helen47
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Posts posted by helen47
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1 minute ago, kmanmx said:
Really dont understand why Met Office only put a yellow out when there is heavy snow across the entire central swathe of the country during rush hour on a Friday while people are commuting back from work and to home in London and such.
Probably because they have been court out ?
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1 minute ago, AppleUK 123 said:
I agree Brennan, there is so many negative comments when the event hasn’t really started even in the SW, let alone be Midlands...users should have a more positive view and not come to hasty conclusions.
Yea my steps are disappearing:) in notts
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Just now, Fender.. said:
Is the Euro 4 , a top model though. Is it up with the gfs and ecm and the like?
Never seen snow like this here in notts its unreal
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1 minute ago, Mike Poole said:
So, into the GEFS ensemble, here at T252, this thing is practically nailed on now, you can tell your mum!
Lol ive seen easterlys fail at t48 nothing is nailed with the beast
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2 minutes ago, Jimmyh said:
Can i ask a basic question. How often are the ENS produced??? I thought as a novice on here that the scatter at the time was marginal and showing most going cold. Are they producced more than once a day??
4 times a day after each run
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Just now, abbie123 said:
So is that it then gone the way as pear and the meto update today was very encouraging ..
Look again in the morning it will be different then look 6 hours later it will be different and so on its an evolving situation dont get hung up on one set of ensembles:)
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Comming down quite heavy just north of nottingham
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Heavy snow nottingham
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14 minutes ago, Richard Fisher said:GFS trumps ECM again? I would be interested to here whether Steve Murr is still backing the ECM today.
Nothing has trumped anything yet it has not happend yet could all change on the 12z
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On Sunday, February 21, 2016 at 0:20 PM, feb1991blizzard said:
Is The GEFS and EC EPS rise in temperature towards the end of the end of the run being discarded?, it looks to me like a return to zonality of sorts on both those models although I obviously have only seen the later in London graph form. Oooopsss delete this post please
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19 minutes ago, karyo said:
Judging by what I see a cold or at least below average temperature wise March is likely. However, it can't be as cold as 2013 because the Arctic (and the whole northern hemisphere) is much warmer than it was 3 years ago.
I wouldnt be so sure it can rapidly become very cold
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7 minutes ago, andy_leics22 said:
Whereabouts in Calverton do you live? My sister lives in Collyer road.
This is flippin' typical. Snow in Leicester now and nothing down here in Oxford. Also the PPN is way too far East now! The main event looks to be over the East Midlands and will slide down into London and the South East. the models were about 50-100 miles out in predicting this band of PPN!
Labray road around the corner lol small world
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Wow massive flakes everywere white love it
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Heavy snow starting to settle
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Its starting to pep up a bit in notts
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Very light snow starting to fall
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7 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
Their T120hrs fax chart that they put out tonight cannot evolve to the Friday chart shown in that video. If they think their output is an outlier then they should have modified their raw data so that the charts match the BBC forecasts.
I can see by the set up Friday that that is the 00hrs output as the evolution from that T144hrs to 24hrs later would look inline with the BBC broadcast.
Yep can see what your saying i find it hard to believe they would put a new forecast out that is based on old data very old ????
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11 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
I just worked out those BBC weather for the week ahead forecasts that appear in the late evening are done using the 00hrs UKMO output.
Tonights forecast had high pressure over Scandi next Friday with an east/se flow into the UK , theres no way synoptically that tonights UKMO output could evolve to that 24hrs later.
http://www.bbc.com/weather/features/35330201
Look around 2.50 into the forecast.
If the UKMO had completely disregarded their outlier solution and they went with the 00hrs run in that video perhaps that would explain this however this leaves a question mark over why then you'd put out a fax chart tonight that could not in any way evolve to that Friday chart shown.
This is one of my irritations! In the so called modern age of media, update the forecast with the latest info not output that's already yesterdays news!
Hmmm but we dont know what there models are showing that we dont see ?
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1 hour ago, THE CHOSEN ONE said:
So to repeat what I just added over on TWO
bin all the GFS & ECM suites
go with a total pattern change in the next 12-24 hours to a very cold easterly at 144-168
S
Lol hope you havnt hit the bottle early steve
seriously though i hope you are right
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2 minutes ago, THE CHOSEN ONE said:
Unanamous support for the slider
scenario on the 192 ECM mean
watch for significant temp drop off ( finally ) in the ensemble suite....
s
GAME ON
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7 minutes ago, radiohead said:
At least the OP if part of a cold cluster rather than being a clear outlier. Still looks like a low probability solution overall but not a pipe dream either.
Let's see how things develop in the days ahead.
Im no expert but they are dutch ens i think
The real cold uppers get into the northern parts of uk so thet wont be showing on the ens for holland???
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heavy snow now in notts unreal
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wow here we go again radar comming alive just started snowing again
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nottingham looking in good position for tonight bbc news up to 10cm of fresh snow turnin into an epic event
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
in Regional
Posted
Well this never ends hammering down again in nottingham:)