Ravendane
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Posts posted by Ravendane
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2 hours ago, richie3846 said:
I suspect this will just be the norm most years going forward. It's difficult to call it a crisis when it happened in 2018 and again last year, and regionally some areas were affected in other recent years also. We have to adapt to survive.
4mm a day (at least) loss of moisture in these conditions, multiply that by a few weeks, and it's no wonder this happens so quickly. Grass browns off at approximate moisture deficits of 75mm, which means in most summers we can expect this to happen at some point.
It will be a crisis if there isn't enough grass high enough to cut as hay and silage for winter fodder for farm animals and horses. May and June are the growing times and it isn't growing enough in an early drought.
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Last year's drought in the South East was a nightmare for people with grazing animals. We rely on them having plenty of grass for them to eat, it also eases the financial burden of feeding them. We had to use all our bought in stock of expensive winter hay because there was no grass left just baked and cracked earth. The lack of rain isn't just an inconveniance for domestic gardeners and an enjoyable time of fine weather. It is a crisis
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This lack of rain is seriously worrying...being in the South East, last summer's drought was so bad for wildlife, grazing animals and for farmers and growers. I had no grass for my two mares. Now the ground is rock hard again with wide cracks, I am worried sick
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I missed the snow in December , I was in hospital for three weeks with no view of the outside world .So yet another snow less winter....Earlier today there was a high percentage of snow in my area. Now it has all gone. I am moving to Canada....or Norway
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I'm just fed up with the Netweather seven day forecast giving 95 percent chance of snow for my region (the Chilterns) which changes every time to 0. I vowed not to check anymore after one night the 95 percent at 2am became 0 percent within minutes. Yet years later I am still looking
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All the high percentage of snow forecast for my area, the Chilterns , has gone from the next weeks forecast....down to zero snow for us
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As a person with heart disease and ruematism, the heat is dangerous, so not a fan of high temperatures and humidity. But my biggest concern living in the drought ridden south east is for our natural enviroment. The land is rock hard and barren, streams and small rivers have dried up. We had a frightening night when a neighbouring farm had a huge fire in a stubble field...only the lack of a prevailing wind and the courage of the fire service stopped it reaching our dry as a bone land. The sight of a red sky at 1am in the UK was really chilling
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I clearly remember the end of October 2011 being exceptionally hot. I was in Brighton for a conference and there was a freak heatwave. T shirt and icecream weather! Even late at night it was warm enough to stroll along the seafront in summer clothes
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Nothing but seasonal average temperatures and rain on both the Netweather seven and fourteen day forecasts
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Some unfortunate people get SAD disorder from lack of sunlight. I have a disorder that makes me low and depressed from lack of snow in February...the last true winter month. The last chance . I ought to emigrate to Canada! Foolishly, every November I log into the Netweather model thread, looking for good, snowy news. Every recent year is a roller coaster of raised then cruelly dashed expectations. In the past, I have remembered snowy Februaries and short lived but spectacular snow in March and April but the sun is too strong, the ground too warm for it to last by then.. This years expectations at the beginning of the winter season seemed so promising. We had one fall of snow that lasted one day. Yet, like The Terminator, next November.. I'll be back....
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Am I the only one to find the Netweather Seven Day forecasts a tad frustrating! For example, our area was given 60 percent chance of snow overnight and into the morning and 90 percent between 9 am and 12pm but not even a flake! The predicted temperatures tonight are scary cold... -8 and as we are in a micro climate frost pocket here, that could well be much colder. Chesham was in the news twice over the years as being the coldest place in the UK at -21. Odd for a little market town nestling in the Chilterns! My husband said that the BBC weather is predicting a rapid thaw. We have horses, so making plans how best to care for them means knowing what the short term forecasts will be.
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Puny light snow on top of rain up here in the Chilterns, cannot believe it will be there by morning. So disappointing
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Latest BBC weather forecast seems at variance with the Netweather forecast and the model forum satelite projections...the BBC is not showing the same cold forecasts....confusing!
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The Beast From the East? More likely the Wuss From the Russ...! Just winter , as most of us on here know. overhyped by the media. The Daily Excess of course bleated about A Killer Snow Storm to hit the whole of the UK....yawn.....
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There was forecasts for snow in the Chilterns on the Netweather Seven Day Forecast all week....all gone now ,..as usual :-(
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Usual Chilterns no show snow...I see it on the radar all the time, precipitation heading towards us only to split above and below to avoid us altogether, Must be something in the topology of the land. Fed up of getting 90/95 percent chance of snow on the Netweather seven day forecasts which ends up as zero
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Missing out again in the Chilterns....up to an hour ago, the forecast was 90 percent for heavy snow tonight...now only 50 percent for a light dusting. Looking on the radar, its gone past us to the south . Showers on the radar seem to always split above and below us on radar runs..
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I am one of those snow lovers who swears never to follow the model discussions or look at the Netweather forecasts. It is always downgrades and disappointment. This morning the forecast was a high chance for heavy snow on Thursday night...already downgraded to heavy rain. I do need to know though. I have to make plans for my three mares, two from Iberia about how to care for them in extreme weather. So the annual rollercoaster of model watch and forecast checking continues.
Oh, and I am in the Chilterns...no longer a guarantee of snow here anymore
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I am no expert but the pattern for this winter so far has been identical to the past few dreary wet and mild winters. Early cold followed by mild all the way to Spring. The curse of the Daily Excess?
Definitely all over and even earlier than last year....I have found daisies growing in the field! Once they are there, it's game over. Time to emigrate to Canada !
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We are ok to moan on this thread though?
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I am no expert but the pattern for this winter so far has been identical to the past few dreary wet and mild winters with America hogging all the cold. Early cold followed by mild all the way to Spring. The curse of the Daily Excess?
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Confused of Chesham......the newspapers are full of talk of a white Easter...hardly unusual for a March holiday... but my Netweather seven day forecast only has horrid rain and a south westerly....
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In reply to Frosty, there is the human created calendar that says spring starts on March 1st.....and Mother Nature's definition....when She says so....
And to those questioning why some of is still want snow...because we drew the short straw and haven't had any this winter...
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Every year I promise myself I will not look at the Netweather seven day forecast....so many promises of snow that never, ever transpire...yet still I do it....sick to death of this horrible winter, of the endless wind, rain, mud, wind, rain and yet more rain...and the mud. Lost count how many bad falls I have had trying to cross the field to feed my horses. I'm no spring chicken and it hurts! Fed up with no snow, fed up with mud and fed up with downgrades.....rant over....
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Missing out again in the Chilterns....up to an hour ago, the forecast was 90 percent for heavy snow tonight...now only 50 percent for a light dusting. Looking on the radar, its gone past us to the south . Showers on the radar seem to always split above and below us on radar runs..
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
So depressed. Desperate for rain and earlier forecasts showed storms and rain heading towards the Chilterns over the next few days. Now changed to hot, humid weather. Not another drought
