Essexfish
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Posts posted by Essexfish
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Intensity picked up just a tad in Stanway, Colchester.
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3 minutes ago, steveinsussex said:
So a 3-4 day cold snap
In a winter of many transient events, 3-4 days would be good. But calling it a 3-4 day cold snap, 3-4 days out from it beginning is somewhat puzzling.
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Snow mix in Stanway, Essex
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Wet snow in Stanway, South Colchester
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Heavy cold rain for the week ahead with a strong cold wind. Lovely.
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4 minutes ago, smarklew said:
The Telegraph today reported on an SSW occurring in the next fortnight and a Beast from the East 2 following. Thoughts?
SSW taking place now. Split of Vortex looks likely. Beast from the East is one of many possibilities but definitely not a certainty at this range.
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- Popular Post
Specifically mentions what the models are picking up and explains why next week is likely to be cold and wet rather than cold and white.
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Great explanation of why next week is likely to be cold and wet rather than cold and white.
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BBC Lunchtime weather having none of it for Easterly going into the weekend. Cold rain and temps of 6-7 by day into the first week of Jan. Model output suggests otherwise but it does look marginal to say the least.
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Happy Polar Vortex Split Day. Surely the hunt for cold should be focussed on the next two-three weeks from now?
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2 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
Not in the strat.
Ok, fair enough.
Lets see where we are at this time next week I guess.
Pub run first though.
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3 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
All these models top out very high now, so i cant see why it wouldn't model a split high up in the atmosphere (less chaotic) well at such short range.
I can see your point but can also remember many occasions when models have struggled much beyond day 4.
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7 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:
NH profile agreed, UK cold however is further away. Deep cold way over in Russia!
I feel like we are trying to squeeze frozen chocolate out a fairy liquid bottle at the moment! It’s hard going!
Thankfully it is only November...
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1 minute ago, Swave Snow said:
With these warming uppers could that be rain for this region
'Warming' is to be taken with a pinch of salt I think. Warm compared to the very low temp uppers we've had but not warm enough for rain...just yet...
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Very nice, moderate, small flaked snowfall in Chelmsford, blowing in the wind.
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2 minutes ago, Mark Bayley said:
We can dream!
Only thing we can do.
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Blizzard like in Chelmsford...Passing or not - what a shower!
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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/#?tab=coldWeatherAlert
Level 2 cold weather alert issued by Met Office
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Just a quick question; with the models moving away from an easterly scenario in the space of 24 hours is it not just as likely to move back in favour? 72hours ago an easterly was nothing but a pipe dream.
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
in Regional
Posted
Winds are still predominantly North East. Need more of an Easterly feed for them to be pushed in land. This should happen over night and into tomorrow as todays low slips away to the south.