[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

Southend is getting an absolute pasting. 

[Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 8th July onwards]

Sky is lit up like a Christmas tree.

[Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 8th July onwards]

Constant thunder and lightning over us here in Southend on sea. Beautiful.

[Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 02/09/16 onwards]

4 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

Dont even joke about the rain rate.Its relentless here.Pumping station,storm drains, overwhelmed.Some people are going to wake up(if they slept) to heartbreak and an awful lot more to just misery. Going to be a long,long clean up

Crazy and there is more to come 

[Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 02/09/16 onwards]

Wow!! Huge fork of lightning directly over the house in north west London followed by that that shotgun thunder!!

[Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 02/09/16 onwards]

Storm just woke me up here in north west London torrential rain frequent lightning and some loud cracks of thunder 

[Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 02/09/16 onwards]

Metoffice have just issued an amber warning for London and the East!

[What is a snow squall?]

Sorry if this is in the wrong section or doesn't even belong here at all but, what is a snow squall?

[Model Output Discussion; into 2015]

I don't know if the Jamstec LRF has been posted in this thread but their latest update is going for a below average Dec-Feb and also a below average for Mar-May. This was the best I could contribute to you guys not the best but a contribution nonetheless.

 

Dec-Feb: http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/2007/forecast/temp2.glob.DJF2015.1dec2014.gif

 

Mar-May: http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/2007/forecast/temp2.glob.MAM2015.1dec2014.gif

[Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)]

Here is a funny one for you all. Got a giggle out of this.

 

http://katm.co.uk/predicted-freezing-weather-will-kill-25000-brits-experts-issue-cold-snap-warning/

[Model Output Discussion 1200 hrs 15/11/14]

Didn't know where else I could put this, but Jamstec's November update isn't very encouraging. 

 

http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/2007/forecast/temp2.glob.DJF2015.1nov2014.gif

[Early winter hopes and chat]

Jamstec's November update isn't very encouraging. Put quite a damper on really.

 

http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/2007/forecast/temp2.glob.DJF2015.1nov2014.gif

[Model Output Discussion 1200 hrs 15/11/14]

Thank you. I will use this for educational purposes. 

 

The GFS run with precipitation charts - the white hatched lines indicate snow. This is too far ahead to be of any use as a forecast but you can follow to see how it changes. 

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=204&code=0&mode=2

 

The low res part of the run is a good example of how quickly Europe can cool down with the right synoptic set up.

 

 

[Model Output Discussion 1200 hrs 15/11/14]

18Z GFS showing so many blobs on snow risk from 200+

 

First time I have seen it this year, won't come off of course but it has made me smile to see it!

Please could you link me to the model?

[Early winter hopes and chat]

Does anyone here use the Jamstec model? Is it known to be reliable at all?

 

I like the look of a couple of their models.

 

http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/2007/forecast/temp2.glob.DJF2015.1sep2014.gif

[Possible storm 'Bertha']

I'm looking forward to an estofex tonight, if there isn't one, then I will be disappointed. Do they do forecasts for this type of weather?

[Possible storm 'Bertha']

Netweather have forecast my location in Essex with thunderstorms tomorrow afterrnoon with heavy rain. But yet there are no mention of thunderstorms in any of the weather warnings I have read, why is this?

[Possible storm 'Bertha']

Any chance of an estofex being issued later tonight?

[Spanish plume anyone? Storm and convective discussion 17th July Onwards]

I'm right under it here in Essex. What a storm..

[Spanish plume anyone? Storm and convective discussion 17th July Onwards]

Seen some CG Lightning here in Essex now as well... Wow 

[Spanish plume anyone? Storm and convective discussion 17th July Onwards]

Got some distant thunder and very frequent lightning starting up here in Essex

[Spanish plume anyone? Storm and convective discussion 17th July Onwards]

Something is sparking up in the channel. 

[Storm and convective discussion 7th July Onwards]

Not sure if this was already posted but an estofex was issued. Mentions of an MCS.

 

[Storm and Convective Discussion 10th June Onwards]

Couple of strikes picked up near Maidstone? That's a bit of a jump East.... 

[Storm and Convective Discussion 10th June Onwards]

Any chance of an estofex being issued tonight for tomorrow for the East Of England?