[Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?]

Small signals emerging in some of the latest output of an organised snow event Wednesday night further S/SE. One to watch!

[Model Output Discussion - Staying cold into the new year]

Subtle shift north on the 15z ICON vs 12z. Still all to play for near the south coast I think, but snow remains unlikely north of W/E Sussex.

[Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?]

Latest GFS Operational for March 30th 2018 vs December 2nd 2010 - that low to the south looks rather interesting!

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

3 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:

So you are pretty much writing off chances for the whole region?

Not at all, only saying it's showing up strangely on radar, which'll make it hard to tell where real precipitation is and how intense it is.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

I'd be sceptical about anything in the red area, especially intensity-wise. Lots of anaprop it seems. Frustrating since that's where many of the showers will be coming from!

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

Hi, newcomer here (Severe Weather UK on Twitter) - here's my forecast from yesterday for max snow totals between this AM and Sunday PM (0-200m average) - two convergence zones, one around Lincs the other around the Thames estuary (as shown on latest Fax chart) could give showery 10cm+ locally, though something closer to 5cm is more likely even in the heavy zones (hence 40% chance) - some models such as HIRLAM are also picking up on a second organised area of snow affecting southern parts of our region Sunday PM, although only a minority show this. N.B Don't take my map too literally!

         

(Light: 0-3cm) (Moderate: 4-9cm) (Heavy: 10-19cm)

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