[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

I will make do with 50-60, no downgrades please and a 30 mph upgrade would be fab but 99.9 % unlikely

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

I agree totally, re the met warnings over the years have been great.

Nice to see the warnings out today, thats a lot of rain for the western part of the area !

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Also, whilst we are on the subject, I wonder if the met have to consult various government depts before issuing a red, sadly the very first thing that the government will worry about is 'how much will the storm cost'.

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Those in the far north and western isles must be looking at this thread and thinking ' what on earth is all the fuss about' !

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

It must be that the meto think 'well their well used to it there so no red required' either that or they have a different scale of red warning for those areas, or just calculated on population and how important the local infrastructure is to the economy ??

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Adam, the stormchaser in me wants 'severe anything' lol

I am somewhat obsessed by it all but, injury or deaths is not what anyone wants.

 

I would happily take a good lightning storm with stunning cloud formation over anything else though.

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Yes in met terms, beaufort etc your right its storm force 10, but i always compare storms to those up north and western isles - thats my gauge. If we get 90+ forecast then i will be saying OMG a lot, lol.

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

60-70 mph just about qualifies for the word 'storm' in my book, from imby point of view i would like upgrades but thats not likely.

Ive watched every gfs run on this since it started showing and next time I will not get too excited until the official warnings come out.

[Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat]

I go fishing in Ongar, lovely place.

Sounds like your fence may not be feeling too good after the storm, eek

 

60 mph gusts now showing for our areas.

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Yes its still looking stormy, especially as im now looking at wind maps for the correct time period !! Sorry for that.

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Woops, sorry guys - my bad, was looking at tuesday - wednesday.

Im so used to seeing downgrades I just did a few clicks then closed the browser window with a big sigh.

 

Hastings - 72mph at midnight (on meto wind map), now that almost qualifies as worthy to me

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Eh? It is showing 70+ along the south coast and 60+ well inland

Hi Jules, im going by the latest meto wind map, nothing much above 30 mph

Could be out of date and change a lot next update but ive seen this happen all too many times now.

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Met office wind map now showing maxes of just 30 mph south east, as I expected.

Now where has that interesting little feature for saturday gone....

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Well im still finding this interesting, especially that gfsp chart showing the storm center several hundred miles away (500 ?) from other models.

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Just my opinion, those 60 mph inland gusts for the south east - whats the betting they end up 30 mph !

Still, it looks like the more usual locations could get some very strong gusts worthy of at least a yellow warning soon.

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Thanks, nice to hear of poss 58 mph gusts.

I was hoping for a severe storm but I suppose its good news for less damage and disruption

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

With regards to the above post, oh well there goes my severe wind gusts up noorf.

If the ukmo follows suit tomorrow i will give up all hope on seeing a proper storm next week.

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

And that is what I personally think is likely, with just a breezy spell down south.

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

If wednesdays storm fizzles out into just 30-40 mph gusts in my area I will not be happy at all.

All eyes on the met for the first yellow and see which areas are covered.

[Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat]

12z now showing the strongest winds in different areas again, it will probably keep changing over the next few days.

Someone has mentioned they have a met office friend who says it will be much further north and less severe, im not

going to argue with the words of a met forecaster but, really hope they are wrong.

 

Thanks Chrisbell for that in depth explanation, i will need to read it several times to try and understand it all though

[Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat]

I think it means the air at 1.5 km above us is now getting a lot colder.

Dew point has always confused me, i think its the temperature at which moisture turns to liquid.

 

Both of these and other elements are important for the risk of snow, they have to be at the right levels before it can snow.

 

I may be completely wrong though

[Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat]

Is that showing an 11 degree drop in the upper air ?

I still dont understand charts much.

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Thanks for that, i did use that during the recent storm in scotland but it didnt seem very accurate, are those graphics based on ukmo with human input ?

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Can someone tell me, where can I view ukmo wind gust speed ?

Or is that not available to the public ?

[Atlantic Storm 14th - 15th January]

Blimey, some of these charts really are starting to look very nasty indeed.

Question is, is this storm now well enough inside the reliable timeframe or not quite yet, as in possible huge downgrades ?