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Daydream Boy

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Posts posted by Daydream Boy

    Storm Isha, Amber ⚠️

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Seriously not sure why St Austell in Cornwall is under an Amber Warning 🤔. Just an ordinary windy night here. No notable gusts here at all. Maybe touching 50mph every once in awhile. Very disappointing. I was looking forward to a stormy night to be honest. I know it's bad elsewhere but big let down for my location 😕🙄 Very hyped up in my opinion. We have had way worse than this before! 

     

    • Like 3

    Storm Isha, Amber ⚠️

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    I don't understand. 2 days go many sites were saying 70mph gusts here and then yesterday morning 65mph gusts and then it's got lower and lower. Met Office and Netweather has us barely in the 50mph gusts category which is normal for a windy day in the winter down here and certainly not enough for an Amber Warning. So confused and a little disappointed as I was really looking forward to a good blow! 

    • Like 1

    Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    53 minutes ago, TwisterGirl81 said:

    Not the graph I posted above, I was replying to another poster who had posted another screenshot from a French weather model with wind speeds not wind gusts 

    this is the screenshot they posted which isn’t gusts, it’s mean wind speed translated from French.

    I posted the gfs gusts graph to show how severe it could be 

    78FB1A86-E0E6-4B56-9E22-A5620E3DF2D5.png

    D07F8DF5-0CA5-4C58-8562-88958A8B87F2.png

    Sorry. I didn't see that. My mistake 😕

    • Like 1

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Mitch the motorbike storm said:

    All charts are showing the storm weakening in the English channel now, nothing inland 

    Weakening already?! Are you sure? I'm sure it's not meant to be at its lowest pressure until it's over central southern England 🤔

    • Like 2

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    All gone calm here in St Austell Cornwall. Had 4 hours of heavy rain and very gusty winds with at least 2 hrs plus of gusts to 60mph at least and from a south to south easterly direction felt very exposed and again very unusual to have winds that strong from that direction. Lots of debris and small branches off trees and surface water flooding. Pressure dropping quickly. Currently 970mb. Now just wait to see if we actually get these extreme gusts of wind that has been forecast in the early hours! 

    • Like 1

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    I think the amber warnings will be dropped tomorrow and the yellow warnings will be scrapping the south coast. Maybe keep a yellow warning for the rain but that's it. I'm secretly disappointed here in Cornwall as was getting excited about it all. CI and Northern France now in the firing line. Signing off until the next storm that disappoints 😞 

    • Like 1

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Usually always the case with these potent storms. Trends further and further south. Alot of rain still I'm sure but looks like ending up a normal autumnal windy day apart from the CI and Northern France getting the worst of it. 

    Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, ANYWEATHER said:

    Looking increasingly likely that France will bear the lions share of the stormy winds later this week , although rain probably still an issue for parts of the UK. ...

    Could contain:

    Could contain:

    Could contain:

    Could contain:

    Could contain:

    The UK might miss out on these storms altogether then 🤷‍♂️ these potent storms for the most part trend more south as the day approaches. I was looking forward to seeing some high winds and high seas to be honest as I live in Cornwall. However I don't wish loss of life or too much damage of course! 

    • Like 3

    Model Output Discussion - Into February

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    On 10/02/2023 at 09:01, Ruzzi said:

    I don't think anyone has said at any point that a SSW guarantees cold weather, and I don't think anyone has indicated that they are 100% that the upcoming SSW is bringing cold weather. Infact the only people who have mentioned anything of the sort are the people trying to constantly remind everyone else that it doesn't guarantee cold, despite it being pretty common knowledge through-out. 

    I think it's safe to say that 99% of the thread followers are fully aware that it doesn't guarantee cold, but I think the discussion over the past few days especially has been really interesting and there's always, or should always be a good hype around a SSW at this stage especially as no-one knows how it will play out and that's where the interest and excitement comes from.

    People are not here for the guarantee of cold .... otherwise nobody would be here 🤷‍♂️ 

    We're here to enjoy the ride of seeing how it plays, a SSW doesn't guarantee cold and snow, but it gives us a ticket to the raffle and that's where the thrill of the chase comes in. 

    If you want spring and warmth, maybe best not to hang your hat on it for at least another few weeks until the effects of the SSW are laid out a bit clearer. 

    Ummmm ok. Keep your knickers on! It was just a comment. I wasn't suggesting anyone was saying anything. I was just echoing what others have been saying in regards to a SSW. 

    Now I've realised why I don't comment on here ever! Especially if I'm gonna get my head bitten off! 

    Not the warm welcome I was hoping for.

    I will now go back into the background as before and read and watch from afar. 

    Moderators, please forgive the off topic comment. 

    Back to model discussion 🙂

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    • Like 4
    • Thanks 1
    • Insightful 1
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