weather09

Oh, don't know about that. Had snow here not too long ago, and the shower wasn't particularly heavy or long-lasting. Stuff to our NW is heavier and there's more of it. 104m isn't too bad. I'm at 130m, so I'm better lol (joke).

Hope that clump of precip over Cheshire holds together on its way here lol. Some bright returns on radar, so should mean heavy snow (for those with any meaningful altitude anyway). Waiting patiently..

Yep, heavy wintry shower just passed here as well. Started out as rain/sleet, then gradually transitioned to largely moderate snow as the cold air aloft was dragged downward. Some chunky flakes in there too. Is indeed cause for optimism later on.

Looking forward to hopefully seeing some early season snowfall, even if it is a brief episode Latest EURO4 output is modeling snowfall - mainly over high ground - among general precip associated with occlusion(s) dropping south over central parts early morning. Zero-degree isotherm a little high (700-800m per GFS) for lower level snowfall, so ideally need precip to be of mod/heavy intensity to drag colder air aloft and subsequently lower the freezing level. Also, 850-1000hPa thicknesses look to rise beyond 1300m for short time during period of interest, adding to the marginal nature of seeing the white stuff. Provided these factors are favourable, though, few places might get lucky and see temporary covering. Here's hoping.

Were quite a few big gusts for time a short while ago in W Mids. No anemometer to hand, but estimate low-mid 50s. Not too strong, though neighbour's fence panel was punched out of the posts. Nice one, Barney. Still gusty atm.

Aside from the strong synoptic winds, but nevertheless associated with upcoming low, looks there like might be a brief period of low-end convective potential tucking in behind, or the in the vicinity of, the cold front/triple point surging east, initially over central ROI then over N England between 12-15z, as cool mid-levels and forced ascent with trough overrides slightly moist low-level air mass. This being situated ahead of main zone of highest winds which arrive in the evening. 700/500mb RH output suggests adequate clearance will appear for a time, so convection possibly allowed to get going and not be swamped by general cloud and rain. Shear environment perhaps conducive to rotating updrafts, should anything of interest develop, given strong, slightly diverging, jet winds aloft with winds increasing with height, though proper directional shear not so much apparent. Probably come to nothing, but thought it worth adding to the discussion.

Aye. The low in question is actually now just east of Hudson Bay. It's then modeled to be carried SE by jet exiting NA over next 24 hours, before deepening considerably over the mid-Atlantic during mid-latter part of week over as it crosses under left-exit jetstreak. UKM/ECM not modeling the low as intense, and both hinting at a more N'erly track as it approaches UK. Differences to be expected at this stage. Cold air aloft/steep lapse rates following passage of cold front during period in question as well, with mild waters developing a marginally unstable environment, so shower activity likely to exacerbate winds locally, should current outputs verify.

I'm weather09. Just had another rather potent shower slide by to my west. Nice cloudscape, indeed. Edit: I see you've been hit dead on.

Had a look to my north not too long ago and spotted that, Arnie. Nice convection having developed across many parts inland this afternoon with insolation and cold mid-upper level air, looking at satellite/radar imagery.