “potentially devastating†and could “sow the seeds for an extremely difficult 2012â€. He said the outlook for the summer was long periods of hot weather broken up by “violent†thunderstorms brought on by the extreme heat.
Read more: http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/247955/Hottest-summer-ever-on-the-way
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Dry to the south Wet in the north
Issued: 1200hrs Saturday 21st May 2011
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling
Wet and windy at times in the north, but drier and brighter to the south
High pressure is going to be extending through southern parts of the country at times in the coming week. This is going to be bringing dry weather here with sunny spells. Further north low pressure is more dominant and this brings cloud and outbreaks of rain, as well as strong winds at times through Ireland and Scotland.
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20110521
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I noticed this tidbit in NOAA Hurricane Outlook
"La Niña, which continues to weaken in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, is expected to dissipate later this month or in June, but its impacts such as reduced wind shear are expected to continue into the hurricane season."
Tying in nicely with part of the forecast
Which part of the forecast does it tie in nicely with?
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It might be worth saying that LA Nina has finished and ENSO is now neutral, the 3 month lag that is used by CPC/BOM etc won't be showing this as it's a 3 month lag, however with regards to the here and now La Nina is no more RIP
Now La Nina is now more is that good news with regards to us having this hot and dry summer? or does it have no effect at all?
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UK Outlook for Tuesday 24 May 2011 to Thursday 2 Jun 2011:
Northern Britain will start Tuesday very windy and wet, with a chance of gales. Otherwise, the mainly dry theme looks likely to continue with variable amounts of cloud and sunny spells. Later in the week, northern areas will probably become more unsettled with rain or showers, whilst only small amounts of rain are expected elsewhere. Temperatures will begin generally around or just below average, with a chance of overnight grass frosts in prone areas during the first week. However, a gradual warming trend is expected later in the week, with signs that southeastern parts may become warm by the end of the weekend, but with a low risk of thundery showers. There is considerable uncertainty by early June, but there is little sign of any significant rainfall in the south.
Updated: 1245 on Thu 19 May 2011
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UK Outlook for Friday 3 Jun 2011 to Friday 17 Jun 2011:
For this period, rainfall amounts look to be close to average for the time of year for most parts of the UK, so remaining changeable in terms of weather scenarios with rain at times, and drier and brighter spells in between. Both day and night-time temperatures are likely to remain near or above average for early June, and with the changeable conditions, sunshine amounts on the whole are also likely to be near average across the UK.
Updated: 1300 on Thu 19 May 2011
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html
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It was issued on the 14th of May.
It's not the site i'm thinking of then.
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Plenty of dry weather
Best sun to the south
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20110519
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I admire the boldness of this forecast it ouses confidence and I do hope it proves to be just about spot on, but I don't like anything to hot here in the uk 20-25c is more than warm enough without being to apressive and uncomfortable.
I have read a 'monthly outlook' which covers june on another site which reads pretty much the opposite to this and mentions cool at times with LP dominating for periods.
At the end of the day they are both forecasts and by no means certain to come off, and we won't know for a while the end result, but I wouldn't like to put my money anywhere.
If you have looked at the month ahead forecast on the site I think you have they only update that on the 1st of each month so come the 1st June it could completely change and come in line with the one Netweather issued yesterday.
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I wouldn't call that an update lol, it's the same as yesterday's update.
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Hope the forecast is completely wrong! I do not jest!
Can't stand 30 degree heat in the UK - save it for my hols in the Med or Portugal, where in the main it stays a dry heat.
Trouble with UK heat, like as predicted - it quickly becomes humid, which makes for nice evenings in the garden supping a beer or five or a bottle of wine, but the nights become unbearable to sleep. Come to think of it Monday to Friday in work or travelling home are also nightmares!
A few pleasant days/weeks like we saw in April will do me thanks!
Bah! Humbug!
I hope this forecast is correct, just think what it will do for the tourism.
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Bring it on i say!
After the worst winter we've just had in decades we deserve this, glad I booked my first UK Holiday for 4 years in Great Yarmouth at the end June question is how hot will it be?
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UK Outlook for Wednesday 1 Jun 2011 to Wednesday 15 Jun 2011:
For this period, rainfall amounts look to be close to average for the time of year for most parts of the UK, so remaining changeable in terms of weather scenarios with rain at times, and drier and brighter days in between. Both day and night-time temperatures are likely to remain near or above average for early June, and with the changeable conditions, sunshine amounts on the whole are also likely to be near average across the UK.
Updated: 1143 on Tue 17 May 2011
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Issued: 1200hrs Monday 16th May 2011
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling
Little rain in the south
High pressure flirts with southern England through this week. However, low pressure to the north will be bringing cloud and some periods of rain here. Little rain to the south of the country where high pressure will be building in at times. By the weekend pressure should build more widely across the country.
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20110516
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UK Outlook for Saturday 28 May 2011 to Saturday 11 Jun 2011:
The relatively dry, settled weather shows signs of continuing through the last few days of May and into the start of June. As a result, both daytime and nightime temperatures are likely to remain above average for the time of year. Although it is likely to be drier than average at first, there are some signs of rainfall amounts recovering closer to average for the time of year in June. Sunshine amounts are also likely to be near average throughout.
Updated: 1253 on Fri 13 May 2011
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html
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I only hope we don't pay for this sunny weather by getting a wet summer.
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13.2 for me please.
Meto Uk Further Outlook
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
UK Outlook for Friday 27 May 2011 to Sunday 5 Jun 2011:
Breezy, with sunshine and showers for most areas on Friday, perhaps some longer outbreaks of rain in the east at first. More generally dry and bright or clear conditions are expected for a time before rain or drizzle develops once again over northern and western parts for Saturday. Unsettled conditions are then likely to continue early next week, although with southern and eastern parts likely to become more settled and rather warmer. For the rest of next week and into early June the north and west looks like staying mainly unsettled, with further showers or longer spells of rain, while the southeast sees the more settled, mostly dry conditions and also with a trend to rather warmer conditions here.
Updated: 1206 on Sun 22 May 2011
http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html