[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

It was nice to have snow down here but you've got to feel a bit sorry for the Midlands as in the days leading up to the event all the models were showing the front going up to their region. But it wasn't to be and was cruelly snatched away from them just hours beforehand. Whilst we were seeing upgrades they were seeing downgrades. Here's hoping we get another snow event before winter's out and the next one is a nationwide event.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

I just saw a flash of lightning to the north of Gosport.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Snow settling in Gosport. According to the UKMO the secondary feature out in the channel appears to stall over the Solent area.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Just now, Bazray said:

Have been reading the mad thread for months, feels like years, any potential has always been at day ten and never delivered. Literally on the verge of labelling this winter a busted flush and giving up, then BOOM IT DELIVERS.

Funny old game.

So true Bazray. It's nice that the SW and CSE region got the goods instead of the other regions this time.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

I'm wondering if that gap between the main front and the secondary feature will allow enough time for temps to drop off a bit. UKMO forecast a 1C drop from 2C between 2100 and 2200 but were currently at 1C so another 1C drop would be more than welcome.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

The UKMO have us down for heavy snow at 2200 tonight in Gosport. At the moment it's small snow flakes temp 0.9C decreasing -0.4 /hr. DP -0.2C. Snow is settling on garden furniture but not on the ground. Grass Temp: 0.6C. There's an interesting feature of the north of Normandy and I am wondering if that's what the UKMO think is going to be heavy snow at 2200. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Temp 1.4C falling at rate of -1.4C /hr DP 0.1C decreased by -0.6C in last hour. Looking at the UKMO forecast map and netweather radar the heavy ppn is due around 2000 in Gosport and Portsmouth.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Think the UKMO got it slightly wrong. Temp now 1.9C not 4.0C. Falling by -1.7C /hr. DP 0.3C Hopefully they give us an upgrade soon. If you compare the 17:50 netweather radar to the latest image it's clear the rain isn't making in roads as much as it was at first. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Sleet here in the south of Gosport. More snow than rain though. Snow melting on impact. Large flakes of Snow. Temp 2.4C down -0.9 on last 30mins and down -1.6c on last hour. DP 0.5C decreased by -0.7 in last hour. So we're heading in the right direction. Snow not due until later according to UKMO.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

The Met Office have Gosport down for a few hours of rain before heavy snow at 10pm. Temp currently 3.3C decreasing -1.2C/hr DP 0.9C. So hopefully the temp drops low enough before the front has passed through.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

The Temp here is currently 4.5C dereasing by -0.4C /hr DP 1.6C. Temps are what UKMO have forecasted for this time of the day. It looks like it's due to cool down once the rain arrives.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

The Met Office have Gosport down for heavy snow at 2200 and 2300 which seems to tie in with what the EURO4 model shows. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Dew point and temps tumbling here in Gosport now.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Temps appear to have stabilised at 5.4C here in Gosport.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Gosport has been upgraded back to heavy snow. Come on Met Office stop teasing me. I know you said it's knife edge stuff but this feels more like cut throat razor stuff to me.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

I think for this neck of the woods it's going to come down to timing and whether we can lose enough heat quick enough once the sun sets before the front arrives.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

7 minutes ago, Lloyds32 said:

 

Huge temperature difference, locations not far apart. Inland and coastal.

It's interesting that they are forecasting heavy snow for Lee-On-The-Solent beach yet Alverstoke is sleet despite the Lee location being as close to the coast as you can get. I'm beginning to wonder if this is going to be a now-casting event for our location. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

UKMO have downgraded Gosport to sleet. I hope they've got it wrong. Temps have risen to 4.8C increasing at 3.2C /hr. DP 2.2C

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

UKMO website seems to be creaking under the load today.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Just had a brief shower of ice pellets here in the south of Gosport. Sorry Mother Nature it's close but no cigar.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Just a quick question. Do the UKMO normally update their video forecast on their website at about 0930hrs?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Overnight low of -3.8C here in the south of Gosport. Currently 1.6C rising +1.2C /hr DP 0.4C starting to become overcast.. UKMO have updated their forecast and have us down for a couple of hours of heavy snow between 8pm and 10pm and have increased the length of the inclement weather. They were originally going for sleet today but seem to be following the BBC forecast which has been forecasting snow since yesterday. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Gosport has been downgraded to heavy rain tomorrow evening.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

13 minutes ago, Bobafet said:

This will put a smile on everyone’s faces.

 

Just watched it and the whole of South Hampshire and the Isle of Wight has disappeared. That forecast has Gosport firmly under snow yet the website forecast shows sleet. I hope we get an upgrade.

[Model output discussion - 7th January onwards]

4 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

Can we open an IMBY 1 please..

The very annoying...we'll get snow at my house nonsense has already begun!..

C, mon- its gonna come down 2 microscale...as per on our maritime island..with the slightest tweak/adjust..having massive ramifications....

Gets my goat something bad!!!!

We already have IMBY forums. That's what the regional forums are for. But I agree.