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Everything posted by tight isobar
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
tight isobar replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Morning!. The winter of discontent continues!.. ironically the polar profile/ pv are playing ball.. however the drivers- equatorial platforms, are miss firing. We need the madden JO to play a massive factor of gain to revive anything “ like winter Synoptics “ for our shores!! I’m not seeing anything other than switch n revert just now !!! -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
tight isobar replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
@ICE COLD - if a shabby PM incursion is the best we can hope for then I’ll hang up my hat this season -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
tight isobar replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
@nick sussex @nick sussex It’s abysmal output for any cold incursion northern most- let alone countrywide.. it’s almost as if the Azores is becoming energized, as the pv transfers east and elongating and rubber stamping it’s authority both to upstream dynamics.. and indeed European ones. Atm it’s very difficult to be optimistic in the foreseeable!!! -
The mean standing bk but the clustering is getting bound.. we need to look bk end jan/- early feb- for alignment in dynamics… get ya rollercoater tickets here
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Gfs n gem offering up similar Synoptics- into the latter stages! There is certainly a scope for formats of heights into the Scandinavian plots.. and with momentum gaining, it’s more than a feasible evolution.. as per we’ll watch and see this possibly developing scenario. And watch ens supporters for the switch!…
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Somewhat oddly / unusual- we now have a better chance region wide nxt 36/48 from forming shower activity around the Cheshire gap.. the Synoptics are ripe for showers getting well inland and heading further south. There’s even an outside chance of more organized snow bands developing… so something to watch …