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Everything posted by STORMWATER
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Extremely disappointing model watching this winter, yes we had our coldest night last night but no snow whatsoever. Looking at the next week or so it's wind and rain all the way, I can't see any hope in the models for the next 2 weeks or so, hopefully, it will change for the better for us coldies, because once mid-March comes then I just have no interest in the weather.
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
STORMWATER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It is fascinating model watching, all to play for. I do wonder what I do in the summer when not model-watching. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
STORMWATER replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's a long way off at this stage, plenty to play for between now and then. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
STORMWATER replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Out of my summer hibernation and what fantastic charts, it could go all tits up but could we be on the verge of a very, very cold December. What's the consensus among the people who know what they are looking at? -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
STORMWATER replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The GFS is still sticking to it's guns for now, it reminds me of a horse race, where all the form says it will be the form horses that will fight out the finish but along comes that outsider to do them on the line. Whatever happens the weather will do what it wants to do but hopefully the GFS is on the money and swoops late to steal the prize. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
STORMWATER replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I believe the GFS will be right as I remember last summer they were the only ones who were giving hot weather 2 weeks in advance, I know the GFS has been a pig lately but I just get the feeling that it could well be on the money this time. -
Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond
STORMWATER replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Having a look at the various models, it's not looking good for cold this January especially here in south east Ireland. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
STORMWATER replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A week is a very long time in weather terms, I'll believe it if on Wednesday the models are showing it but for now I think the mild weather will be pushed back and if not the weather will do what it wants to do as always. -
Ireland Regional Weather Chat - 20/11/2015 Onward.
STORMWATER replied to Methuselah's topic in Regional
It's cold here at the moment but our chances of snow are zero, by this time tomorrow it will be mild and damp. -
Ireland Regional Weather Chat - 20/11/2015 Onward.
STORMWATER replied to Methuselah's topic in Regional
Very cold here and windy also but dry, current temp 4C, I'd say for us down here to see snow the rest of the country would have to be buried in it. -
Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
STORMWATER replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Fascinated by all the comments, but for me the latest GFS and ECM run it's game over especially where I'm located, I don't look at the other models as basically they are not up to scratch and unfortunately it looks like the mild wind and rain will return by Sunday. -
Model Output Discussion - 23rd Jan - 12z onwards
STORMWATER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes a great GFS 06Z but I await the ECM later on today and also the next run of the GFS will be interesting, if the high in mid Atlantic intensifies at 141 hours out on the later runs then we're in business but it's a big if at the moment. -
Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)
STORMWATER replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 23rd Jan - 12z onwards
STORMWATER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's a long way off at this stage and we can only look at the models last Thursday week showing a very good easterly for the following week only for it to never materialise. I would take these latest outputs with a pinch of salt. -
Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 14/1/14 21z ------->
STORMWATER replied to A.J's topic in Regional
It's extremenly windy down here in Waterford City. -
Model Discussion And Chat 19th Feb.2012
STORMWATER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I just had a look at the latest GFS run and TBH I don't buy it, it's so far removed at 96h from the ECM you would swear it was for a different planet. -
I'll bet we won't see one flake down here.
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Your lucky, down here it's been like southern Spain all winter.
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It's depressing lads, we're so close we can nearly taste the snow, this winter has been so poor, any money it will rain most of the summer and for those who love mild muck I hope it does. LOL