Summer Sun

Sunday 19 Feb - Tuesday 28 Feb On Sunday, a cloudy start to the day for most with some light rain or drizzle at times, clearing through the day. Brighter from the start further north, with these conditions expected to extend further south throughout the day. For the first half of the period, low pressure will dominate to the north and higher pressure to the south. This is likely to lead to dry conditions in south and eastern areas with some overnight mist and fog. More changeable, unsettled conditions with spells or rain and stronger winds at times are likely in the north. Towards the end of the period, there is a greater of high pressure dominating across the UK. Temperatures overall milder than average, but a continued risk of cold nights in places. Wednesday 1 Mar - Wednesday 15 Mar At the start of March, high pressure will likely dominate across the UK, with any more unsettled weather likely to be across the far north or northwest. Generally drier more settled conditions are expected, with occasional spells of unsettled weather possible at times, especially in the south. Cold nights are likely in places throughout the period. Temperatures will likely be around or slightly above average for the whole period, with perhaps colder conditions relative to average more likely later in the period. There remains a small probability of much colder weather developing as we move further into March. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

5.6c to the 13th 1.8c above the 61 to 90 average 1.0c above the 81 to 10 average

Cold and calm this morning with freezing fog Temp 0.1c with a low of -0.8c

A cold night tonight with mostly cloudy skies and calm Temp 0.7c

Saturday 18 Feb - Monday 27 Feb On Saturday, a further warm front will push northeastwards, reintroducing mild and moist conditions countrywide bringing cloudy skies, with drizzle for windward coasts and upland areas. Fairly breezy with the best of the cloud breaks found in the lee of higher ground. The heaviest rain is likely to be across northwestern hills once again. Later in the period, low pressure is likely to the north with higher pressure building from the south. Frontal zones in the northwest are likely, making progress south or southeastwards, but bringing most of the rainfall to the northwest. Otherwise, a good deal of dry weather with clear and sunny spells, allowing isolated fog patches to form overnight in the south where lighter winds. Windy at times in the north. Temperatures remain generally milder than average. Tuesday 28 Feb - Tuesday 14 Mar The end of February is likely to see a continuation of changeable conditions, with the wettest and windiest weather most probable across the northwest. The south and east may see some shorter spells of wet weather, although overall conditions should remain drier and more settled. Into March, high pressure is expected to develop to the north of the UK and low pressure to the south. This is likely to introduce a north-south split, with drier conditions across the north and wetter conditions in the south. Temperatures expected to be mostly around average, but a period of colder or much colder temperatures remains a small possibility and could bring spells of wintry weather. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

5.4c to the 12th 1.6c above the 61 to 90 average 0.7c above the 81 to 10 average

A cloudy night tonight with a very light breeze and continuing dry Temp 5.6c

Friday 17 Feb - Sunday 26 Feb Friday is likely to be changeable, with widespread cloud and some organised rain moving eastwards through the day, followed by clearer conditions with sunny spells and showers, heavy at times in the north. The driest conditions are expected in the southeast, with a few sunny spells possible at first. Winds generally light to start, but increasing through the day with the strongest winds around northern coasts. Through the rest of the period, low pressure located to the northwest could bring frontal systems, with associated spells of rain and stronger winds in the north and northwest. The south and east are likely to see drier, more settled conditions, but more unsettled periods remain possible, bringing some wetter and windier weather. Temperatures overall rather mild, but overnight frost and fog could develop. Monday 27 Feb - Monday 13 Mar The end of February is likely to see a continuation of changeable conditions, with the wettest and windiest weather most probable across the northwest. The south and east may see some shorter spells of wet weather, although overall conditions should remain drier and more settled. Into March, high pressure is expected to develop to the north of the UK and low pressure to the south. This is likely to introduce a north-south split, with drier conditions across the north and wetter conditions in the south. Temperatures expected to be mostly around average, but a period of colder or much colder temperatures remains a small possibility and could bring spells of wintry weather. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

BBC monthly outlook Becoming unsettled. Mild until March Saturday 11 February to – Sunday 19 February Mild and becoming wetter from midweek onwards Monday 20 February to – Sunday 26 February Becoming somewhat drier and less mild Monday 27 February to – Sunday 12 March Potentially turning colder in March https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

5.2c to the 11th 1.4c above the 61 to 90 average 0.5c above the 81 to 10 average

Calm, dry and cloudy this morning and reasonably mild Temp 6.9c with a low of 4.8c

A cooler night tonight mostly cloudy skies and calm Temp 4.8c

Thursday 16 Feb - Saturday 25 Feb Periods of rainfall are likely to affect parts of the UK for a time on Thursday, with northern areas seeing showers during the afternoon, perhaps merging to a longer spell of rain, while some southern parts could see wet weather approaching from the west as the day proceeds. For much of the rest of the period, a low pressure system located to the northwest could bring widespread frontal activity, with the north and northwest expected to see the most unsettled conditions with spells of rain and stronger winds. The south and east are likely to see drier conditions, but more unsettled periods remain possible, bringing some wetter weather. Temperatures overall rather mild, but overnight frost could develop, especially in the south and east. Sunday 26 Feb - Sunday 12 Mar The end of February is likely to see a continuation of changeable conditions, with the wettest and windiest conditions most probable across the northwest. The south and east could see some shorter spells of wet weather, although some more settled conditions remain probable. Into March, high pressure is expected to develop to the north of the UK, with low pressure dominating over the south and southwest. This could introduce a north-south split, with drier conditions across the north whilst the south could see some wetter conditions. Temperatures expected to be mostly around average, but a period of colder or much colder temperatures remains a small possibility, bringing widespread wintry conditions. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

5.2c to the 10th 1.4c above the 61 to 90 average 0.5c above the 81 to 10 average

A milder night tonight with mostly cloudy skies and a light to moderate breeze Temp 8.7c

Wednesday 15 Feb - Friday 24 Feb Dry conditions are likely for much of the UK on Wednesday, with sunny spells and variable cloud coverage. Some showery outbreaks are possible for parts of Northern Ireland and Scotland, but any rain is likely to decay fairly quickly. Into the weekend, much of central, southern and eastern England and Wales are likely to remain dry, while some frontal systems could progress from the north and west. Towards the end of the period, changeable conditions are likely to persist, bringing periods of cloud, rain, and strong winds, alongside some more settled conditions. In the north, showers could turn wintry for a time. The strongest winds are expected in the north and west. Temperatures generally rather mild, but some local frost possible under clear skies, especially in eastern parts. Saturday 25 Feb - Saturday 11 Mar The end of February is likely to see a continuation of changeable conditions, with the wettest and windiest conditions most probable across the northwest. The south and east could see some shorter spells of wet weather, although some more settled conditions remain possible. Into March, high pressure is expected to develop to the north of the UK, with low pressure dominating over the south and southwest. This could introduce a north-south split, with drier conditions across the north whilst the south could see some wetter conditions. Temperatures expected to be mostly around average, but a period of colder or much colder temperatures remains a possibility, bringing widespread wintry conditions. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

5.3c to the 9th 1.5c above the 61 to 90 average 0.5c above the 81 to 10 average

Continuing dry and slightly milder tonight with patchy cloud Temp 5.0c

5.5c to the 8th 1.7c above the 61 to 90 average 0.6c above the 81 to 10 average

Tuesday 14 Feb - Thursday 23 Feb Tuesday will likely be dry for most across the UK, with a chance of sunshine particularly in the northwest. Any early mist and fog patches quickly clearing. The odd spot of light rain is possible, mostly across Northern Ireland. The settled weather remaining for many into the end of the week, with some bands of cloud and rain possibly progressing into the north and northwest at times. Also, strong winds likely in the north and west, with coastal gales possible here. Further into the period a transition away from high pressure in the south allows for more unsettled conditions to become widespread across the UK at times. Temperatures generally mild or rather mild, although with a chance of cold nights in the south, especially earlier in the period. Friday 24 Feb - Friday 10 Mar Generally changeable weather conditions with near or above average temperatures across the UK as a whole until late February. Bands of rain and strong winds are expected, especially in the northwest, with a risk of some wintry showers in the intervening colder brighter interludes between these frontal systems. Some of these frontal systems perhaps spreading further to the southeast, although much of the south and southeast will likely be relatively drier. Confidence in the forecast around the turn of the month becomes much lower, and whilst the more likely scenario is one of a continuation of similar conditions experienced through the latter half of February, there is a low probability of some much colder weather developing https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

A chilly but calm morning with clear skies Temp 1.3c

A cloudy night with a light to moderate wind Temp 6.9c

Monday 13 Feb - Wednesday 22 Feb Monday is expected to be a largely dry day. Some patchy fog and frost initially, but this clearing to broken cloud, allowing sunny spells to develop across much of the UK. However, some patchy rain likely along coasts and hills in the northwest. Into mid-week, the south and southeast are likely to remain dry, but the far north and west probably seeing rain at times, which may extend a little further south and east with time. Further into the period, a transition away from higher pressure in the south allows for more unsettled conditions to become widespread across the UK. Temperatures generally mild, although potentially cold in the south overnight, especially earlier in the period. Thursday 23 Feb - Thursday 9 Mar Generally changeable weather conditions with near or above average temperatures across the UK as a whole until late February. Bands of rain and strong winds are expected, especially in the northwest, with a risk of some wintry showers in the intervening colder brighter interludes between these frontal systems. Some of these frontal systems perhaps spreading further to the southeast, although much of the south and southeast will likely be relatively drier. Confidence in the forecast around the turn of the month becomes much lower, and whilst the more likely scenario is one of a continuation of similar conditions experienced through the latter half of February, there is a low probability of some much colder weather developing. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

6.2c to the 7th 2.4c above the 61 to 90 average 1.3c above the 81 to 10 average