Brrr

Thanks for that Steve, some were saying El Nino was causing sheer, reducing the chances of hurricane production, whilst others were saying it had no effect!. By the way, is the SAL the same thing that brings up the odd rare day of a red sand dust covering all over our area here in Dublin? I know this event is of Saharan origin. It certainly amazing all the things that go in to the pot! and the rule of thumb is certainly true to form at the moment. Are we sure KW/GW it's now heading off from the US coast?...Nova Scotia!... double drat!... The estimates were certainly off this year for what type of season it was going to be... still there's time yet!. And I agree that the techno facility is why I'm more interested in this area than any other (.. it makes it far more fun to follow - if that's the right word!)... and I have to admit a vested interest in the Texas area. Hi John from Dublin - there's also Matty Matt who lives in Portmarnock on this site... normally hanging out in the local weather forecast area !. Belinda

FAO: Kold Weather As the resident 'hurricane' expert....is the report headline "A developing El Nino event -- abnormal warming of the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean -- may be partially to blame (or thank) for the relatively quiet season so far. " true ? Or is this just paper hogwash? (see earlier link in my previous post if you will) I am well aware I don't know a lot about the weather in this department , but I do keep trying.... and I guess as you didn't acknowledge my last post, you may not appreciate questions from ignoramus like myself in this dept.. but I hope I'm slowly learning (I am not full time)... but I really would appreciate reply! Thanks in advance if you do reply Belinda

GW is talking about Ernesto.. he had a bit of a twin by his side.. didn't come to much though!. Belinda

What do you think of this article Kold in regards your comment above? (I did post it elsewhere... but probably as relevant here....) Hostile Conditions are hindering hurricanes http://www.al.com/news/mobileregister/inde....xml&coll=3 Belinda

Interesting article here, the gist of the story is A developing El Nino event -- abnormal warming of the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean -- may be partially to blame (or thank) for the relatively quiet season so far. Here's the full story Hostile conditions are hindering hurricanes : Monday, September 04, 2006 http://www.al.com/news/mobileregister/inde...&thispage=1 Belinda

Drat......

One of many reports out on TD6 likely becoming Hurricane Florence....poss heading for Gulf http://www.theadvertiser.com/apps/pbcs.dll...NEWS01/60904001 000 WTNT41 KNHC 041431 TCDAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 1100 AM EDT MON SEP 04 2006 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THE DEPRESSION IS NEARING STORM STRENGTH. CURVED BANDS ARE BECOMING MORE PROMINENT IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT AND EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE DEPRESSION Belinda

Think they should just leave the building burn. or is that a portacabin in a parkinglot?.. anyway....waste of water.... it's gone. Radioactive leak is surely more deadly? <Must stop discussing tv on this link!, sorry> Ernesto very close now http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/sloop-vis.html Belinda

Heh!.. and such commentary!... actually far less grating than the other - thanks! but don't think Ernesto is going to be cat2...... is not far from land now Belinda

Welcome to the USA! ... (or skynews for that matter) Belinda

Looks like it might not make hurricane status though!.... (did u notice the very 'sensible' person in the sea having a quick dip in the water ) Belinda

North Carolina TV/Report - on Ernesto...they seem to think it's a hurricane on the way..... http://www.wral.com/index.html (live webcast on right hand side) All the N.Carolina Tv Stations http://newslink.org/nctele.html Belinda

From that it looks like Tokyo could get a bit of a breezy day then... !!... thanks SnowBear

Quite a nice pic/animation here from Japan Meteorological http://www.jma.go.jp/en/gms/ Just out of curiosity for all the hurricane/typhoon experts - will this likely maintain strength all the way to Hong Kong/Japan :o ? Belinda

The Advisory states HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. So... pretty big then

From www.TheHawaiichannel.com TV HONOLULU -- Typhoon Ioke, the strongest Central Pacific tropical storm in more than a decade, continues to barrel toward recently-evacuated Wake Island. The storm is predicted to submerge the 2.5-square-mile atoll and destroy everything on it that isn't concrete, forecasters said. National Weather Service lead forecaster Jeff Powell calls it "a monster storm." The isle's entire population of some 200 residents left via two Air Force evacuation flights to Hawaii on Monday. All were either U.S. military personnel, defense department civilians or military contractors. The typhoon is expected to reach Wake Island at 1 a.m. on Thursday, Hawaii time, with winds of up to 161 mph and gusts of up to 195 mph. Belinda

Useful for searching out live streaming during the hurricane season. Ultimate guide to TV webcasts http://wwitv.com/portal.htm TV/Radio Stations on the Internet http://www.usnewslinks.com/tvstations/ Belinda

Just incase anyone is intersted current live streaming from CBS / Miami Dade http://cbs4.com/ Also ABC Local 10 http://www.local10.com/index.html Belinda

Thanks PK - I'm such a fool... I though Alpha was a separate TS (last I looked was 91L I think), and TD25 was a new event... hey ho.

What's the story with TD 25 - is this likely to develop into anything?

Here's some good videos from Reuters...the videos show some of the devastation... scroll down middle left hand side.... reuters link

Amazing really....another one so hot on the heels of Wilma... (By the way, perhaps that fellow in Cancu realised it was time to move out or hunker down to a more secure place?....it's a little crazy to do what he was doing though - still hope he's ok) EDIT: (whoops... I forgot about the Alpha thread.. I'll go and look!)

99L is looking very organised down there on the right hand corner!!! Is this getting a bit more organised now? http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

Thanks KW - (and PP).... it's still one to watch then!, I was starting to think it was going to be a rather glum rainy day affair once it reached Florida (not that I'm wishing for bad on them, but from a weather point of view you understand). We should be getting A lot more info very soon from the media once it start to track to Florida then!. EDIT: Hi SnowBear... let's hope that he's ok...though you do need electricity for a good while to do what he was doing I guess.. so perhaps that's all it is.

Well that's the end of my summer flowers then!. I can't believe the way my annual plants have lasted this year all the way nearly into November... my Mom was telling me she's had a crocus appear! :lol: Wilma surely will be fairly low key by the time it reaches us though (if it doesn't miss of course)? (GW regarding your comment on the wakeup call for US and Global Warming - I think it wouldn't make a jot of difference if it hit to the view - it would just be offically declared as part of a 'natural cycle' albeit an unfortunate cycle! ) EDIT: KW is there any chance she could considerably strenghthen at all once off land?