cambs_ry
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Posts posted by cambs_ry
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Sudden insane wind right now
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The sun is trying to peek through the cloud here and my word does it feel tropical when it does, the humidity is quite something. Feels ripe for some hefty storms later…
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Precipitation can’t decide what it wants to be today: rain, sleet, snow, hail, graupel… winds are bitterly cold too.
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3 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:
Just walked through town, good grief.
Freezing easterly wind, heavy snow. Still not settling but trying its best.
Really, really grim.
I have just walked from the gay village to Salford and can confirm it is snow, definitely not sleet. Heavy too. Just too wet to settle. Freezing wind too.
Sadly there were no Ubers available.
Just got off the tram at Cornbrook which is miserable at the best of times but this wind is properly bitter!
I live just around the corner and it’s more like wet snow now, freezing level dropping quite rapidly? Still, it would take a lot for anything to settle.
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Begrudgingly given up on any prospect of lying snow here tomorrow morning. Surfaces are drenched after hours of cold rain barely turning to sleet now. Not likely to dip below freezing long enough for even ice to be a problem.
Hard to believe that places just up the road are getting proper snowfall!
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Just now, Joe Bloggs said:
Heavier bursts of snow now in the city centre, bigger flakes. Still no settling though
The variation in intensity is really unusual! Minute to minute it’s going from 2/10 to 7/10. Bit of tease
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Picking up a bit here now but surfaces are too wet for anything to settle after the last few hours of snizzle…
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Very fine snow floating in the air here - bodes well for tomorrow despite models showing the Manchester snow shield in effect?
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Some rapidly intensifying precipitation over Southport making a beeline towards Manchester (here’s hoping!)
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2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
Any Westrely influence is a red flag for me personally.
Very little here and its drip drip drip..
It's wet at 200m mate.
It’s better than nothing, and a rare treat in December…
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One or two amateur weather stations reporting 40C and even 41C to the SE of Cambridge. Probably the area to watch. Would be interesting to see the record broken again at the Botanical Gardens!
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Charlwood, Surrey at 34.8C @ 12:00
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Lots of hair-splitting at the moment, the heat is exhausting enough!
Anyway, the ECM is exhibiting lots of storm potential Tuesday PM for southern England, though the GFS has CAPEs of 2000+ in the north - what’s at play here?
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5 minutes ago, Quicksilver1989 said:
GFS not interested in any eastwards shift on this run! Lets see what tomorrow morning brings...
I concur. I think a lot of models are overdoing the progression of the Iberian low. Recent JMA run seem the most plausible in that regard.
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9 minutes ago, Weather Enthusiast91 said:
I am actually rather looking forward to it as I always get excited over the prospect of breaking records. For that reason, I really hope that it does get to 40 Celsius or above somewhere in the UK.
May I ask why?
Attributing any positive thoughts or feelings to a symptom of our catastrophic climate breakdown seems unfathomable to me and many others, I suspect.
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There is a Cobra meeting today, so that should indicate how seriously our public bodies are taking this. Of course I’m not suggesting many thousands of healthy people will be dropping down dead, but there will be dozens, if not hundreds of heat-related hospitalisations and sadly deaths in vulnerable populations in this extreme albeit brief heatwave.
FWIW, I work in a public health organisation and I am certainly not the first to use the term “mass casualty event” - it isn’t used lightly.
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12 minutes ago, SunnyPlease said:
It will be amazing to feel it in this country, and it’s something that meteorologists etc didn’t think would happen for decades
Provided you’re well hydrated, in good health and have access to a relatively cool space. This is otherwise a dangerous spell of weather.
We’re potentially about to see a mass casualty event. I’ve no doubt the Met Office will upgrade the extreme heat warning to a red in the next 24-48 hours, given the increased likelihood - it’s already at the top of the impact matrix for severity.-
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Had a brief spell of lightning and large hail, currently in a bit of a lull before that more intense cell pushes NE from Northwich/Warrington
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Quite a spectacular and long-lasting hail shower over Manchester, biggest pieces are larger than a thumbnail!
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This is going to fizzle out isn’t it... just like it did with the showers in from the east. Rubbish!
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The sky is gradually dimming here, no flakes yet. Only a slight breeze so hopefully any snow that does fall manages to settle. Will this be it for the season?
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57 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:
I don’t know why everyone rates the metoffice so much. They change there forecast every single day? Last week they were saying very blocked feb and March. Now it’s the complete opposite. You guys put way too much faith into these people.
Complete reversals are rare, it's more continuous refinement based on the evidence available, which itself is constantly evolving in the chaotic system that is weather. That's good science.
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1 minute ago, Garthvader said:
Was working in an apt block off chester road today was grey and bloody freezing, nowt but a bit of dandruff!
One of the DeTrafford developments? I'm right around the corner!
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At this point I'm more interested in how thick the ice can get on the canal I overlook with consecutive sub-zero minima. I'd wager that central Manchester is not getting any lying snow this week.
Edit: this precipitation shadow is incredibly well-modelled I might add (ARPEGE and ICON especially)
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Storm Isha, Amber ⚠️
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Perhaps if it had been in the middle day when people are out and about, a few local red warnings may be warranted. Thankfully, 99% of people are safe in their beds and will wake up to a horizontal wheelie bin or a cancelled train to work at most.