[North West England Regional Weather Discussion]

20 minutes ago, Linda said:

Err where???-I'm in Merseyside and now snow here

Me too nothing but 1 speck of sleet mixed in with a lot of rain

[Model Output Discussion 29th December - Into mid-Winter.]

6 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

The Metoffice have been reactive rather than proactive IMO this winter- something I mentioned a couple of weeks back. I think this is due, and has been due, to the lack of steering via drivers such as the MJO. They're relying more on model output...which has been all over the show.

Yes reading the MO 16-30 day forecasts they have only ditched the idea of the easterly today(albeit a low, very low chance), even when there was no sign of said easterly on the models that we could see...Who knows?The easterly has just reappeared on the ECM yesterday and today into the far reaches but maybe we are just playing catch up to the pros..

 

[Model Output Discussion 29th December - Into mid-Winter.]

Huge spread Dutch ens, huge spread ec ens, this time last year it was raining, warmish with no end in sight..2017 = Cold?,dry?,snowy?,icy?, who knows not even the mighty Met..

No sign of wind and rain with warm Temps first few weeks 2017..

Everyone have a nice chilled beer and see what 2017 brings HNY

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

8 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Anyone who says this, for me, must know the answer to this question then...

How long is a piece of a string? 

Double it's length from the middle

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

25 minutes ago, igloo said:

very strong agreement  between the GFS and ECM now at 168h at least its dry and mild instead of rain and mild we may have to wait till next year for something better sadly

 

You must be psychic because there are 3 weeks of December left..