JSW

I don't know if this has been mentioned but for the post-10 o'clock news presenters you have: Saturday: Peter Gibbs Sunday: Peter Gibbs Monday: Rob McElwee Tuesday: Rob McElwee Wednesday: Darren Bett Thursday: Darren Bett Friday: Darren Bett

Well the NHC have released there next Advisory and it still appears to be a Tropical Depression... They are expecting it to strengthen into a Tropical Storm during the next 24 hours though... Barring this one depression tropical activity generally seems quiet. Gone are the days previously in the season when we had multiple storms on the go <_< What are peroples thoughts on the potential formation of an Alpha is it posible? Conditions generally seem to have deteriated for TS formation...

Watching the formation of tropical storms this year what we have with the soon to be Wilma is something we really haven't seen this Hurricane season - tropical storm formation around the Caribbean. The majority of storms at least in a major sense seem to have formed towards the North of the Bahamas or out in the mid-Atlantic. Even though this season ahs been incredibly active the number of storms which have formed down towards the Equator and moved up through the Lesser-Antilles and into Jamaica/Haiti/Dominican Republic/Cuba and onto The US has been relatively non-existant. Its what I like to call the 'typical' path. Ivan being an example from last year... Back on Wilma and it seems to me that the likely probablility of choosing a hit target is still way to open. There are too many different influences which could make the difference. In my opinion whether 'Wilma' passes through the Yuctan Channel really won't make a significant difference what does interest me though is if it heads East towards the Gulf and eventually into Florida. Mow isn't it around this area where Katrina 'exploded' into a category 5 hurricane with the aid of those currents which helped feed it with energy? If Wilam were to pass through that area I think we could be looking at a pretty interesting situation, what we've seen so far this season is westward movement of storms surely an Eastwards motion presents some different characteristics? Pinning detail at this point is difficult but I think conditions do suit for a powerful hurricane 3+ on the saffir-simpson scale at the very least...