[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards]

Rainy and dreech in Glasgow, but no signs of convection none of the ingredients are there to produce anything exciting.  I think the last time I heard thunder was the first month of Autumn

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Really squally rain in Glasgow last hour or so, accompanied by wind gusts nudging 50mph or so.  Hope to see some lying tomorrow morning certainly long overdue!

[Storm Dudley - Weds 16th and Thurs 17th]

I reckon this will be the windiest storm of the season for my location (Glasgow).  It will probably undergo explosive cyclogenesis on Tuesday and I wouldnt put inland wind gusts of 70mph, 75mph at a stretch out of the equation.

[Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread]

This winter, and what looks like coming is pure, unadulterated mince for coldies.

[Scotland Weather discussion]

1 hour ago, Stormeh said:

If this was the London area then red warnings would probably be in place. It’s always the same, I think it’s very poor the way the met office handle their warnings for Scotland.

I agree unfortunately I had to nip out to the pharmacy decided to leave the car as its RWD.  Big mistake! Near to my house there is a hill with a gradient of about 1:15 (1 meter up for every 15 travelled) and it was bedlam.  No grit in sight, hard coating of black ice on the road with cars skidding all over the place.  Witnessed from the bus about 5 serious crashes in the mile and a half travelled before it reached a sliding standstill at a hill and driver could do nothing.  So I walked the remaining ¾ mile.  About 2' lying snow, Glasgow East. Roads treacherous but seems to be turning slushy as of now.  If this were London or home counties it would be a red warning; unquestionably.  Here is a pic of my back garden. As you can see it's starting to melt now but was easily double this in depth two hours ago.  Must have been a squall of wind as my table and chairs blew over-- was probably a fox or something.

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Very very light dusting of snow in Glasgow, East. Barely lying. 1.9°

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Merry Christmas everyone! 1.6* in Glasgow, but feels a bit colder due to easterly wind. Once again, the seemingly never ending foggy overcast engulfs my part of the city. Dreich is a perfect word to sum up the conditions.

[General Volcanic Activity Thread!]

Jeez looks like a 4 at least.

[Early run up to Winter 2021/2022 discussion]

18 hours ago, MP-R said:

Indeed. The only saving grace of 88-89 being how much drier it was. Very boring though.

I was born 22-4-89 and I my mum recalls it being very snowy? (Glasgow). Is that true, or was that just the morphine

[Storm Arwen]

East of Glasgow and I cant recall hearing the wind roar like that for some time.  Could hear it hammering on my door with the chain rattling for a good two to three hours.  This normally doesnt happen due to the position of my front door, although I think due to the unique position of the storm in the north sea the isobars had the winds going  like the @ sign , affecting areas that are normally naturally protected. I'll need to see figures but a sustained gust of 45-55mph would not surprise me.  Only mild precipitation, but made feel much worse  by the wind.  Current temp 2° sky clear, reckon that is the end of it.  Was good to enjoy instead of the usual banal zonality we are used to.  Bring on the next one--preferably with snow included!

Edit:Checked UKMO, highest recorded gust was indeed 55mph, however that's at Glasgow Bishopton-which is some ten miles west from here.  From that I'd hazard a guess my location may well have saw 60mph.  Cheers folks

 

[Autumn 2021 - Moans, Ramps & Chat]

UKMO just issued two yellow warnings for wind, the first covering whole of Scotland down to Cumbria and parts of NI.  First is for Friday midday to midnight.  The second warning extends the location to cover essentially the whole of the UK bar a small portion of Kent/E.Anglia.  Going to be a wild weekend.  I bet they got into their offices and looked at the updated models and thought Oh Crap!  Some coffee may have been spilled also 

extending further south through the evening across the rest of Scotland, Northern Ireland and some exposed coasts of northern England. The location and strength of the very strongest winds remains uncertain. However, gusts seem likely to reach 50 to 60 mph widely, with 70 to 80 mph possible in coastal locations, particularly in parts of Scotland.

[Model output discussion - closing in on Winter]

17 hours ago, Ali1977 said:

I’m gathering this is a good sign for coldies , heading Into phase 7 with amplitude?

I have always struggled to get my head around the MJO and ENSO until I found this allegory/description.  I hope it helps similarly MJO challenged folk as myself!

 

Imagine ENSO as a person riding a stationary exercise bike in the middle of a stage all day long. His unchanging location is associated with the persistent changes in tropical rainfall and winds that we have previously described as being linked to ENSO. Now imagine another bike rider entering the stage on the left and pedaling slowly across the stage, passing the stationary bike (ENSO), and exiting the stage at the right. This bike rider we will call the MJO and he/she may cross the stage from left to right several times during the show.

So, unlike ENSO, which is stationary, the MJO is an eastward moving disturbance of clouds, rainfall, winds, and pressure that traverses the planet in the tropics and returns to its initial starting point in 30 to 60 days, on average.

[Model output discussion - closing in on Winter]

2 hours ago, Ed Stone said:

Good morning, folks. And welcome to another day of 'will it snow in. . ?'. Well, the GFS 00Z operational run looks to remain amplified. But the question is: will that amplification be in the desired

And take a look at all those temporal/thermal shifts within the GEFS ensembles? Are they not enough to make even the pros want to 'sit on the fence'?

   

Looking at the above ensembles, from about 30/11 it's impossible to draw any conclusions right now.  I am certainly sitting on the fence, leaning to the colder and snowier than average winter end given the signals we have had from multiple indicators in the run up to today.    (This is my answer to the above quote, I have no idea how to separate my comments from the quote-thats why I put it in bold. I am using the app, if that helps)

 

[Model output discussion - closing in on Winter]

I must say here in Glasgow on my daily morning walk to the shop I saw something in the sky that I havent for nearly a year-con trails!  A real abundance of them and I know roughly air temp must be -50c for them to form...so in the mid trop it's certainly cooling--I have went a few walks in the last weeks with a clear sky and surface temps around 5*--no contrails.  Forgive my ignorance but what chart gives temps for Fl30-40? Glad to be riding the winter train again with you all...eight years ago I'd be waking up a hungover student with a banging headache having if lucky, ridden something else   How time changes you!

Would good to see the MJO get into phase 8, I believe there to be a fair prospect of this happening.

 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Glasgow East absolutely hammered by streamers. 3.8 inches in my garden, beautiful untouched snow.  Still pelting down, stunning to watch.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Got a bit over excited for this event, transpired into sleety wet snow and temp 1.1°  Glassgow East.. 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Please make the confirmed SSW lead to a BFTE for us and give the whole of ??? a real dumping of that lovely fluffy Scandi type snaw 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Woke up to this wonderful pre sunrise  scene (do we call it twilight in the morning?), and decided I had to go a walk for some excercise. Glasgow east, temp -5.2. Got about half an inch overnight One pic facing east, other to the west.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

27 minutes ago, Norrance said:

Thick black ice here too and even slippier than the previous lot. I just gave up on trying to walk to the local shop. Watched my neighbour struggle to get his car out of the street and he is an advanced police driver.
Anyone know how the main roads are and also the side roads in Glasgow? My daughter is supposed to be driving through there to start work tomorrow and is getting a bit panicky about

Any side areas are like an icerink, black ice alert! This is east glasgow 1 min from a main A road.  Temp 1.7 feels like -2.  I nearly slipped going out to take this picture, all in the name of meteorology lol!

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

Pretty wild in Glasgow right now I presume it to be the arrival of Bella.  Temp on waking was 5.9°, gusts of 55mph predicted.  Would have thought UKMO would have extended their yellow warning to cover Glasgow-Edinburgh reigon and south.

 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

Thanks to everyone who helped me with my question, it's great to be in a community that you truly feel part of.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

6 hours ago, Norrance said:

Here is a link to Pauls explanation of dewpoint in the learning area. Hope that helps a bit. https://www.netweather.tv/forum/learning/basics/dewpoint-r81/?do=getNewComment&d=1&id=81
There are many other subjects in the learning area that may also be of use. Our expert on wet bulb and its importance for snow to fall in the Regional thread is @Hawsey 

edit. See that I was beaten to it. There are very helpful people in this thread.

Thanks bud, I appreciate you pointing me in the right direction. Will give it a thorough read

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

Could someone be kind enough to explain the relationship between dewpoint,temp and snow please? I understand pretty well other concepts like the ensembles, synoptics, el/la nina/nine, SSW,MJO,NAO etc. I just cant seem to get my head round it. It's like a block (no pun intended lol).  I've tried google and things but like I said it's like a total block on the concept for me.  Thanks so much if anyone can help.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

This is Glasgow east, elevation about 55m asl at 10.06AM.  It's about 2 to 3 cm.  Was a delightful surprise, went out a walk for a paper and it's hard snow underfoot.  for low dews and north sea convection tonight and enough wind to blow it east into the colder air the charts are showing in the clyde valley :).  Spot the squirrel in the pic lol.

[Model output discussion - into the start of Winter]

Forgive me for asking here, but which month is typically best for north sea temps. to be at their lowest?