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Conor Sherwin

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Posts posted by Conor Sherwin

    Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    im weather watcher from the mail and u have not been on that for a bit

     

    im weather watcher from the mail and u have not been on that for a bit

     

    didnt mean that 

    I've been here for a while mate Posted Image

    Re: Piers Corbyn's forecast, apparently it is that the first significant snowfall for Scotland, and the north will be Boxing Day! Will be interesting to see how that goes, as there are hints of that there....

    its snowing in dublin now

    Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    'Winter 2013-2014 looking to feature a predominantly -AO and a fairly notable -NAO anomaly across winter as a whole. December looking to be the mildest of the three months with a mean temperature not deviating far from average. January and February to feature periods of severe cold which will likely see winter 2013-2014 significantly colder than average on balance'

     

    That was from the 23rd November. December was always likely to be the mildest of the 3 months DJF if my forecast is anywhere near accurate. A fairly significant pattern change to see January much colder than average so therefore a pattern change around the New Year period would fit in well with this proposed shift in synoptics.

     

    There's nothing to be specific over at present other than pressure should be higher than average to our N in general. I'm certainly not discounting a '78/'79 type of scenario at present. Given the extensive cold pooling which is locked to our N at the moment, any wedge of heights to our N could have potentially explosive results in terms of snowfall for the UK.

     

    Here is an example of a fairly typical synoptic set up we'll see during January...(if all goes well)

     

    Posted Imagecfs-0-1074.png

    Posted Image

    Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    [

    Looks like December 2013 is panning out to be a mild one, though not exceptionally mild in my opinion.

    Sadly, this week's cold snap will be all too brief. Don't think it will even reach this part of the UK to any great extent.

    The old problem of a toppling high unfortunately.

    Mind you, I hate driving in it so I suppose I shouldn't complain.

    look what we found a new weather machine that cannot only forecast 5 days ahead he can forecast a month ahead Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image and its not summer easterly winds are not mild Posted Image (easterly winds in winter = Posted Image )

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