Summer Sun

After a cloudy start, it is slowly turning a bit brighter with fewer showers around than of recent days Temp 4.8c with a low of 3.3c

A calmer night tonight with the frequent showers of recent days fading away Temp 4.9c

Monday 6 Mar - Wednesday 15 Mar This period is expected to be characterised by winds from the north bringing cold conditions to most areas. This will most likely result in wintry showers across northern and eastern areas, these turning to more organised bands of snow at times. Under this regime, many other areas are likely to remain dry with some sunshine, the best of this across inland areas and in the south and west of the UK. During the later part of the period confidence decreases significantly, however there is a risk of some milder and wetter weather pushing into the south from the Atlantic, meaning spells of rain will become more likely across the country. Temperatures overall will be below average but may gradually trend up through the period. Thursday 16 Mar - Thursday 30 Mar Confidence remains very low during this period. It's likely to be drier further north apart from occasional late season wintry showers, while with rain and strong winds are likely in the south. These milder conditions may extend north at times, but it's likely that the cold weather will then extend south to all parts through late March, bringing drier conditions to many western regions. Temperatures overall will likely be below normal, but milder in the south through the middle of March and perhaps beyond. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

Met Office 10 Day Trend Next week Cold Increasing chance of snow

Confirmed as 6.5c https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/cet_mean_2023.txt

BBC monthly outlook Rather cold until a milder turn later next week Wednesday 1 March to – Sunday 5 March Chilly with a few showers but a lot of dry weather Monday 6 March to – Sunday 12 March Cold for a few days, then milder by the weekend Monday 13 March to – Wednesday 26 April Mild for a while, potentially chillier later https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

A cloudy start to spring with some moderate rain at the moment as the north easterly wind continues Temp 5.0c with a low of 3.8c

Spring begins with the light to moderate north easterly wind and frequent showers Temp 4.7c

Sunday 5 Mar - Tuesday 14 Mar On Sunday, a mixture of sunny spells with scattered showers likely in the north and east, turning particularly wintry over northern hills and in the far northeast at times, and perhaps becoming more frequent in the north later. Drier conditions with sunny spells are expected in the rest of the country, with isolated showers possible at times. Light winds are expected for most, but moderate or fresh in the east. For the rest of the period, settled conditions are most likely across the country, with some wintry showers and snow the north and east at times. There is an increasing chance of it turning more unsettled later with spells of rain or snow becoming more likely. Temperatures overall will be below average, but gradually trend up through the period. Wednesday 15 Mar - Wednesday 29 Mar Confidence is very low during this period in general, but late seasonal wintry showers are expected across the country as milder air becomes less likely to affect the UK. This may also bring some dry weather at times, especially in western regions. Rain and strong winds are likely in the south, rain turning heavy at times. Colder and drier conditions are expected in the north, with wintry showers and a risk of heavy snow at times. Temperatures overall will likely be below normal, but milder in the south through the middle of March and perhaps beyond. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

6.5c to the 27th 2.7c above the 61 to 90 average 2.1c above the 81 to 10 average

The final day of winter starts cloudy and calm with frequent showers coming in off the north sea Temp 4.9c

Saturday 4 Mar - Monday 13 Mar The most likely scenario for Saturday is of a band of fragmented slight showers making some progress into the far northeast of the UK. Ahead of this a continuation of cloudy and cold conditions is most likely, with a few coastal showers. There is reduced confidence heading into the rest of the period, although the preferred scenario is that the UK will see a continuation of dominant high pressure, bringing large amounts of settled weather. Colder air may ingress into northern and eastern areas at times, perhaps bringing wintry showers, with a low probability that these snow showers may become more widespread. Later in the period there is an increasing chance of it turning more unsettled, possibly bringing snow at times. Temperatures likely to be generally below average. Tuesday 14 Mar - Tuesday 28 Mar Confidence becomes very low for this period. However, the preferred scenario is that blocking high pressure will remain mostly dominant, increasing the probability of colder conditions compared to average. Spells of rain are more likely than of late, especially at first, with a chance of snow in some areas. Some wintry episodes may be disruptive due to the potential combination of snow and strong winds. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

6.6c to the 26th 2.8c above the 61 to 90 average 2.2c above the 81 to 10 average

Another cold night with fewer showers around and calm Temp 3.5c

BBC weather for the Week Ahead Mainly dry Some sunshine Night frosts https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/64777970

Thursday 2 Mar - Saturday 11 Mar Much of the UK is likely to see dry, settled conditions through early March, although cloudier conditions and showers, possibly wintry, are expected for the north and east at times, especially for coastal areas. Some sunny spells remain possible, especially in the south, where clear skies could result in some frost patches. Temperatures generally rather cold to cold. Towards the end of the period, high pressure is expected to migrate northwestwards, resulting in an increased likelihood of wintry showers in the north and east. There is a small possibility of more organised rain or snow spreading southwards, with the west and northwest most likely to remain under a settled regime. Winds generally light to moderate, possibly stronger in the north. Temperatures generally colder than average, with some overnight frost likely. Sunday 12 Mar - Sunday 26 Mar Through this period, spells of rain and snow are likely at times, with a small possibility of these combining with stronger winds to become locally disruptive. Overall though, conditions are more likely to be mixed, with some areas remaining largely snow free. Northwestern areas are likely to stay driest throughout. Temperatures are likely to remain below average to start, although a trend towards average temperatures is most likely later on. Despite this trend, short colder spells remain possible, and are more likely than average. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

6.7c to the 25th 2.9c above the 61 to 90 average 2.4c above the 81 to 10 average

A cold day with frequent showers, some of which are heavy Temp 4.1c with a low of 2.6c Rain 2.2mm

A cold and cloudy night with a light north easterly breeze Temp 3.3c

6.2c please

Thursday 2 Mar - Saturday 11 Mar Much of the UK is likely to see dry, settled conditions through early March, although cloudier conditions and showers, possibly wintry, are expected for the north and east at times, especially for coastal areas. Some sunny spells remain possible, especially in the south, where clear skies could result in some frost patches. Temperatures generally rather cold to cold. Towards the end of the period, high pressure is expected to migrate northwestwards, resulting in an increased likelihood of wintry showers in the north and east. There is a small possibility of more organised rain or snow spreading southwards, with the west and northwest most likely to remain under a settled regime. Winds generally light to moderate, possibly stronger in the north. Temperatures generally colder than average, with some overnight frost likely. Sunday 12 Mar - Sunday 26 Mar Through this period, spells of rain and snow are likely at times, with a small possibility of these combining with stronger winds to become locally disruptive. Overall though, conditions are more likely to be mixed, with some areas remaining largely snow free. Northwestern areas are likely to stay driest throughout. Temperatures are likely to remain below average to start, although a trend towards average temperatures is most likely later on. Despite this trend, short colder spells remain possible, and are more likely than average. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

6.8c to the 24th 3.0c above the 61 to 90 average 2.4c above the 81 to 10 average

It's no wonder we don't get winters like we used to

A cold but dry morning so far, with a lot of dampness still around from rain last night Temp 3.3c with a low of 2.3c

Reports of a small earthquake in south Wales just before midnight