Kent Blizzard
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Posts posted by Kent Blizzard
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Just for fun does anyone look at the meto app on mobile and view the forecasts? Computer generated they maybe but from 21:00 Fri - 09:00 Sat I have Light Snow :-D
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Just for bit of fun I have made a snow risk map for Kent based on what we have viewed this evening from the models and also a little bit of media influence also. Once again just bit of fun mainly for my own enjoyment so don't take my views as concrete,
I will change this as and when I feel need up until Friday Lunchtime
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if them showers get close the estuary
http://meteox.com/gm...oom&x=221&y=267
and the wind direction can switch to an easterly
we may see some showers penetrate further inland
dont want to say streamer but if it does
you wont see it predicted
Small details but I reckon the wind NW'ly in places is enough to move any snow chance away from me here and push over to the East as predicted by Meto imo. even though the expected E'ly kicks in soon
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Oh right but would the MO warnings for the west of the country reflect more confidence for the Snow for them rather than the east or have they just not updated the pages?
I could be wrong but I guess confidence is greater for the West to see snow at present because fo the nature of the set up, but also they will get the snow earlier than us remember, West to East etc.. so maybe our warning will be issued tomorrow morning. I wouldnt worry about the warnings yet.
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The West will turn to rain and therefore driving conditions will trigger an early warning for them so wouldn't worry about that, plus they will get winds and blizzards first, then rain will make wet roads and ice.
I said dont worry if we take a while to get snow on Friday, the later the better, after midnight etc
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*cough* We don't know where it's going to fall, so got 5 year olds to spray paint on the screen *cough*
HAHA I like the fact that's only Friday also so plenty of time into Saturday for that all to move to us
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Just a little more East please.
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If anyone ever thought that after earlier outputs it was all gonna be positive from here on in then they need there head tested, there will be plenty of swings and roundabouts to go yet.
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You mean the snow that fell whilst I was asleep and didn't settle? Brilliant.
Prob too low in Rochester then because up in Lordswood and Maidstone it settled.
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Don't be down guys, this time tomorrow it could be game on again for us, these things will and often do change right up till T24 even t12
Alot to play for imvho
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Remember when looking at the charts over the coming day or so guys and girls that if there is an E or SE'ly wind off a very cold continent snow can fall up to -1c at 850Hpa and thicknesses can be as high as 537dam as the air is dry and very cold,
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Well there is potenial for a very special bit of weather, though for now I'd say the bullseye zone would be somewhere in the west Midlands. Still lets hope the 18z continues to throw the front far enough east for us to really feel the benefit.
Shouldn't have to worry about too much marginality with the severe cold embedded and coming in from France.
I was thinking this but then I thought they could be one the first to get it turn to Rain where say us in the SE could have the snow for longer and hold onto the bitter temps for longer meaning that even though less snow we could have it longer..
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It is so tempting to get overly exciting but we should keep our feet on the ground for a little while long, I have no doubt we will see snow out of this Friday/Saturday event but how much is yet to be seen, I got a feeling the major mess will be caused by blizzard type conditions in the wind rather than snow depth.
Personally I prefer depth meaning car cannot get down the road and no work lol
Note regarding tonight, looking at the wind directions if I lived Margate/Ramsgate down to say Dover, I would be keep an eye on these showers coming in off the North Sea,
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Let's not forget the general rule of thumb for Snow regarding uppers and dew points for Friday + all change when you get a SE'ly off a cold continental feed.
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I don't mean to turn this into the MO thread, I'm not sure on the rules but wouldn't this kind of output bring snow also? I think so http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1922.gif
Welcome to the regional forum Kent Blizzard
Hi thanks
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FI but it still would keep the cold air rolling air, could be a remarkable spell of weather coming up, could the media hype about a 3 week freeze be correct for once lol
http://www.meteociel...M0-216.GIF?15-0
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Hi all. I'm new but have been a lurker for a while based in Medway
It's certainly been an interesting few days and we look to have atleast another week of interesting weather to look forward to, the latest outputs show something very special on the cards for much of the U.K. and us in the SE.
FI but it keeps us going for sometime http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2013011512/ECM1-192.GIF
Some would say still FI but this is not far away at all, Nice wedge of the UK including us showing as snow on the GFS t78 http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=78&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=
Something certainly to keep an eye on over the next 24hrs before we start to enter the what i call "probable outcome zone"
Regarding tonight's activity it currently looks like everything will just sweep past the East of the County unless we can get a NE/NNE wind change as the night goes on which I wouldn't rule out looking towards the directions up in the North East at the Moment.
London & South East Regional Discussion - January 16th 2013>
in Regional
Posted
I shall be updating my fun snow risk map.for Kent later.
Very encouraging updates, Not worried about Sunday at this stage :-)
Freezing Fog here.
P.S terrible news about Helicopter crash in London