**!!**
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Amazing day for storms in the North East today
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6 minutes ago, Craigers said:
I like how the storms heading to Redcar have better lightning rates than all the storms yes
I'm in Seaton, its unreal
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1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:
Hi and welcome to the forum
that's a nice photo but just help everyone on here where you are from,could you please pop in your location in your profile thanks.
Apologies, currently in seaton, north east england. Will update profile
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Just out of interest what time would people say is best for storms to develop?
Also, what time would you call it quits?
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Eagerly awaiting that massive looking cell around the leeds area here in Stockton-on-Tees. Hope it stays on track.
Hope more to come too!
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15 minutes ago, Nick F said:
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - FRIDAY 26 JUNE 2020
Issued 2020-06-26 07:19:00
Valid: 26/06/2020 0600 - 27/06/2020 0600Forecast Details
Upper trough axis to the W and SW of Britain Friday morning will become increasingly negatively-tilted (NW-SE aligned) and sharpen as it shifts E into western Britain by late evening. Ahead of the trough, a warm/moist plume characterised by high wet bulb potential temperatures (theta-w) of 16-18C will continue to advect north across much of Britain, the plume eventually pushed away eastwards by the approaching upper trough by early Saturday.
The high theta-w plume has destablised overnight in places with elevated thunderstorms breaking out and still ongoing this morning, particularly across Ireland and far west of mainland UK – due to strips of positive vorticity /drier air overrunning western side of plume, while a shortwave trough has brought an area of t-storms across the far SE which will clear by breakfast time.
A very warm and moist surface airmass will reside across much of Britain, with dew points reaching 16-20C. Surface heating of this humid airmass into the high 20s or low 30s (SE England) by this afternoon capped beneath an EML (elevated mixed layer) will produce a ‘loaded gun’ pool of strong potential instability with CAPE values forecast to reach 1000-1900 j/kg this afternoon across inland Britain. Long strip/trough of positive vorticity /dry air aloft (noted on WV imagery) will continue to move E/NE across mainland UK, lift and overrunning of dry air in the mid-levels from this feature along with surface breeze convergence will likely destabilise and release the large reservoir of CAPE and support the development of scattered thunderstorms this afternoon across parts of the Midlands, NE Wales, northern England and into southern Scotland. Further south airmass likely to remain on the whole capped by the EML, but isolated t-storms can’t be ruled out.
Given the large CAPE values forecast across much of Britain, particularly across central, northern and eastern England, isolated large hail (3-5cm diameter) is possible with stronger storms, along with frequent C-G lightning and torrential downpours with rainfall rates of 30-50mm per hour leading to localised flooding. Therefore, have issued a severe storm area covering NE Wales, Midlands and N England.
Elsewhere, thunderstorms are likely to develop, mostly elevated, across the north of Ireland/N. Ireland, southern and western Scotland, hail (isolated 2-3cm), frequent C-G lightning and torrential rain leading to flash-flooding. Isolated elevated thunderstorms breaking out across N France/English Channel/Channel Islands, as another trough/strip of positive vorticity swings in from the SW, could clip SE England this evening.
This evening/tonight – surface low moving in across S Ireland under base of upper trough moving in the SW/W will pull an occluded frontal zone across SW Britain, bringing showers, which could be locally heavy enough to produce isolated lightning.
Issued by: Nick Finnis
Severe Convective Weather & Storms Forecast - Netweather.tv
WWW.NETWEATHER.TVI sit right within that big yellow circle... looking forward to it!
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I have to say this is a fascinating thread to follow and I really do enjoy giving it a read.
Just to confirm my understanding, is the ice in the Arctic seeing a good year this year in terms of reductions in recent years?
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Radar showing some showers intensifying nicely
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Well with Met office radar showing showers pushing east from the sea after a gap and the forecast showing heavy snow around 23:00 is this boring night about to get more interesting?
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Hi guys, fairly new to this.
Is Storm Emma behaving how forecast? What are your predictions for its track, will it push further North? How is this having a impact on the rest of the UK weather?
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Hi guys, fairly new to all this.
Could someone summarise what storm Emma is doing? Is it as predicted? How far North do you reckon it will push?
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Hi, Ive been watching these forums all day and thought I'd ask the question, please note I'm new to all this weather forecasting.
Is there a chance that Storm Emma could push further North? It has already tracked further east than predicted.
The fact that Storm Emma is further East is the storm does pivot west like forecast could we see the tail of the storm?
Far north and northeast of England weather discussion
in Far Nth and NE of England Weather Discussion
Posted
Current temperature in Norton, Stockton around 3° with rain and forecast don't show it dropping overnight so not expecting anything great