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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Ryan Maue@RyanMaue Currently at 995 mb -- 6-hourly pressure time series: 987, 980, 963, 935, 922, 919 at tau+36. 65mb/24hours is ferocious/extreme deepening 5 hRyan Maue@RyanMaue GFS back to 919 mb with explosive cyclone off east coast that will move WNW of Iceland during next 36-48 hours. http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/294659035070861314/photo/1 Matthew Hugoâ€@MattHugo81 The low in the W Atlantic goes from 987mb to 938mb in about 18hrs! http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/bracka.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack0.gif - A drop of 49mb! #wow- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
That is some impressive and fast Stratospheric warming http://i50.tinypic.com/1zwgkmd.gif- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Matthew Hugoâ€@MattHugo81 Just telling it as it is but the 12z EC ENS are the coldest of the last few days. Pretty much unanimously cold throughout next week now.- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/00zecmwfnao.gif- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Ryan Maueâ€@RyanMaue For an ensemble mean, ECMWF 00z EPS was frigid for W. half of USA for 10-15 day extended range, e.g. http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/287985564978913280/photo/1- 2,514 replies
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Winter Model Discussion - Cold Hunting -12Z 06/01/13
Luisport replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Matthew Hugoâ€@MattHugo81 Mixed views from the 12z UKMO and GFS. Neither backing the potency of the E'ly from previous ECM runs. Plenty of uncertainty... -
Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Sunday, January 6, 2013 <a href="http://theweathercentre.blogspot.de/2013/01/what-will-happen-after-polar-vortex.html">What Will Happen After The Polar Vortex Collapse? By Andrew at 9:12 AM http://theweathercentre.blogspot.de/- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Ryan Maueâ€@RyanMaue Where is cold going to be for January in N. Hemi? GFS extra-long range fcast dumps 50-60°F below normal on W. Asia http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/287252873253879808/photo/1- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Matthew Hugoâ€@MattHugo81 Cooling trend evident in the 12Z GFS ENS again but still a huge scatter - http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.pngLot of uncertainty...- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Arctic Trifecta Could Lead To Brutal January-February By Andrew at 8:22 AM http://theweathercentre.blogspot.de/2013/01/arctic-trifecta-could-lead-to-brutal.html- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Ryan Maueâ€@RyanMaue At 5-days at 30 mb, that blob of warmth cuts across the pole. Process repeats again at Day 8. http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/286930352000335874/photo/1 11 minRyan Maueâ€@RyanMaue Up at 30,000 meters, stratospheric temperatures are warm -- almost 10°C on Russian side of North Pole. GFS 10mb: http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/286928660567576576/photo/1 2 hRyan Maueâ€@RyanMaue UAH global temps for lower-troposphere, +0.2°C above 30-yr avg for 2012. Reanalysis derived 2-meter temp +0.1°C. Yawn.- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
2013Could The Polar Vortex Collapse Like January 1985? By Andrew at 11:55 AM http://theweathercentre.blogspot.de/2013/01/could-polar-vortex-collapse-like.html- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Thank you so much for your reply. I'm very worried about all this, because me and everyone in Portugal are not prepared for a big cold. I say that if we get temp of -10c or below for some time, many people will die. Me and my family have to get out of our home and go south for survive... so this is a very bad situation for us. So the only thing i hask you and others is as soon as you can and know, please post what we in the south europe can expect. Thank you so much for this brilliant collective work!- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Please can you tell me something about situation for south europe, specialy Portugal and Spain? Thank you so much.- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
**Below info Updated at 2:30 PM** The new 12z GFS forecast shows the polar vortex greatly displaced. Instead of being in the Arctic, it's all the way down in Japan! It appears another piece of the vortex may be off the coast of Europe. High pressure trapping the vortices south would theoretically deliver yet another crushing blow to the polar vortex, which I don't know will be able to recover fully in Jan-Feb. Andrew http://theweathercentre.blogspot.de/2012/12/polar-vortex-close-to-collapse.html- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Please can you tell any information about Europe north and south? Thank you so much!- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
And while on the topic of cold and snow, the GFS and ECMWF models show significant stratospheric warming across the North Pole and Canada towards the middle of January. With the NAO expected to fall rapidly at that time, and with the AO expected to rise rapidly at that time, it's about to get very cold for many across the United States. The split & temporary collapse of the polar vortex we've seen in recent years has been interesting.. Considering it tends to happen after solstice, one of these years it's not going to set back up for the rest of winter. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2319#yourcomment- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Joe laminate floori@BigJoelaminate floori Major stratwarm getting ready to start precursor to major US cold outbreaks. Plenty of winter this year http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/284289067103952896/photo/1- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Thursday, December 27, 2012 Sudden Stratospheric Warming About To Take Place By Andrew at 10:47 AM http://theweathercentre.blogspot.de/2012/12/sudden-stratospheric-warming-about-to.html- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
well that's the normal temps... today i have 0c of min temp, but below -5c, i have to take precutionary measures.- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
negative???- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Thank you so much for your reply... as i understand it's difficult to know what will happen, but what kind of temp we can expect in Portugal? You know we are not prepared for cold temp, so it's important i have an idea of what i should be prepared. Thank's a lot!- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Can anyone tell me what we in europe will have? And to the south like Portugal and Spain? Cold temp to us too? Thank's!- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Luisport replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I everyone, i'm new here! I'm very happy by found this forum topic. This is a very difficult issue to understand but i hope that with time and your help i will succede. Let me make 2 questions... maby 3 to anyone that can answer. First we will have a PV collapse on first 10 days of January? What events can we expect with it? What regions can be hit? Sorry about my dumy questions...- 2,514 replies
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