Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

HellItsHot

Members
  • Posts

    114
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by HellItsHot

  1. 11 minutes ago, Jo Farrow said:

    Naming of storms is a communication tool, to highlight a severe event. The MO warnings show the detail of areas/ likelihood and impacts. The winds last night caused power outages in local areas and it sounded lively outside. That the actual storm has yet to arrive has hopefully highlighted to people that maybe travelling home a bit early on Sunday would be a good idea or moving activities a few hours earlier might help today. To prepare outside stuff, NOT to put out the recycling tonight ready for Monday morning pickup (although I see someone in my street has done exactly that)

    Being a 'storm' it's not a medal of highest wind speeds, it's about potential impacts and letting people know to make preparations and, hopefully, informed decisions. Monday morning travel could be impacted, it's nice to to have a heads-up in good time. After the event, the stand-out impactful ones will have an easy label - like Desmond's rain, Arwen's winds and Babet's coastal onslaught. 

    Why anyone would object to weather warnings because of  political correctness’ or any other such nonsense is quite the mystery. 

    • Like 4
    • Thanks 3
  2. Cracking day here again, and the forecast for the next few days is lovely,  21-24 degrees and mainly sunny. 
     

    I like the anticipation and build up to an extreme event like last year’s heatwave, but the experience itself was hellish. I’m pretty chuffed it looks like we’ll escape that this year, looking how S Europe have got on, it may be one of the last years we do. 

    • Like 3
  3. 1 hour ago, Mike Poole said:

    Very little to choose between the ECM clusters T120-T168, all look excellent a week from now:

    IMG_6972.thumb.png.0747a9318f4438957180137f6136d0de.png

    Only one cluster in the next timeframe, so I’ll just show the mean, non too shabby at T240:

    IMG_6971.thumb.png.6c68a0ba8b405a1f39df4bf9d416a4dc.png

    I just wanted to remark on the SSTs.  The seas to the west and south of the UK are much warmer than usual now, as shown by the anomaly:

    IMG_6969.thumb.png.932abe695184b2b62d48435708be0499.png

    It is of interest to compare this with 2 months ago:

    IMG_6970.thumb.png.9481107668e90fcaa967dd2665fd2321.png

    That’s similar to how we came out of winter, a tad above average in most places.  Where’s all this heat come from?  Particularly in Iberia, they’ve had the southern arm of the jet bringing dross there recently.  I think it must be that really unseasonal warmth down there in early-mid spring that has made the difference.  I think the SST anomaly will now be important for summer, potential for more potent storms, but also it is part of a positive feedback loop, which could set in train big heat for the continent from now on.  And for the UK, I always think the continental influence on our weather is made that bit greater in summer by warmer seas in this area to our south and west.

     

    I love my hot sunny weather, but nevertheless charts like these really worry me. From my layman’s knowledge the oceans have done a great job in absorbing a lot of the heat from ACG. If they’re becoming anomalously warm then obviously their ability to do that is reduced. 
     

    Feedback loops under those circumstances are very much not our friend. 

    • Like 2
    • Insightful 1
  4. After yesterday’s lovely sunshine, more dross off the North Sea making it feel more like March than June. 
     

    Given the high doesn’t seem to move too much, why are we getting such stark differences in conditions from day to day? What influences how far inland the cloud cover gets and how fast it is to retreat during the day? 

    • Like 1
  5. For all the justified moaning about the endless nor easterly it must be said that where and when the sun does appear the conditions are pretty much perfect; gentle breeze, reasonable temps, cool nights. The cycling today in Shropshire/Mid Wales was fantastic. 
     

    Apparently picking up tomorrow in Lincs/E England so thumbs up all round. 

  6. ‘The WMO released its State of the Global Climate report for 2022 this week, which again highlighted the ongoing rise in global temperatures. But despite this, individual regions can still be colder than average, as the UK will be into next week. Read the full update here’
     

    Haha if anything sums up the UKs weather better than this I’ve yet to see it. Also ‘New Ice Age upon us, but UK winter temperatures stay above normal’. 

    • Like 2
  7. 1 hour ago, Nick L said:

    I do worry we're on course for severe water issues this summer.

    Apologies if this has been asked and answered before, but is there anything about climate change that leads to weather patterns getting ‘locked in’ as anecdotally that’s what seems to be happening? 

    • Like 3
  8. Before I knew anything about weather models I would have said anecdotally that this country is often freezing cold in the winter but only rarely gets a decent amount of snow. 
     

    With climate change we’re seeing less of the former and much less of the latter so the current output is definitely a bonus, but snow would be fantastic at this time of year. 

    • Like 1
  9. I suppose it’s possible to be massively looking forward to some proper winter weather AND have concern for the most vulnerable, AND fret about bills, AND worry about whether gas/electric might be rationed. 
     

    In the binary world of the internet it is sometimes forgotten that you can have more than one thought at a time. 

    • Like 5
    • Thanks 1
  10. August bank holiday is the worst bank holiday. Signals the end of summer, longer nights and more spiders. 
     

    Plus this year we have the added terror of gas bills we might have to sell a kidney to be able to pay. I’m not sure I’ll be welcoming those ‘nailed on’ easterlies this year. 

    • Like 2
  11. The models seemingly set on extending the dry weather. Is there anything about climate change which suggests that weather will get ‘stuck’ more often? Certainly anecdotally it appears that nowadays we have feast or famine when it comes to dry warm/cool wet spells. 

    • Like 1
  12. 1 hour ago, Calneee said:

    He’s a moron because he questions the narrative? Regardless of your views on his mental capacity, I used the graphic as an example to show that in the past we didn’t seem to alarm the country as much as we do nowadays when we hit some hot weather🤷‍♀️

    That guy talks rubbish on a whole variety of issues but here he makes whatever point he thinks he’s making by…showing weather forecasts with different graphics? When is the forecast on the left even from? 
     

    You can choose to be alarmed or not by 40 degrees in the UK, but let’s not pretend it wouldn’t always have been a newsworthy event. 

    • Like 1
×
×
  • Create New...