Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Hot?

Sainsbo

Pro Forecaster / Meteorologist
  • Posts

    1,191
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Sainsbo

  1. According to the snow forecast there is a 37% chance of snow early next Monday moning, but I really doubt that will happen this far south :p

    I think there is a real chance the October minimum temp record could be matched or broken here though. Record is currently -3.6, and BBC weather have Swindon down for -3 Saturday night.

  2. So would you 2 have preferred your towns to have these scenes as posted from the Bristol area and repeated widely across Somerset ...

    In some ways I would have liked it and in others not. I love extreme weather, so that's why I was excited for it. The obvious downside to it is property damage which is never a good thing. Also, before this system we had had less than 3mm of rain for September here, so some wet weather would have been welcomed.

    Because had the whole system been perhaps 25 miles further East you would have had those rainfall totals.. Not a bad forecast last night

    for such a volatile system to be approx 25 miles out!

    I agree, the forcasts have been changing constantly throughut yesterday and today, I think that the forecast was pretty accurate, but I didn't realise how confined the worst of the weather would be.

  3. Just to add this is this mornings NAE precip range, in having only 8mm fallen so far today it's going to take a heck of a lot to get totals up to +100mm across the Pennines, are the models being gratitious in terms of this expected precip rate?

    Posted Image

    That does look like it will take a lot to get up to them totals, but the rain will be stalled in them areas for quite some time. That model is quite accurate on the rainfall here so far.

    Rain has intensified here in the last 10 minutes. Up to 30mm now.

  4. hi

    the link below should help, UK only, or various other areas, simply click on at the top, there is also the link to enlarge the chart you are using.

    Sometimes on the Atlantic/UK charts the computer has the centre not quite right nor the isobars if you compare with the Fax chart at the same time. It does though give a good idea of what is happening at the surface. Also on the enlarged chart you can see what the pressure is doing, the red figures on the right of the station plot today, showing pressure falling, so 35 means 3.5mb in 3 hours. If its rising it is shown in black.

    hope that helps for some of you?

    http://meteocentre.c...〈=en&map=UK

    thos pressure falls I mentioned are only normally shown at what are called synoptic hours, 00,03,06,09,12,15,18,21 hours

    Thanks John, appreciate the help! :)

×
×
  • Create New...