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Tim Goffer

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Posts posted by Tim Goffer

    Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, January Snowstorm said:

    Remember folks over the last few years in particular once patterns establish they tend to repeat! Of course it's usually the Euro High that was doing that over recent times.

    Could it be the year that the Greenland high repeats right in the middle of Winter. What a story this is evolving into!!

    Just out of interest, does anybody know the last time we had a repeating Greenie high?

    BTW Great read as always you guys, keep it up, it's a nice break from the grindstone! 😂

    • Like 1

    Model output discussion - Christmas approaches

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    26 minutes ago, Cold Winter Night said:

    So in summary, up to 120h, UKMO, GEM and ICON have improved upon their previous runs. GFS pretty much the same.

    UKMO 144h was good and 168h is definitely heading in a good direction, although one that was not present in 0z EPS clusters. Let's see what ECM and EPS do with this.

    GEM later on decent, also heading in a new direction.

    GFS loses it, but UKMO+GEM >>>> GFS

    GEFS alright, never expect them to make a move first anyway.

    So, I'd say we've seen improvements so far.
    There are times to throw toys out of the pram, but this afternoon is not that time all.

    Thanks for the summary, it's much appreciated as this place is so confusing sometimes! Still really addictive tho

    • Thanks 1

    Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by Tim Goffer

    5 hours ago, Vmistry said:

    Throwback to the 2018 BFTE when Leicestershire was in this triangle of no warnings

    1D74E00C-C93E-42B8-A0FD-83F63585041E.png

    I remember this! I think we ended up a with small amount of powder snow. I’d take that now tbf! Got a sneaky feeling the snow showers will push further inland than the models are showing ??

    • Like 3
    • Thanks 1
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