jmatt81
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Posts posted by jmatt81
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I live in LE3 and work in LE4. Yesterday there were heavy snow showers and today it has just been a constant light flurry. The snow is more like graupel and less like flakes.
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Hmm. So BBC Weather has just tweeted this
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Looks nice and all but i don't know. I'm not buying it. I'm not meteorologically trained etc and enjoy reading the forums and looking at the charts but I'm just not buying this. My fear is that the block to the north east will encourage advancing depressions to stall out over us and just dump huge amounts of rain. Why would the jet stream just power down compared to the last few weeks?
I would prefer some cold, snow, frosts etc but my worry would be the temperatures do indeed drop but we just get lots more rain and lots more flooding.
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One wonders what ex-Hurricane Kate will do to the overall flow
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Post of the day right here.
Hello everyone, my name is Peter and I'm usually an observer from the outside looking in to these forums but I really feel that I have to come in and say something as an outsider looking in and to respond to the despondency levels that have been brought about in here today. I don't think that this fergie guy has deliberately come in one of the most popular weather forums and where cold and snow lovers reside to say or gloat in any way about mild weather. That would be an evil thing to do right? lol I would like to add this though. These Glosea and big MetO models never seen what they called an unpredictable summer coming until it was over, so what's to say they have it right this time around? First post
That 'fergie guy'? A fellow of the Royal Meteorological Society and weather forecaster for BBC Points West?
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The GEFS 11-15 anomaly this morning isn't any help as it's still fence sitting. Now if it just sunk the trough further south instead of looking at a SW flow
it could create the building blocks,it could introduce the mouth watering possibilities of WAA from the Casablanca area. One can only dreamThe -ve anomalies in Iberia and the Mediterranean still point to -vly tilted and/or split jet which would sustain the blocking High near to the UK as indicated by the MJO
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MJO now forecast to speed through phase 2 into phase 3 towards end of November
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My new flat has storage heaters; I can turn on the electric fire to take the chill off but the cost is too high during the day! So I turned on the storage heater last night on the lowest input and lowest output. My 7 hours of cheap electricity turn off at 0830 and when I turned the heater off at 0630 the whole flat was really warm. May invest in a pair of fleece pyjamas for the winter.
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View to the SSW of Leicester. Hopefully further heating will works its magic
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Yea it will go up the m5 turn off at junction 2a go along the m42 stop off at the hop wood services for a cup of tay and a full English .before carrying on to Coventry drop a few bolts here n there with loud bangs.then onto Leicester for more bangs and flashes of lightning then onto Grantham before giving Lincoln a great display then onto the east coast as per usual.
I guarantee Leicester will get nothing. It will come along the M69 before splitting and going up and down the M1 before meeting again over Loughborough. Leicester has a weather shield. Don't know why but many times I have watched the radar and storms go round it rather than through it.
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Met Office could make much better use of things like twitter IMO, if a strong supercell is moving towards a location and it is dropping large hail then a warning would be warranted.
Obviously folk on here would not need this because most of us would be watching the radar and hoping that the storm veers towards our location, but the general public would benefit from being informed as the storm is happening, rather than being informed based on a prediction.
In the US this is used extensively but they have regional/local weather offices each with their own twitter feeds and they issue weather warnings when they feel it is warranted. This would not work in the UK. We don't have severe weather on that kind of frequency.
The best alternative is for the BBC Weather App and the MetO App to have push notifications based on the phone's GPS which would warn someone if severe weather is approaching and what precautions to take.
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You have misread my post, I never said there should be a red warning issued beforehand.
I said ''I wonder if the met office will issue an amber alert later or even a red warning?''
I was only asking a question about whether one might be issued later, so hardly makes my argument invalid.
Last summer the MetO issued a wide amber warning across England for severe T-storms. Very little happened. As is the case with this kind of event it is all or nothing. And sometimes it surprises everyone with being a nowcast thing. IMO there is very little point in issuing a red warning for a storm already in progress which is on the move.
I wouldn't be surprised, however, to see certain regions upped to an amber nearer the time as models update.
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*North Leicester
Sun here in south Leicestershire.
Seen this happen about 3 times now.Its stopped now anyway. I follow ATC Leicester on twitter and they said "There's a huge snow storm around the #Leicester area - roads looking very dangerous!"
Not prone to hyperbole then.
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Snow? In Leicester? Gosh.
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Don't worry Andy Leicester snow shield is at 100% operational functionality.As you can see, no problem diverting the snow north and south of here. I have yet to see a flake
Seriously. What is it about Leicester and snow? As if it hits the ring road and bounces off it. Same with thunderstorms in the summer. Rain? Yes. Wind? Yes. Lightning? Not so much.
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Had about 10 minutes of hail which looked more like small ice crystals. On Twitter East Midlands Airport say they are experiencing heavy snow. Can see this band on the radar drifiting slowly SE. Looks like Leicester could miss again.
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MetOffice and BBC Weather app showing snow nearly all day in Leicester tomorrow. Bit of sleet late this evening with heavy snow from mid morning tomorrow becoming lighter then heavier and lighter again throughout the day. Bit surprised I must say.
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Dew Point of -3c at East Midlands Airport, -3c at Watnall north east of Nottingham and -2.1c in Mountsorrel just north of Leicester. Looks like a good set up if the ppn band holds up.
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Annoying thing living in East Mids is I have to sit here for hours watching all your westerners talk about snow before it arrives/fizzles out in Leicestershire
Boxing Day was an annoyance. I live in the centre of Leicester and it started snowing quite heavily. Then it petered out, turned to sleet then rain and nothing remained on the ground. My twitter feed was full of pictures from Nottingham, Mansfield & Loughborough of snow. I shed a single tear and cursed the weather god.
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For a cool headed explanation and discussion of next week this video has clarified a lot for me
Look Ahead - How to be a forecaster (16/1/15): http://youtu.be/PwyStITUtiE
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At work just NE of Leicester centre and it is tipping it down with rain. Dark outside with a bitingly cold feel to the air. Most unpleasant.
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You can see how the stratosphere at 10hPa has shown a recent rise in temperature.
As for further down at 30 hPa not so much
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Warning from Matt Hugo and Recretos on Twitter:
Please RT: 12z GFS is a "red" run, with high data shortage in the inputs. Should be fun
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Hi
I can't see any of those links. Can you upload the pics themselves?
Seen this happen about 3 times now.
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
in Regional
Posted
Interesting in LE4, the "snow" has gotten heavier, the wind has picked up and the side roads are definitely becoming more covered. Still difficult though because it is the fine grainy stuff which just blows in the wind and doesn't stick.