Summer Sun

Monday 11 Mar - Wednesday 20 Mar Following unsettled weather for many over the preceding weekend, next week will initially see a gradual improvement in conditions from the west as drier, brighter weather and lighter winds slowly arrives. Cloudier conditions with some showers in the east are likely to persist for a time before this occurs. Much of the period thereafter will see a battle between cloud and rain arriving from the Atlantic, and drier, more settled conditions trying to extend westwards from the nearby continent. However, the most likely scenario is that "south-shifted" Atlantic weather systems will tend to dominate, bringing periods of mild, cloudy and wet weather across many southern and eastern areas in particular, whilst northwestern areas fare best in terms of settled weather. Temperatures overall are likely to be around the seasonal average. Thursday 21 Mar - Thursday 4 Apr During the final third of March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to remain higher than average to the north of the UK. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

Sunday 10 Mar - Tuesday 19 Mar Rather cloudy across much of the UK on Sunday with outbreaks of rain for many areas, some of this heavy at times. This rain will probably clear to the west or southwest later in the day, with mainly dry conditions developing for most areas at the start of next week. From midweek onward, rain or showers begin to become more likely in the south at times, perhaps accompanied by strong winds in places. It will probably stay drier and brighter across the north, although still with a few showers in places. Temperatures are most likely to be close to normal overall, but mild at times in the south and perhaps a little colder than normal in the north. Wednesday 20 Mar - Wednesday 3 Apr During the final third of March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to remain higher than average to the north of the UK. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

4.3c to the 4th 1.4c below the 61 to 90 average 0.5c below the 81 to 10 average

Saturday 9 Mar - Monday 18 Mar Rather cloudy across the south and southwest of the UK on Saturday as outbreaks of rain spread northwards. Elsewhere, variable cloud with some showers likely in places. The driest and brightest conditions will probably be in sheltered parts of the northwest. Into Sunday and the start of the following week, rain in the west and southwest will probably clear away westwards, with variable cloud and a few showers elsewhere. Through the rest of this period, some rain or showers are possible in the south at times, perhaps accompanied by strong winds. Drier and brighter across the north, but with a few wintry showers in places. Temperatures are most likely to be close to normal, but at times mild at times in the south and rather cold in the north. Tuesday 19 Mar - Tuesday 2 Apr During the final third of March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to remain higher than average to the north of the UK. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average overall, with any colder interludes most likely in the north and east. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

4.1c to the 3rd 1.6c below the 61 to 90 average 0.8c below the 81 to 10 average

Calm and dry tonight with mostly cloudy skies. Temp 1.7c

3.8c to the 2nd 1.8c below the 61 to 90 average 1.1c below the 81 to 10 average

Thursday 7 Mar - Saturday 16 Mar Likely still some showers for some parts of the country at the start of the period but generally a more widespread dry spell of weather is likely to end the week with increasing brighter spells and milder temperatures. However, into the weekend there is an increasing likelihood that unsettled conditions with cloud and longer spells of rain spread up from the south and west with cooler more showery conditions across the north. This likely setting the broad pattern for the subsequent week with occasional showers and longer spells of rain alongside stronger winds at times in the south with brighter but occasionally showery conditions across the north. Temperatures most likely just above average between systems in the south, nearer average in northern areas. Sunday 17 Mar - Sunday 31 Mar During the rest of the month, there is an increase in the chance of blocking patterns, with winds blowing more frequently from the north and east than is usual. At this time of year, winds from this direction can still bring wintry hazards, such as snow and ice, but the risk of these is likely to decrease as the month progresses. The wettest conditions are most likely to be in the south, with northern areas drier overall. Overall temperatures are more likely to be near or below average, though some warmer days are still possible at times. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

4.2c to the 1st 1.4c below the 61 to 90 average 0.8c below the 81 to 10 average

BBC Monthly Outlook Summary Milder for a week or two. Maybe colder late March Saturday 2 March to – Sunday 10 March Becoming milder and drier Monday 11 March to – Sunday 17 March Wetter and windier in the south than the north Monday 18 March to – Sunday 31 March Rather uncertain but possibly turning colder Further ahead In the next update on Wednesday, we will see if the longer-range models remain consistent in suggesting a downturn in temperatures later in March, and whether they are looking any colder. https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Tuesday 5 Mar - Thursday 14 Mar Unsettled and first with showers or longer spells of rain. Most of the rain and showers will be across southern and western regions, with the north and east probably mostly dry. From the middle of next week a more widespread dry spell of weather is likely to develop with increasing amounts of sunshine and, following a chilly start to the week, temperatures should rise a little above average for the time of year. Some rain will be remain possible at times, though this will be confined to western parts of the UK. Towards mid-month conditions are expected to turn more unsettled again, especially across the south, where rain and showers could become frequent and heavy at times. Northern areas more likely to have further decent spells of fine, dry weather. Friday 15 Mar - Friday 29 Mar During the rest of the month, there is a slight increase in the chance of blocking patterns, with winds blowing more frequently from the north and east than is usual. At this time of year, winds from this direction can still bring wintry hazards, such as snow and ice, but the risk of these is likely to decrease as the month progresses. The wettest conditions are most likely to be in the south, with northern areas drier overall. Overall temperatures are more likely to be near or below average, though some warmer days are still possible at times. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

7.7c please

7.8c to the 28th 4.0c above the 61 to 90 average 3.4c above the 81 to 10 average

Monday 4 Mar - Wednesday 13 Mar The start of this period is likely to be unsettled and showery, especially in the south where a spell of persistent rain and strong winds is possible, though temperatures should return to near-average. Through the week, there is some uncertainty, but high pressure seems likely build to the east, bringing drier and more settled conditions (with some spring sunshine) for a time, especially in eastern areas, with western parts always more at risk of seeing further spells of rain and strong winds. Towards the middle of March, a typical mixture of conditions looks most likely with spells of rain interspersed with brighter, drier intervals. Temperatures are likely to be around, or a little above average, but some cold nights are certainly still possible. Thursday 14 Mar - Thursday 28 Mar During the rest of the month, there is a slight increase in the chance of blocking patterns, with winds blowing more frequently from the north and east than is usual. At this time of year, winds from this direction can still bring wintry hazards, such as snow and ice, but the risk of these is likely to decrease as the month progresses. The wettest conditions are most likely to be in the south, with northern areas drier overall. Overall temperatures are more likely to be near or below average, though some warmer days are still possible at times. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

7.8c to the 27th 4.0c above the 61 to 90 average 3.4c above the 81 to 10 average

BBC Monthly Outlook Summary Chilly early March then warmer until late month Wednesday 27 March to – Sunday 3 March Unsettled and turning chillier Sunday 3 March to – Sunday 10 March Becoming milder and drier Monday 11 March to – Sunday 24 March Possibly turning colder after mid-month https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

232 temperature high records were set yesterday across the USA, with Killeen in central Texas the hottest, hitting 100F.

Sunday 3 Mar - Tuesday 12 Mar The start of this period is likely to be unsettled and showery, especially in the south where a spell of persistent rain and strong winds is possible, though temperatures should return to near-average. Through the week, there is some uncertainty, but high pressure may build to the east, bringing drier and more settled conditions (with some spring sunshine) for a time, especially in eastern areas, with western parts always more at risk of seeing further spells of rain and strong winds. Towards the middle of March, a typical mixture of conditions looks most likely with spells of rain interspersed with brighter, drier intervals. Temperatures are likely to be around, or a little above average, but some cold nights are certainly still possible. Wednesday 13 Mar - Wednesday 27 Mar During the rest of the month, there no especially strong signals on top of climatology at this range, though there is perhaps a slightly increased chance of spells of high pressure developing, probably centred to the north or west of the UK. Days of occasional warmth are more likely towards the end of the month as the sun continues to strengthen, and rainfall amounts would typically decrease a little in this period anyway, even though some wet and windy days are still likely. Winter hazards such as snow, and overnight frost and ice could occur anywhere, as often happens in March, but are most likely towards the north of the country. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

8.0c to the 26th 4.2c above the 61 to 90 average 3.6c above the 81 to 10 average

Saturday 2 Mar - Monday 11 Mar Next weekend is likely to continue in an unsettled mood, though temperatures should slowly recover to near average for early March, though still with some frost by night in one or two places. All areas of the UK will be at risk of further showers (any snow limited to northern hills), with a chance of longer spells of rain in the south particularly at first. There will be drier interludes between times though, with some pleasant spring sunshine, especially in places sheltered from the often strong winds. The following week is likely to remain fairly mixed overall, but there may be a greater incidence of dry spells and early spring sunshine, especially in eastern areas. Temperatures are likely to be fairly typical, with a few overnight frosts still likely. Tuesday 12 Mar - Tuesday 26 Mar During the rest of the month, there no especially strong signals other than climatology at this stage. Days of occasional warmth are more likely towards the end of the month as the sun continues to strengthen, and rainfall amounts would typically decrease a little in this period, even though some wet and windy days are still likely. Winter hazards such as snow, and overnight frost and ice could occur anywhere, as often happens in March, but are most likely towards the north of the country. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

8.1c to the 25th 4.3c above the 61 to 90 average 3.8c above the 81 to 10 average

Calm and dry tonight with mostly clear skies giving a cooler feel. Temp 3.2c

Friday 1 Mar - Sunday 10 Mar It will become cooler and more unsettled from Friday and through the weekend with temperatures a little below average. Areas of showers sometimes banding together for longer spells of rain, this heavy at times and likely to turn wintry, even a lower levels and some snow accumulations are likely over higher ground, particularly in the west. Clearer spells overnight with some frost or fog patches developing. Into the following week, the pattern likely returning to occasional frontal systems affecting more northern and western areas with some more settled spells developing in eastern areas as settled conditions spread out from northern Europe. Remaining around average temperatures for the time of year though some short-lived colder interludes remain likely. Monday 11 Mar - Monday 25 Mar Increasing likelihood that a more blocked weather pattern will persist with more settled conditions most likely affecting the east with winds favouring a more south or south-westerly direction at the start of this period, bringing most rainfall across western areas and more typically drier to the east. Late in the period location of this more settled block liable to migrate over the UK possibly leading to more northerly or easterly winds, but any dip in temperatures mitigated by increasing day lengths into late March. Temperatures are likely to be near or slightly above normal overall, with occasional night frosts, but values will fluctuate as weather systems come and go. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

8.3c to the 24th 4.5c above the 61 to 90 average 3.9c above the 81 to 10 average

You know you've had a mild winter when you hear lawn mowers in February!