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Everything posted by alexisj9
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Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wait for the 12z and have another moan I guess. Although there's still some interest if the 6z was correct, it's just not all that good now. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Considering down here we've been stuck on temps at around 4-6 degrees or colder, since the high went a bit higher up, I disagree, it's been cold, just not the snowy type. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'm hoping for the opposite, but expect you are right. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep at about 24h, compared to others. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Let's hope so, one way or the other, today has been a night mare, for now looks like cold might win out, at least up to the Midlands, may be even further. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Also the southerly is lowering due points and temp here in se Kent, although I haven't checked yet this evening, temps were suppressed all day, to spite the sun. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Still spaghetti, wondering when will it start looking tidy lol. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Don't look like the ones I saw last night? -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hmm interesting. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It definitely confused. Basically send the first low south, and the following low north west. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That's at 138, low will probably get smaller, GFS may well be doing it's normal blow up stuff. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Now I expect the ECM to flip too, may be not all the way in one sweep, we'll see. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The spaghetti starts on the 25th on nearly all Ens posted, so still room for change, although normally, but not always, once models flip warm they stay there. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
More spaghetti. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Still looks like someone throw some spaghetti on the graph to me lol. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well the SE is definitely a lot colder than it has been now, so may be also Europe is cooling to, guess we'll see. Glad to finally be rid of the cloud that kept temps up. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That says God knows what will happen lol. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nothing settled on yet then, thank you for the info. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Still looks very messy to me, can see why the models are struggling. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It didn't go in the first place. Just models doing what they do. Still need to see more agreement, but now it's looking ok. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That's a mess. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lol whatever happens, I'm sure it won't be that, what are they basing this on, 12z GFS most likely. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As flow is continental, that's ok even for the south mostly. As long as the air is cold over there. Dp needs to be 0 or below. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
alexisj9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, I'd say the cold air at ground level is coming in now. Still only 3-4 degrees in Dover today, can't see it warming up.