YorkshireLiving
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Posts posted by YorkshireLiving
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I think one the main things to draw from the ENS (as above) is how few of them go for any kind of high pressure and none really go for strong high pressure.
So no signal for settled conditions or any kind of euro high really effecting is for the rest of the year.!
This isn't a bad thing btw as it generally indicates a more southerly jet when you get these kinds of ENS.
Thank you for the guidance on these matters I am very interested by the knowledge that you impart I will spend a bit more time comparing ENS with the charts.
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Don't think I have seen such a wide range of option as after the 20 th the GFS at the moment does not know which way to go, ... a sign of possible major change?
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Excellent post I'm dreaming of cold tantalisingly close but not reaching the U.K. There is no sign of zonal weather either. Looking way into the future what do people think of the PV split. is this significant?
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Do you think that with the advent of Chinese model we are entering the new modern version of the space race with each nation trying to outdo the others with the best weather model if that is the case who is the modern day Neil Armstrong? Interesting times I say the more models the better!
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There is quite a big difference between the three main models this morning, I think somewhere between them is the way it will go but as Snowlover stated yesterday the thing to watch is the overall trend: we are now seeing a definite change to what we have now,The PV is moving the big divergence between the ensemble members means that nothing is definite and as many have said (sorry to repeat this) a
change is happening slowly but surely.
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Excellent post Higrade, the issue remains the strong jet until this is weakened any cold will be transitory. The good point is the wide dispersal of possible outcomes.http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=240&mode=1&map=0&archive=0 shows eastern Europe getting the cold. Could a cold pool develop? that could be tapped by an easterly? again the jet is too strong. Still plenty to watch for interesting days. The next 4 -5 days should prove interesting
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Sorry people where do I access GP's updated post? So I can evaluate it in comparison of what currently is predicted by the models. Sorry for not being strictly on thred!
Model Output Discussion - 10th Jan Onwards
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
The warming looks slightly stronger than when I last looked a few days ago. Do others think the same and can someone enlighten me as to timescale for possible (note the word possile) influence on our weather, Thank you.