doctormog
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
doctormog replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Another rather cold run for northern parts. A strong trend from midweek now. -
To describe this weather as a toppler is misleading and sounds like “everything that comes from the north that doesn’t give me snow” is a “toppler”. The synoptics show a bitterly cold Arctic/polar flow and not something casually dismissed as a toppler even if large parts of the country do not see snow.
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The colder air is moving in from the north currently and this shows up nicely on the precipitation type radar with more evidence of wintriness. The models tend to be a bit rubbish at modelling convective precipitation, understandably due to its nature, so it’s tricky to work out what is incoming much in advance. I would be hopeful of seeing snow here today in Aberdeen but how much and when is a different matter! I just hope the westerly component doesn’t kill off too much of the precipitation before it gets here.
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
doctormog replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No don’t ignore it. Just accept that it is different to majority of the rest of the outcome. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
doctormog replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Four days ago it was 11 days away. -
It will only be the low lying areas not the entire town as being (mis)reported. The area around River St and low lying areas near the South Esk river.