[Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?]

13 minutes ago, Jon Snow said:

1979 will mean diddly squat to most new members on here..what happened in 1979??.hmmm..on second thoughts, don’t bother..

I think its similar to the 1837 forecast. Just clearing that up for you 

[Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year]

1 minute ago, Kasim Awan said:

Yeah I think this will be quite wintry in the mids away from M4 corridor, accumulation margins will be related to snow longevity, certainly not an evap cooling event in these areas at least overnight or early / late...  Ultimately the higher accumulation area will get tighter in hi res until 18Z tomorrow and then see what radar's up to.

Also, I think the models *might* be failing to model the full extent of cyclonic style precip activity on Monday. This could well lead to a local build up of ppn through the day in the Midlands or even further south.

@Kasim Awan i admire your level headed analysis and predictions. I'm in the west of Ireland so no imby stuff. Keep up the postings. Bring on the cold.

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

As stated by previous posters we need a few runs to follow suit. Some sort of cold period is very possible. What we all want is a prolonged period of deep cold. Pretty positive the ECM will roll out similar to the other models. Hope you all had a great Christmas and a Happy new year would be a cold one. 

[Model output discussion - 21st Jan Onwards]

57 minutes ago, Minus 10 said:

It's ok found one

Link?

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

Really love this forum. Next week now looking more promising with models mostly showing a better ridge and more cold for longer. Just on a side note its snowing in many parts of Ireland this evening and the cold hasn't got going. I hope all ye smowbies get your fix!! 

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

7 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

thats +84 not +120 i believe, which is as far as the JMA will go on the 06z

You are correct. Same still applies I suppose. Original post updated.

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

Jma out to 84. To my untrained eye looks like the UKMO. Wider ridge and not as far west.

 

 

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

 

Nice ENS!

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

 

Hugo is impressed!

[Model output discussions pm 31/12/15]

 

Maybe of interest later.

[Model Output Discussion - 23rd Jan - 12z onwards]

Is this a second low coming in from Iceland on this run?

 

http://images.meteociel.fr/im/2793/gfs-0-102_rud2.png

 

Mucka beat me to it!

[Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Autumn/Winter 2014/15.]

But then you decide to post it here instead of asking me via pm and get a star like...Thanks only just noticed this post....I think the irony sums it up....Dumbed down charming but thanks for letting me know.

What you failed to mention by way in your dissection of the fact I've been a member ONLY 2 months was I explained why I felt we'd be in for a protracted cold spell further down the thread...Shame you felt the need to pick on my post but never mind.

Certainly didn't think I was harming anyone by posting it deary me.

You were not. Good post!

[Model Output Discussion - 16th Jan 12z onwards - Smile While You Post!]

The latest models certainly seem to have firmed up on milder by Sunday. However, the next 48 hours could prove a real test on getting the exact forecast correct. Even now looking at the radar and pressure pattern over the West of Ireland , little eastward progression, everything going south. So in the short term evolution, still uncertainty prevails and the cold could hang on a bit longer.C

You're quite right, snowing

lightly here all day with front stalling.

[Model Output Discussion; into 2015]

Happy New year to all net weather members from the west coast of Eire.

[Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Autumn/Winter 2014/15.]

A watched kettle never boils as they say. A little patience is needed as all the signals give us hope for Dec onwards.

[Winter Model Discussion 06Z 10/01/13>]

Is there any precip charts for the ECM?

[Model Output Discussion - 18z - 25th Nov onward]

Hey everyone I'm new to net weather,love the forum if a little dramatic lately.I like Steve M's posts,great poster.So I'm coming along for the ride.ECM has the casting vote this evening.My location is West of Ireland.