meathead
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Posts posted by meathead
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Maybe
Have to disagree, the cold didn't set in until the weekend of the 12th/13th December.
Maybe I am getting confused with 10/11
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If my memory serves me correctly (which as my wife will tell you, is unusual!), when we had that amazing cold spell in 2009/10 didn't we have a slight initial cold spell, much like next weeks, before the proper cold moved in?
Yep I seem to remember this as well
If my memory serves me correctly (which as my wife will tell you, is unusual!), when we had that amazing cold spell in 2009/10 didn't we have a slight initial cold spell, much like next weeks, before the proper cold moved in?
As posted above, November 2009 was very mild, one of the mildest and the wettest on record. However, it did turn quite chilly towards the tail end. The start to December 2009 was also very mild, but it turned cold by the 10th thanks to heights building over the country, the proper cold didn't set in until the 17th. It thereafter remainded very cold through to mid Jan, with a slight warm up during the third week of Jan, but thereafter it stayed mainly cold right through to mid March. A proper cold winter - much more so than winter 10/11 which saw mild weather predominate from early January.
Whilst we can and do see very cold weather on occasion during the latter part of November - it is a very tall order to expect very cold weather to predominate thereafter until March - indeed no winter in at least 100 years has delivered such conditions. The last winter to see nearly 3 months of very cold weather was 62/63 which saw a very cold start to December after very cold weather mid month November, but it became milder until christmas.
Its easier to maintain the cold theme from mid December onwards through to end of February. Early December is the least likely part of the winter to be cold
Some recent winters have been quite unusual in this respect, in that we have seen cold weather at the end of November last through early-mid December, in the case of 2010 right through to christmas. 08/09 saw a cold end to November with cold weather until mid Dec but then a major warm up before christmas. Last year saw a similiar spell of weather, with mild weather returning mid Dec. The ideal scenario is a 2009/10 set up, if this was mid December now, the prospects of a locked in cold period lasting deep into winter would be very high.
09/10 was freezing from about the 28th of November and kept getting colder......
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My gut feeling tells me that it will be very cold on Tuesday, Wed, Thursday and stay cold but not as cold through next weekend, after that I think temps will rise slightly until around the 27th and from then on we will see some proper cold with blocking develop.
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So how are the charts looking now? Good or bad for cold lovers?
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I do find it funny how when the models show milder weather everyone believes them.....
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Or could it just be a one off run and by tomorrow morning they will be back on track. I really hope so....
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Have all the models downgraded today?
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Obviously this question is directed at people who love the cold and the snow.
What is it about the snow and the cold that you love most? Why do you like it?
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I live in Eastern Central Scotland so I am hopeful about seeing snow next week
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Is it too early to get excited?
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Western Europe/Much of US share in cold next 16 days..block may lock after, leading to cold December both also pic.twitter.com/UOtLDNh6kd
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How highly does everyone rate Brian Gaze from TWO? He is so biased towards mild and always like to put a dampener on all things cold. The man frustrates me!
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might we be seeing the infamous TRIPOLE setting up in the atlantic its trying anyway
anomnight_11_4_2013.gifanomnight_11_7_2013.gifanomnight_11_11_2013.gifWhat is a Tripole?
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I really hope these charts come off and that last years huge disappointment doesn't happen again. I remember how annoyed I was last last year when the beast from the east was dead set on arriving then a few days before it was meant to hit, it disappeared.
We have had proper season so far this year. Spring was cold/mild, Summer was hot and dry, Autumn has been windy and rainy with some cold now we just need the trend to continue........
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This November is really like 09/10 although it's actually colder right now than it was then. I think after the 22nd we will see a big change in the weather. Once Europe cools we will cool too. There must be so much cold air bottled up to the north of us.
Anyone else feeling excited?
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I want cold as much as the next person but it's not going to get cold here until Europe has cooled. Moscow is getting a heatwave at the moment.
Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Snow is also very hard to forecast. It always comes when you least expect it.