civilmeteo
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Posts posted by civilmeteo
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cold without precipitation in the coming days
gefs: control and basic run is same until February 6!.
-10 control run February 6(southeast) http://www.meteoguru.com/pro/ensembles/?latlon=51.51,-0.09
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?code=0&ech=180&mode=1&carte=
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As the control shows there will still be opportunities to get some cold uppers off an Arctic or PM flow. Again favouring the north and hills further south:
Still some GEFS around D11 showing a more western based trough (about 20%) so not ruling out as this can flip flop for several more days yet.
The control run is very good, but the average run is not good.So far it is better to look the average run http://www.meteoguru.com/pro/ensembles/?latlon=51.51,-0.09 -
Gfs ensembles next days ( London)
Difficult to snow
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10 days is far more. The truth is that by the 16th of the month there will be a cold period
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it seems not have wintry pattern yet
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Actually I dοn't unterstand the ensembles. There is great uncertainty.See them also here with a dynamical and a very accurate way!
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Hi Civil,
The 850's are approx 1.5km up - so it's not a good way to see how warm/cold it will be at the surface.
It's actually going to be freezing for the majority. A bit like today.
So + 850's do not indicate warm weather at surface level.
HiBut look at what temperatures have above the sea!There could not be snowed ever with such temperatures in 850hpa -
Quite warm weather in the coming days.+5 in 850hpa!
and Ιt is amazing how deep in Africa descends 0 850hpa
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In the coming days we will have gradually cooling throughout Europe!
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Difficult to see snow on the 27th of the month.
According to the maps( GFS model) only in central England and from the 300m and above.
The precipitation but there is few
Model Output Discussion - 23rd Jan - 12z onwards
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
yesterday was only the control run, today and the basic run,wich reaches -10.5 at February 6. The precipitation even ignored:-)
London http://www.meteoguru.com/pro/ensembles/?latlon=51.51,-0.09