Sussex snowstorm
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Posts posted by Sussex snowstorm
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We ain't even in the cold yet and people are looking for a ending for it already, the models change daily, for instance tomorrow's modles will say different then today past even 96hours! It gives me headaches this model watching, but keeps me on my toes, All I know is that the cold is set in stone next week, for snow it's to early to say this far out, it's just a waiting game!
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It's to early to talk about snow this far out, it can pop up anywhere in a short amount of time, get the cold in first, then these sliders then let the games begin !
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Also looking more into next week as there is signs of low pressure systems to slide through the uk with the jet digging way south, this would then give us a build of high pressure North of us with an increasing risk of an eastley wind,much better for us in the South East I say, but still a long way off more runs to get through first but the Trend continues!!
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Yeah true, you can get wintry weather if the dew point is below 0 even if the air temp is higher, won't lay as well though, being close to the coast doesn't help with showers, but also it depends where the showers are coming from , lol
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With this current set up its intersting what kinda shower you will get next (lighting, heavy rain,snow, sleet, hail, gusty winds) im more focusing on the more heavier prep, need these dew points to drop though for abit of white stuff !
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Yeah it was only a very short storm but some fantasic lighting though, it's past now with clear sky's, awaiting the next shower!
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A little thunder strom just hit us in porstlade, just rain and hail here though, just an onshore breeze from the shore picking up the temps slightly, better more inland you go though
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That front ain't moving north , I swear it was expected to snow here on Brighton coast at 12 midnight I don't think that's the case looks like its going and dieing every run on the rader all I got here is dust snow all day , better then nothing I suppose
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This happened in February where a channel low missed the coast and where I lived only had flurrys, I hate living in sussex because to much headaches from these channel lows , one minute it's moved north then last sec it's moved south , they always have trouble with anything coming up from the south , hint 1987 hurricane
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I love these charts soo far as I love on the south east coast soo best area for the fun but anywhere further south that high pressure then it will be nothing apart from cold and dry, any further north then it would be better for northen areas, just a waiting game susspose
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Started snowing in Brighton wasnt suspecting this ? :/
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Ukmo is not going nothing like the ECM more like the flatten gfs 12z
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Rain all day yesterday ad last night, snowing heavy here now 50p snow flakes and laying on grass roof tops and cars in Brighton !!
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Yep love fishing down the old marina always go , dad had a boat down there till he sold it lol, I'm not disappointed this winter has I have seen snow , lots indeed laying on ground for a week in January , just shame it snows soo close to my area and it rains and rains here whilst others get loads it's weather for you at the end of the day
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Flooding is the word in Brighton at the moment , rain rain rain , guess it might be the end of the winter roll on spring I guess
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That big blob is coming my way in Brighton annoying thin is its not cold enough down here soo looks like missing it again
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It shows snow in Kent up to te midlands it's been upgrading , have to wait to see if it upgrades for some of us who live in sussex as its pretty close lol
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Ahhh fun and games soo close to sussex haha
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I personally can see in my eyes that the ECM is showing cold easterlies whilst gfs is bringing in altanic fronts , I can see half way house here as the ukmo is basically trying to say , sliding lows means more snow so atm I'm happy with the outcome, that if it pays of money is on ukmo but that's my view , I can see the same setup as mid January coming on board but its to early to say anything so far lol
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Shame this winter has to go though all this hassle , in the models it's changing all the time, they all come together in the end but it's confusing untill that time is up for forecasting , it's a major headache for the professionals, I ain't paid much attention to gfs has I know before the run how it's gonna pan out to be , I am more intersted in the ECM and ukmo thrus far this winter , I'm not ruling out the gfs but it's all going mental atm , lets hope it lines up with the others in the end and that's a big if lol
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Another undercut after 198 if so then this winter has been from undercutting to give us the goods , happend last cold spell are we heading the same way ?
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ECM staying strong for cold spell for the last 6 runs or so , also the gfs is slowly going inline with the ECM , all in all it's good , just hope and wait for the ukmo to get in line with ECM then things could get more interesting looks like the ukmo at 144 hours is pretty worrying but with the ens and the gefs ensembles slowly going towards cold spell then ukmo could and should move in line with the colder section
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As what I seen this winter is that when a cold spell is coming in the models, the ukmo and ECM is normally on the cold side whilst gfs is riding them Atlantic systems quick and getting rid of any cold weather over the uk , whilst the ukmo and ECM keep the cold over the uk , in the past cold spell the ukmo/ ECM was more correct then the gfs , but when it was milder the gfs was more on the ball , then the ukmo / ECM , gfs was always uncertain till the nearer time Frame (last cold spell) are we heading the same way again with the ECM and ukmo becoming correct ? Or will the gfs over come it ? I know what I got my money on
haha
Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat
in Regional
Posted
No way see as I was saying you never know snow on the coast in brighton lol