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Brrr

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Posts posted by Brrr

    Ex-Hurricane Florence

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Brrr

    Belinda -

    This is partially the reason why the Atlantic has been slow this year- With El nino assisting the formation of pacific waves, Storms & Eventual Hurricanes there is a rule of thumb to observe- Busy Pacific Quiet Atlantic-

    This holds true more often than not...

    .....

    Best regards

    S

    Thanks for that Steve, some were saying El Nino was causing sheer, reducing the chances of hurricane production, whilst others were saying it had no effect!.

    By the way, is the SAL the same thing that brings up the odd rare day of a red sand dust covering all over our area here in Dublin? I know this event is of Saharan origin.

    It certainly amazing all the things that go in to the pot! and the rule of thumb is certainly true to form at the moment.

    Are we sure KW/GW it's now heading off from the US coast?...Nova Scotia!... double drat!...

    The estimates were certainly off this year for what type of season it was going to be... still there's time yet!.

    And I agree that the techno facility is why I'm more interested in this area than any other (.. it makes it far more fun to follow - if that's the right word!)... and I have to admit a vested interest in the Texas area. :)

    Hi John from Dublin - :) there's also Matty Matt who lives in Portmarnock on this site... normally hanging out in the local weather forecast area !.

    Belinda :)

    Ex-Hurricane Florence

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Brrr

    FAO: Kold Weather

    As the resident 'hurricane' expert....is the report headline "A developing El Nino event -- abnormal warming of the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean -- may be partially to blame (or thank) for the relatively quiet season so far. " true ? Or is this just paper hogwash? (see earlier link in my previous post if you will)

    I am well aware I don't know a lot about the weather in this department , but I do keep trying.... and I guess as you didn't acknowledge my last post, you may not appreciate questions from ignoramus like myself in this dept.. but I hope I'm slowly learning (I am not full time)... but I really would appreciate reply!

    Thanks in advance if you do reply

    Belinda

    Ex-Hurricane Florence

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Brrr

    Intrestingly enough we are still above average for tropical storms but now below average for hurricanes though Florance will help somewhat to put us closer to average again.

    What do you think of this article Kold in regards your comment above? (I did post it elsewhere... but probably as relevant here....)

    Hostile Conditions are hindering hurricanes

    http://www.al.com/news/mobileregister/inde....xml&coll=3

    Belinda

    Ex-Hurricane Florence

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    forecast discussion 5...

    SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS NOT STRENGTHENED.

    IN FACT... IT LOOKS LESS ORGANIZED THAN 6 HOURS AGO AND HAS A

    SOMEWHAT DISHEVELED APPEARANCE. THE CENTER... AS BEST WE CAN

    TELL... IS BETWEEN TWO BANDING FEATURES THAT ARE LOOKING

    INCREASINGLY LINEAR. SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE UNCHANGED FROM

    EARLIER AT TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY... BUT THERE IS NO GOOD REASON

    TO UPGRADE THE SYSTEM AS DISORGANIZED AS IT LOOKS NOW. THE INITIAL

    INTENSITY IS LEFT AT 30 KT.

    Thanks KW :blush:

    Drat......

    Ex-Hurricane Florence

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Brrr

    One of many reports out on TD6 likely becoming Hurricane Florence....poss heading for Gulf

    http://www.theadvertiser.com/apps/pbcs.dll...NEWS01/60904001

    000

    WTNT41 KNHC 041431

    TCDAT1

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 4

    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006

    1100 AM EDT MON SEP 04 2006

    VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THE DEPRESSION IS NEARING STORM

    STRENGTH. CURVED BANDS ARE BECOMING MORE PROMINENT IN THE

    NORTHWEST QUADRANT AND EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE DEPRESSION

    Belinda

    Tropical Storm Ernesto

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Brrr

    I love fire cam. This rules, almost as much as a good Cat'3+

    ---

    Meanwhile, Ernesto is still spinning up, and drifting NE - not particulary inland yet !

    Calrissian: Forget the storm, we got a fire here !

    Think they should just leave the building burn. or is that a portacabin in a parkinglot?.. anyway....waste of water.... it's gone. Radioactive leak is surely more deadly?

    <Must stop discussing tv on this link!, sorry>

    Ernesto very close now http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/sloop-vis.html

    Belinda

    Tropical Storm Ernesto

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    Hmm, well, I wouldn't know much about Tv, since I don't have one.

    ---

    http://cbs4.com/ - live webcast link, far more interesting right now (works only with exploror, not firefox!).

    ---

    meanwhile, Ernesto is surely Cat'1, and striving for '2.

    Calrissian: loves a good fire.

    Heh!.. and such commentary!... actually far less grating than the other - thanks!

    but don't think Ernesto is going to be cat2...... is not far from land now

    Belinda

    Super Typhoon Ioke

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    Well, according to this forecast track, Ioke is supposed to lessen in intensity as it nears the Japan Islands, down from 160mph winds to 120mph at the last forecast position on that plot. Not too sure if it will reach Japan itself? Maybe graze the very northern parts.

    https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warnings/wp0106.gif

    From that it looks like Tokyo could get a bit of a breezy day then... !!... thanks SnowBear

    Super Typhoon Ioke

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    From www.TheHawaiichannel.com TV

    HONOLULU -- Typhoon Ioke, the strongest Central Pacific tropical storm in more than a decade, continues to barrel toward recently-evacuated Wake Island.

    The storm is predicted to submerge the 2.5-square-mile atoll and destroy everything on it that isn't concrete, forecasters said. National Weather Service lead forecaster Jeff Powell calls it "a monster storm."

    The isle's entire population of some 200 residents left via two Air Force evacuation flights to Hawaii on Monday. All were either U.S. military personnel, defense department civilians or military contractors.

    The typhoon is expected to reach Wake Island at 1 a.m. on Thursday, Hawaii time, with winds of up to 161 mph and gusts of up to 195 mph.

    :p

    Belinda

    Wilma Watching

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Brrr

    yes, conditions are becoming more favourable for development.

    <{POST_SNAPBACK}>

    Amazing really....another one so hot on the heels of Wilma...

    (By the way, perhaps that fellow in Cancu realised it was time to move out or hunker down to a more secure place?....it's a little crazy to do what he was doing though - still hope he's ok)

    EDIT: (whoops... I forgot about the Alpha thread.. I'll go and look!)

    Wilma Watching

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Brrr

    :rolleyes: Thanks KW - (and PP).... it's still one to watch then!,

    I was starting to think it was going to be a rather glum rainy day affair once it reached Florida (not that I'm wishing for bad on them, but from a weather point of view you understand).

    We should be getting A lot more info very soon from the media once it start to track to Florida then!.

    EDIT: Hi SnowBear... let's hope that he's ok...though you do need electricity for a good while to do what he was doing I guess.. so perhaps that's all it is.

    Wilma Watching

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by Brrr

    Just off the other thread about next weekends possible storm - if true it's gonna be ferocious!

    <{POST_SNAPBACK}>

    Well that's the end of my summer flowers then!. I can't believe the way my annual plants have lasted this year all the way nearly into November... my Mom was telling me she's had a crocus appear! :lol:

    Wilma surely will be fairly low key by the time it reaches us though (if it doesn't miss of course)?

    (GW regarding your comment on the wakeup call for US and Global Warming - I think it wouldn't make a jot of difference if it hit to the view - it would just be offically declared as part of a 'natural cycle' albeit an unfortunate cycle! :rolleyes: )

    EDIT: KW is there any chance she could considerably strenghthen at all once off land?

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