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Joker

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Posts posted by Joker

  1. Judging by the 6z NMM lite animation I've just run, folk should also prepare for some wind-driven snow during the early part of the event.

    I am talking winds in excess of 30mph here, albeit for a brief period and prone coastal locations may well get gusts in the range of 40 to 50mph.

    In terms of snow, things may be marginal at first, in the usual locations but the BBC (MetO affiliated) forecasts I have seen, show widespread reasonable amounts of SNOW and Cornwall getting in on the act eventually, later into the event.

    That will cause some serious drifting - possibly well over 1 metre drifts!

  2. One thing I will say about Cockthaw is that he seems to focus on central London. Last Feb he talked about minimal amounts of snow in London, which came as a surprise to many in the capital who had 3-4 inches and a Sunday of sledging. Yet central London was clear. Not saying this is what is happening here but maybe he is factoring the intense heat trapping that occurs in the middle of town. Just a thought.

    "Cockthaw" - love it! rofl.gif

  3. Yeah but most of the heavy snow will have fallen by then...it's always the same along the South Coast of England, it could be snowing on Mercury, indeed it could be snowing in the inner core of the sun...and it would still rain here :-(...I'm still hopeful, but I'm not getting my hopes up...if needs be I'll get some warm clothes on and talk a trundle up onto the South Downs !

    I used to live up in Hollingbury when I lived in Brighton as a child. It could be a blizzard up there but raining in the centre. So yes, I would advise a trip up to the Downs.

  4. I've seen too many other sources that give me great confidence, the MET O will update on Friday and their TV output is already saying snow all the way through the weekend!

    OK, just over an hour and the GFS 12z will cover us in snow (probably!!!)

    What do you think about the threat of sleet/rain for our neck of the woods, Coast? Would you say 50/50?

  5. Just drawn up a map

    post-7073-0-22652100-1358346042_thumb.gi

    It's a pretty rough estimate, obviously some areas will see slightly more or slightly less, but as a ballpark figure based on the latest NAE & NMM

    Seems a pretty decent guide. I hope that the occlusion doesn't cause a sleet/rain scenario for us here again like last Monday. The MET are predicting this again and it would be a shame to have a roaring blizzard only to be washed away before we can get out and enjoy it. wallbash.gif

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