[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

Yes there is a moderate to heavy shower here at the moment and it has covered all surfaces in snow. A bit unexpected but nice to see.

[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

Interestingly this is the (at least) fourth GFS op run in a row to show snow here on Monday morning:

  

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Another rather cold run for northern parts. A strong trend from midweek now.

[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

16 minutes ago, jon_d1983 said:

What’s it like in Aberdeen??? Trying to decide whether I go into work or just take a snow day!  A90 is a joke again as are the local roads here. 

I would guess there has been a couple of cm overnight and roads will range from mostly clear on the main routes to snow covered in the side roads. My road is completely white, although to be fair it has been completely covered since Monday. At least it smooths out the potholes for the moment!

[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

24 minutes ago, thebigyin said:

Cold morning, link to my station below (-3c ish, dp -5c) but note I had to move it and defo not in an official setup right now, but temps tally okay with official local ones. You can explore map to nosey at other stations. Generally min was around -10 last night from a few favoured spots. Some stations had a remarkable rate of drop late evening yesterday,  but flattened...cloud??? Or wind??

Not much precipitation today by looks of things here until later on when looks like various chances of showers right through to Thursday,  buy would appear less action generally speaking.

Longer range in to early feb looks interesting still, but much to be resolved.

Ecowitt Weather

WWW.ECOWITT.NET

 

 

I suspect that when the wind switches more northerly later this afternoon there could be quite a few showers this evening and tonight , but I could very easily be wrong (and they may stay further north).

[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

Just now, thebigyin said:

More showers hitting as others have already said, and I'd missed. Always a good sign while on lamppost  duty to see snow falling up. Very gusty winds in showers and some drifting down the street...must be getting some good drifting in the sticks   

Drifting up, falling down and blowing horizontally all in a wonderfully choreographed murmuration of wintry beauty. (Yes I love the snow.) 

[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

7 minutes ago, jon_d1983 said:

Just back from Aberdeen and a90 bod to balmeddie white in a big heavy shower!! Aberdeen seems to have a good covering  but less out with me

Yes the showers seem to be a bit more frequent now and everything is looking nice and white. Hopefully you will get some more soon.

[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

There haven’t been that many showers here today but what has fallen is settling here and the wind is now picking up in the showers too. It’s beginning to feel a lot like winter.

[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

21 minutes ago, Sceptical said:

A mixture of sleet/snow, temperature 1c with a NW wind that doesn't feel particularly cold. 

Give it a few hours as the really cold air is heading south through the rest of the day. No guarantees about precipitation falling but what does will be snow.

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

7 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

Yeah looking like going to the South now. Around a 15/20% chance of a more northerly track. 

Even the risk of snow showers into the Cheshire gap has reduced somewhat.

The fact is over 90% of the UK population will remain snow free from this toppler.

The risk of troughs forming in the flow is very low because it gets shunted out by Atlantic air very quickly.

Enjoy everyone  

To describe this weather as a toppler is misleading and sounds like “everything that comes from the north that doesn’t give me snow” is a “toppler”. The synoptics show a bitterly cold Arctic/polar flow and not something casually dismissed as a toppler even if large parts of the country do not see snow.

[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

The colder air is moving in from the north currently and this shows up nicely on the precipitation type radar with more evidence of wintriness. The models tend to be a bit rubbish at modelling convective precipitation, understandably due to its nature, so it’s tricky to work out what is incoming much in advance. I would be hopeful of seeing snow here today in Aberdeen but how much and when is a different matter! I just hope the westerly component doesn’t kill off too much of the precipitation before it gets here.

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Just now, Bartlett High said:

GFS not budging.....surely this can't be ignored. 

 

 

No don’t ignore it. Just accept that it is different to majority of the rest of the outcome.

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Just now, Turnedoutniceagain said:

A week away - ALWAYS a week away.....*sigh*

Four days ago it was 11 days away. 

[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

3 minutes ago, Hairy Celt said:

I've been watching the traffic cam at Drumochter this morning and notice something really odd. The time stamp changes quite frequently, but the image stays the same. 

I was looking at that too and was wondering if perhaps the road is currently blocked.

[Scotland Weather discussion]

29 minutes ago, Zerouali lives said:

Rainfall totals at 730pm for Aberdeenshire - I did actually expect more to be honest by this time...

Cairnamount Snow Gates 75mm

Banchory 63mm

Inchmarlo 54mm

Aboyne 45mm

Cambus o May 39mm

Corgarff 38mm

Ballater 36mm

Braemar 17mm

Parts of Glenesk (Angus) have had over 100mm in the 12hr to 8pm. With probably the same or more in the next 12 hours it will be problematic.

[Storm Babet]

30 minutes ago, toggerobz said:

just over 7200 residents on the register, that's less than 24hr to find accommodation for them all alongside any flood-preventative measures ongoing. Not easy for a fairly remote town in that part of Scotland. If Kinnaber & Montrose is next for the evac call then it's going to become a logistical nightmare.

It will only be the low lying areas not the entire town as being (mis)reported. The area around River St and low lying areas near the South Esk river.

[Scotland Weather discussion]

15 minutes ago, Snowandrocks said:

Boring this definitely isn't. 

The huge 150+yo Douglas fir in our garden has just come down - completely wrecked the porch I spent last summer building. Already had too much firewood from Arwen! 

Oh no, sorry to hear that.  

This storm is definitely packing a punch.

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Very windy here too in Aberdeen and impressively mild at 13.6°C currently.

[Hurricane Ida]

9 minutes ago, The PIT said:

When it gets going it isn't boring to watch.

It is incredible that that camera is still broadcasting!

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - March 2021 onwards]

7 minutes ago, Mair Snaw said:

Big blob incoming. Any other North East folk on here tonight??

Snowing steadily here in Aberdeen city at the moment.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

3 minutes ago, drm said:

Just started here too very fine stuff -1.8c

And unsurprisingly every flake is sticking. Watching the gentle snow come down steadily is almost therapeutic as it refreshes any discoloured areas. I would say “covers any bare surfaces” but that doesn’t apply as everything is still covered in a blanket of snow.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Just now, Swave Snow said:

just like the other past few days when it was racing eastwards and then just slowed down and petered out lol

I would rather this one moved westwards. 

The forecast for here (and the automated output) look good for snow later on, but we’ll see.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

5 minutes ago, Sunny Leith said:

We can't compete with the big boys but 12cms here on the level in the back garden. Not quite 2018 repeat but certainly 3rd best of the last decade. It must have been going some a few hours ago, will need to replay the radar. Three big flights of geese moving south overhead when I was out, Dundee/Perth/Tayside refugees I presume !

I saw a large flock of geese flying south over here this morning. Do they know something that we don’t or have they escaped from Altnaharra? 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Heavy graupel has turned into heavy snow here now Aberdeen. I had cleared my path earlier, it has now disappeared.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

I am hoping that some of the more “generous” models prove to be on the money over the coming hours. Several of them have quite a bit of snow down the eastern coastal strip by this evening but there is limited agreement.