Ryan Dutch Weatherman

This is a becoming just a breaking weathermodel news story the ECMWF in particular. I am really trilled by this chart , look again !. If the chart wil come out , we could see signifant amount of snow , 50 -90 cm snow in UK en my country as well.

Good morning weatherland , en we start immediantely with the update. Ready to rumble ? As expected ; the MAJOR PROJEKTION from the ECMWF 12z yesterday contineu s today with the 00z. A great massive outbreak from the Artic towards Brittain en western Europe. I told many times , dont mark your self to MJO with his false fase 2 en even true it doesnt say alway severthing. Fasten your seatbells again ! En later i will come back on mine vision mixed with CFS en JMA data for the month of march 2013. It could be an invasion of Brittain from the army of the Polar Bears

CFS . Look at this charts again for the 19e run at a row , who can asure me that it can nor happen ? Mostly it dont happen in march so cold pattern , but in can in fact . In march 2008 i had at end march 20 cm snow , i think it was pasen , how you call it ? Eastern ? In 1999 end i think somewere in 2002 [ not sure exact , dont pin me down on the exact data] i CAN assure you that i had 10 cm snow en other occasion 30 cm in April ! en also -10 . So it is unlikely , but unlikely doesnt mean it is impossible ! Believe me or do not believe me , its up to everybody for her him self. Ok ECMWF is running now , lets see en analyse.

There come the latest CFS 18z with the Polar Vortex moving in to the south. Are we in for someting special weather 3e decade februari en beyond that ? I think so , but unsure with the models .

There are realy good chanse with some of the model runs. Some energy at the wrong place s is going out. High signals start near Norway/Iceland.Also in the top of the heights. Ukmo looks ok en building towards the block . GFS 00z is also looking good. , it wil bring the Nord flow , later on with possible little cold lows from Spitsbergen or the from the weather island Jan Mayen.If this can get trough , it can bring snow with it. Nogaps at 180 hours comes with a highpressure systeem between Iceland en Norway , with 1030 or 1035 hectopascal. Near Denmark there is a cold low arrived from the north.This could be effect Brittain. Gem is puting some heigh pressure at 204 over us .But i think thats over reaction. As is see all together [ waiting for ECMWF still ] is this the conclusion : NO Strong Atlantik or not at all. B ; staying cool ,en possible cold weather on his way back later with possible also snow en wintry weather , frost widespread. So lets wait together for the fore some holy model the ECMWF . I am trilled en exiting.I have a good feeling overal in this. It could be that we will face in march UK en Netherlands a litlle Nemo [ my opinion en CFS ] Ok lets stop the analyse me for a while en just wait , with tea.

There , you see ? look good there he is ! He is coming southwards , the Nordpool air ! Very major evolution from the GFS 18z. Also the CMA is cold.

It have some support Ec oper from the ensembles .

Cma 12z The Chinese weathermodel seems to backing up the Ec 12z operationeel. The other charts are still running. I will post that later.

Ladies en gentleman we have a MAJOR projektion from the European model ECMWF from READING , A huge showdown . Stay tuned for more analyse from my side. I am waiting CMA for definitieve conclusions . Hold on folks , hang on.I must say a stunning run ,it even surprise me little bit. But still every thing is unsure , read my postings before. But i have a good hope for prolonging , scharpening en also march winter.

So I am back , you see GFS 12z now ? Complete different , end this is 12z no 06 pub run or wateffer. End this means again cold.So i think lot of people here dont get my point good. But ok we will see , i update the models with my vision. Lets wait for the ECMWF again end CMA . Just a short note to you all, arent you thinking why some models persist like me in the cold spells ? Wenn the Atlantik zonaal would be strong at the present moment or the future we would not discuss this situation now , it would be clear en present to all of us . En becouse it is unsure , fluent , different , not clear , tthat means to me something is going on. En dont mark your self to MJO .

It is not over at all the struggle with the weathermodels. I stay at the road for the cold options. Cma en also other support is still there , also is see good signals also by the Ecmwf also EC 32. Also CFS . I want remind people that it can be winter also in march with snow.

Yes you have right , we will see , my friend , we will see !

No spring for Brittain is the opinion of the Chinese weathermodel CMA . Just colder , so we will see !

Look The ECMWF 00z ist identiek to the GEM 00z , [ i have posted the charts from Gem } It wants take the blok towards Iceland. ECMWF , GEM, CFS , versus GFS !

GFS 00z ensemble s , they lost the road, a complete mess , at very short term already , enormous spreading en difference s.

CFS , climate/weather model the latest run 18z [ they alway scome later] shows ua this. A little intrelude with mild air at medium range , en than a robuust cold snap shot. Look the chart piece s, not far each other in the time frame. We begin with a 174 hours chart. Than at 228 En look at this chart with a major outburts of continental Arctische air ! The forbidden CA air can move or break out from there , .

While the GFS 00z is a drama run for cold , opposite is GEM 00z [ Canadian] stunning good. Look the chart for the 180 hours. A Iceland block , en cold low can move south from the nord.

GFS 00z is Nigtmare run for wintry people. Very bad , i dont believe it. Gem 00z holding firm , consistent. Look the chart from it. It is very unsure at very short limit already between some models. I think the cold options will win. Btw unexpected a band of snow is moving from Belgium to me . That is what i mean sometimes with last minute calculation with low s direction between warm en cold air.A minimaal difference can do lot of things change s. I will make again some foto s for you at my galery.