london and south east kent
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Posts posted by london and south east kent
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The low will be much futher south buy the time it comes the north will be dry and cold but for the south of England there will be some snow this will be a southern England snow runner low
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hi all this high pressure could push north later on with cold anticyclonic weather pattern later on im not throwing in the towel in yet I live in London and I have seen snow on the ground with cold easterlys in april still got time for a big dumping ..
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hi all very cold out tonight in London the bbc weather are saying milder in the west of uk at end of week but staying cold in the south east of England and has for next week colder air will win out with a easterly so they must be seeing something are we missing something on here
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hi all looking cold and wintery looks like some snow moving from the north west heading for south east England London will see some snow tonight and even more snow Monday south east England and London could be the sweet spot
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hi all the cold air to the east of uk is going to be very hard move. in time it could move west then bingo
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what is all the doom getting colder next week with hard frosts and some snow bbc weather said no warm up next weekend and staying cold in to week two.
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South east England could get some heavy snow .
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37 minutes ago, Weather Boy said:
Not sure why you say that, but if you are right, that would be a change from the last couple of years, where ukmo has said cold but has been dragged kicking and screaming into line by the other models.
But this time, the met seem to be going with it, so perhaps you are right.
just my take on things
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3 minutes ago, Paulmcc said:
Hello there,1st time replying here,Been a avid reader of these post,Looking at the graphs tells me nothing as im still learning,Are we looking at a cold week next week or a mild one like what we have had.?
going to get colder nextweek with frost and yes snow is in the forecast ...
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14 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
That stood last night before the ECM went downhill this morning. We want nothing to do with either the ECM or GFS today. They're a tin of spam compared to the UKMO's Dover Sole.
ukmo is on to something
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16 hours ago, nick sussex said:
Yes the UKMO for that timeframe is superb. And it also has a front heading se at T120hrs and a shortwave dropping south at T144hrs from Scotland. Both those of snow.
I'd settle for an ECM/UKMO combo but of course would love to see the UKMO verify. I think with both the ECM and GFS against it that will be difficult.
Anyway the ECM postage stamps are out in about half an hour, we'll see how much support there is for the UKMO solution.
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I think the meto are going with ukmo model
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Hi all its still good for cold next week the gfs is slowly going with the ukmeto my take on early next week we all will be in the cold air Monday from the north with some snow A round later on..
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8 minutes ago, CreweCold said:
Day 7 ensemble mean
Nice synoptics but not overly cold upper air temps.
Cold for snow
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The low coming up from south west has trended south then pulls Easterly wind in for the south there could be a some snow for southen England..
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The 12z will be coming out soon I think I'm going to get behind the sofa for this one..
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5 minutes ago, SW Saltire said:
That isn't really model output discussion..,
but no, Jay Wynne (sp?) said 'hopefully it won't last long'... That is quite different to 'we think it won't last long'.
They will change their forecasts according to the models. If the models continue to upgrade, then their presentations will also.
i'd place faith in some very knowledgable members on here who called this a while back.
How long it lasts is unknown, so is who gets snow... But the BBC will always be more cautious to avoid creating alarm....
Anyway.... I avidly await the 12z!
Ok thank you ..
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Hi all I no I should not post this here but the bbc weather just said it will turn colder next week then went on to say There will be some snow but won't last long..
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Hi all looking very good now for a longer cold spell and snow ..
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Must be very confusing for newbies on here one person saying very good ecm then the next say not very good ..
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Long way out on gfs nice easterly with heavy snow pushing in to south east of England could be a trend
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Hi all I think the gfs will push the lows south for a undercut on this run .
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Hi all looks like same old story with more wet weather to come next week more floods to come but I do see the pattern is slowly on the change in lower pressure to the south and much much colder to the east we won't just go in to a easterly over night the pattern is slowly on the change the cold will come soon
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That cold blob is close east and south east uk
Model Output Discussions 18z 31/01/2016
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
winter has a sting in its tail