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Xciteuk

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Posts posted by Xciteuk

  1. 21 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

    That's already been debunked. That  was recorded, based on the 0z from Sunday. It was wrong before it was even broadcast.

    It's still rubbish for us this week but cold rain as opposed to warmer rain!

    It's not until Saturday that we get the cold uppers then it's searching for precipitation.

     

    Thanks! Glad to hear it's been debunked

    Trying to follow the model thread with my limited knowledge, but seems the west/north west just doesn't exist in there. All they ever talk about is the north/east/south east/south west (on occasion). Hard to tap into their excitement/make sense of the models as a result - so really appreciate posts from yourself MS and others that cut through the noise, even if it isn't all good news 

    • Like 2
  2. 29 minutes ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

    I have been burnt too many times by easterlies to have any faith in them Good for you guys in the East though

    Not everywhere in the east... On the coast here with a little bit of elevation but not even the beast from the east could deliver to us Not a flake lol As a result I don't have any faith in easterlies either

     

    Just watched the week ahead forecast from last night from the BBC...Horrendous for us next week if that comes off

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  3. 1 hour ago, BFS/BHD said:

    Yeah Pom, Greenfinches have been in decline in recent times. Believe they get a disease from Woodpigeons which prevents them from feeding properly unfortunately. 

    Yeah the disease is called Trichomonosis and was the reason Greenfinches (in particular) took such a blow to the population around 2006/7. Think it was the largest scale mortality of birds due to disease on record (in the UK), and it's continuing to this day to reduce their numbers sadly. They believe woodpigeons, doves etc are prone to the disease, but the main way it infects other birds is through dirty feeders and water containers/baths so it is really important to keep everything clean. Also a good idea is to have multiple feeders (or rotate existing ones) to prevent the build up of contamination in any one area, and to stop a lot of birds gathering on one feeder.

    We had one stuck in our feeder in November, friendly little thing and was hardly scared of us - couldn't believe it! We also had a family of goldfinches and chaffinches, but they've all disappeared recently. Have still got the loyal robins and other wee birds though, and some blackbirds. Love them all but wish our goldfinches would come back lol

    If we get this cold spell at least there's plenty on here looking out for the wee birds

    • Like 6
  4. 1 hour ago, mountain shadow said:

    The downwelling reached the trop a couple of weeks ago when we had a stonking Arctic high.

    Any high latitude blocking will now be due to something else. 

    Ah. My knowledge is very limited, and as a newbie I try to pick up what I can from the more experienced people on here, including yourself MS

    Stodge wrote a post on the focused mod thread back on Saturday 

    When he said the downwelling was to reach the troposphere in the next week, I assumed he meant the SSW... And to be honest I was a bit confused because I've read a few conflicting reports on the topic... However, it gave me a bit if hope that things *might* change in the next week...but we'll see

     

  5. Read from a knowledgable poster in the focussed mod discussion a few days ago that the SSW downwelling is to reach the troposphere this week, but that the models aren't interested, so the advice is to take a break from model watching for maybe a week... that's what I've been trying to do.  The constant excitement of potential cold getting wrote off by mild incursions has been exhausting lol  Hopefully next week will have more encouragment for us!

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