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Steve Caiels

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Posts posted by Steve Caiels

  1.  

    33 minutes ago, Bring Back1962-63 said:

    Very brief update: I may have been too conservative just now: My earlier predictions (from the last 2 days may have been right after all). Just look at the streamer lengthening again and strengthening during the last hour. The convective activity is still there and adding to it from the east-south-east. Loads of smaller shower echos showing east and south of the coasts up to Brighton. Today's snow may be more widespread after all as it all edges northwards. Just 4 quick charts:

                                0800                                                              Live                                                                 0620                                                        0920

    s1802280800_uk.png         lastsnowradar_uk.gif    5a9679553bc09_0630radar.thumb.png.3020f21013fb047688bfdad8aa87b6bf.png   snrad3.thumb.png.b93e9bb58bac04c2d6e2a7b23385ecaf.png

    I've got to do some work now but keep an eye on that radar - looking very interesting again.  David

     

     

    Yep. Getting real in Wembury now.  Although the sky is lifting again as I type, there looks like there is plenty to come.

    image.thumb.png.9684358450db03091c618ef29e9fe23d.pngDSC_3624.thumb.jpg.5267bd222e2aaa8cd9f8bc1f7a17e504.jpg

     

    • Like 1
  2. I haven't caught up with the 6 overnight pages yet, but here is a quick update from South West Devon.  As you will see on the radar, we JUST missed that significant snow in the channel.  The remnants are blowing around, but nothing to add to last nights cover. The channel looks quiet now :(

    An overnight low of -4.3, quite probably a fairly long term record I would think.  Now -3.6 with a DP of -5.8.  Home office was a chilly 12c first thing!

     

     

    • Like 1
  3. 1 hour ago, tomjwlx said:

    what is everyone's dew points like?

    0.9C 66% DP -5C

    Conditions for Wembury, Devon at 14:23 on 27/02/18
    85m ASL, 1 Mile from the coast and 5 miles SE of Plymouth

    Sunrise/Sunset -   7:05/17:55

    wx forecast -  Increasing clouds and warmer.  Precipitation possible within 12 to 24 hours  Windy. 
    =====================================================================
    Temperature    : 3.1°C (Feels like 0.3°C)
    Dewpoint       : -5.4°C
    Humidity       : 54%
    Pressure       : 1019.7mb and Falling Rapidly over 3 hours
    Today's Rain   : 0.00in
    Current Rain   : 0.00in/hr
    Solar Radiation: 262W/m² (UV index : 0.7)

    10 Minute Average / Gust Wind Speed  * Direction
    5.0mph / 12.0mph * Dir=NE
    =====================================================================
    Daily values
    ------------
    Temp between -3.2(°C) at  7:05 and 3.3(°C) at 12:38
    Pressure between 1019.7mb at 14:14 and 1026.4mb at  0:00

    Highest wind - 21.0 (mph)  at  9:47
    Heaviest Rain - 0.00in/hr at ----
    Strongest Sunshine (UV) - 816W/m² at 12:38 (UV Index 1.4 at 12:18)

    • Like 1
  4. Nothing here in SW Devon on the outskirts of Plymouth at the moment.  Low of -0.5 overnight, rose to +2, but now falling again.

    If power and communication line survive the ice storm, there should be live 60 second updates from two outside webcams on http://www.caiels.com/,

    I think I potentially have front row seats for the  "Beast vs Low"; "Rain vs Snow" battle.  Yea - I know that's the wrong way around, but it rhymes!

    Good luck everyone.

     

  5. 14 minutes ago, AWD said:

    GFS 06z shows heavy snow overnight Thursday night for our region;

    5a928b5d61d5d_prectypeuktopo(1).thumb.png.3540082bd80fbbaa3d8e9b8e4ce90cb7.png

    5a928b624d7b8_prectypeuktopo(2).thumb.png.cd8806f33bb09cbc47b2cd2a4d373bd9.png

    Before turning back to rain in southern coastal counties later in the day;

    5a928b8a95e8a_prectypeuktopo(3).thumb.png.a3846084d6ec50df419bf6dd7227664e.png

     

    GFS 06z shows heavy snow overnight Thursday night for "some of" our region!  Looking very marginal for SW Devon and even worse for Cornwall isn't it?  With my very unknowledgeable eyes, just comparing charts and posts, I'm still holding out for Snow during Thursday, but turning to rain in the evening in costal SW Devon.

     

    Although the Met Office weather forecast yesterday was pretty inspiring :)

  6. Hello everyone.  Another long time lurker here. Thanks for a great thread.

    I literally went to the Drs today with dizzy spells.  She thought it might be inner ear problems, but I reckon (hope) it's a premonition of what's to come.

    Just for fun, here's an example of why we shouldn't trust snowfall apps.

    image.thumb.png.2f6429b6f169ad53627585edfb2c5613.pngimage.thumb.png.52f77324aaef3c675f3b1fc1fac65a5f.png

    Take a look at Tuesday. 95% vs 0%

    For you 'Northerners' out there (that's anyone North or East of Dartmoor by the way), these are suburbs on the South Eastern edge of Plymouth.

    It could be right of course; Plymstock is 1 mile to the West of Elburton. I know snow from the East is a rare event down here - but from what I am hearing . . . . this is a rare event down here!

    I can't wait to get my first chance to record a timelapse whiteout in over 25 years.

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