-
Posts
5,411 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
15
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by tight isobar
-
Model output discussion 11/12/21
tight isobar replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you view the nor- hem Synoptics from now, to the rounded seaboard Pacific angle.. ignoring the Russian peninsula production, then I think you’ll gain model watching- as a cold fan coming into carlsberg , quantitative measures!- I’m positively buzzing for the Xmas period.. -
Model output discussion 11/12/21
tight isobar replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So let’s cast aside the generic overall- a season where a mother lobe usually programmer trop polar v- evoles- can actually, aid for wanting soul- spilled frozen , incurring formats to nw- Europe!. I cannot remember in all my years of meteorological views, seeing a classic .. it won’t- yet it will happen!!??.. the pit stomach feeling can’t go away .. if it’s fails.. it fails BIg- if it delivers.. its .... need I say more -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
it’s 1 run ?- from perhaps the most progressive/ mobile searching run of the suites @6z. Go easy on yaselfs ere !!! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeah- certainly, although as keeps being mentioned plenty of meat on the bones of this yet. The possitive bit though- is it’s not far from certain now that the cell goes north- of some direction @ and that’s all gravy. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Remember that well- Although the encouragement this time is the Pacific side shenanigans .A defined cut into the pole while we have our very own becoming accomplished Synoptics- this side of the water!. Ya gotta say it’s preety promising looking -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A good illustration here of even a mlb- with such vast and deep cold now established in the upper latts, just how quickly an- inflow of cold could easily be obtained directly to our shores . Long may the evolving- evolution continue.. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nice - And that pac punch waa- will I’m sure be the key to de- formation of the vortex- obviously getting our high- to shake hands with him- would be abominable ..@ keep watching -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The ec also heading down the same avenue this morning. Are we now beginning to get traction and gain on clearance for the high going northwards .. I’d say so.. That’s exactly the sign most are looking for. So a definite trend now evolving. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A defined upgrade this morning in both terms of heights - and ultimately the draw /intakes of sub continental airflow slowly edging closer to our shores- as viewed via the 850 snaps.! So a little more oomph into the higher latts as we gain... And indeed the run up to Xmas- and the period itself getting ever more interesting -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Another run ? = Another push of heights into the semi- pole.. and a tangled pv to boot- the Canadian rolling now too.. let’s see the evo. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeah- perhaps this is where the evolution begins- the Canadian/euro starting alliance . With similar matched profiles.. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The signal still flagging for rises to Greenland- either way I’m fully confident - of nil, sinking. And rises into the upper latts of description!. A long way to go still for deciphering. But Sunday evening I’m sure we may start to get some form of model alliance. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Everything going in the correct direction for a cold Christmas period!... I’d say so the slant- trend continues.. @ London ens-@2m temp, plots.. over to the 12z- for perhaps further nailing -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The out parameters of these to add!. Usually non worthy @range- yet with the upper layers state and configuration of the HP.. more thana worth while post!!-@ it’s all about putting the jigsaw together!!. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If it’s a blocked - starting pistol ya looking for- with instrumental possibilities- going forwards. And you’re not happy with these.. then start knitting or something, or maybe stamp collecting ? @ GEFS 500s the 6z suite. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Americans will 99:9% put their own context- cast into play.. as they perceive/desire... remember this!!! J- Cohen being top of that list! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Better than ya textbook tri- pv.. it’s an obliteration and segmentation that is as feasible as night turned to day.. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Pacific ridge that’s played havoc with our part in the last 2/4 winter season.. has been situated slap bang on the Pacific side USA seaboard.. and allowed pv non injections to the ne- side.. thanx to sst programme- and madden julien in sync.. this isn’t the case..@now and we couldn’t ask for a better position/ friendship of the pairing now... on we move -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That dependant in which telecons/ formats ya wanna go with- -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Prominent features that are not gonna be distorted- via latter frame output!!- oceanic waving at its best And lagging level layers ramifications- even @this point.. the 500 geopot- heights , still not grasping the level layer signal at this point.. as catch up ..... catching up - so to speak! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Anyone awaiting a shrinking violet.@ ho cell stagnation/sinking.. will likely be disappointed I think @going forward. As for the tpv.. and other notes for a ramp up.. well imo this is default modelling, and with singular wave/Nina activity.. I reckon as again this will clear paths moving forward. And will as always.. be hinted at in the raws..already it’s a clear pathway- to polar- semi polar forcing..@hp migration!. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
At this time stage that’s not a surprise!.. as I told you before, come bk the weekend!@ say Sunday. Then we’ll look a model profile on the forementioned- or at least have a deco towards hp migration to Greenland!.. you seem to be desperate for a complete collapse.. yet post no data to suggest such... some could say you’re borederline trolling tbh-!!!! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For myself I think we - are nearly safe to say that only elongation, and rises of some kind @ northern extent are steadfast, as the pole profiles are now becoming ripe for waa.. into/to towards those geographicals.... almost waving @ “no pun intended”!-A hand ? of up ya come