SunnyDazee
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Posts posted by SunnyDazee
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On 19/04/2019 at 19:48, Weather26 said:
12.0C and 125mm Please-I'm currently getting 2007 vibes with this current weather
I’m actually getting 2018 vibes. Just seen a 6 month outlook based on the CFS and it’s roasting, absolutely roasting through May, June and July. August was above average warmth and rain, September was warm and October was warm. They have been quite accurate recently too. Obviously August, September or October are harder to read into but the signs for early summer is that it’s gonna be roasting. I’d say 2018 part 2. As for May I’ll go 13.3 degrees and 61mm please.
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Course we go outside to enjoy it. Like I said on a previous post, I have raynauds so unless it’s 10 degrees plus, my hands become unusable and discoloured and it’s extremely painful. I’d like 20 degree weather all year round ideally. I’d prefer a warm winter than a snowy cold one
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27.1 degrees, Kent (Gravesend)
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3 hours ago, Earthshine said:
I have the same! Can be very painful especially in windy, cold weather. Unlike the majority, I can also sleep comfortably in temperatures 30C+ (indoor temperature that is). Perfect day of weather for me would be the following:
Morning: 15-20C and clear blue skies. Calm and the birds are singing.
Afternoon: Rising to 30-36C, a few cumulus clouds to give a little shelter from direct sunlight. Larger cumulus congestus clouds forming too in the humid air and instability.
Evening: Cooling off to 20-25C. Large thunderstorms breaking out and epic lightning shows.
Overnight: No cooler than 15C. Clear skies allowing for some astrophotography!
A fellow Raynauder! Yeah it’s preety painful in cold weather, I can’t even move my hands when it drops below 5 degrees and I’m out for too long. Gloves don’t work either my hand just goes numb, purple and sore. It’s horrid and you can’t really get used to it either so I just hope for warm weather personally or run my hands under the shower or tap to warm them up first, that tends to help them stay warmer for longer though, but yes it’s horrid
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I have Raynaud’s phenomenon, my blood vessels constrict in the cold weather and my hands turn pretty weird colours, if I’m out too long my hands turn a reddy purple. I absolutely hate winter because of this, so I’d have to say my favourite weather is the blistering summer heat for sure
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Boys and girls I’ve just seen the BCC three month 500 hPa forecast, and oh my goodness if it’s true, and it’s a big if, this summer is gonna be scolding and dry, another hot summer in a row! Who likes hotter and who likes cooler weather here?
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7 hours ago, Don said:
Don’t worry, I’m sure there will be plenty of heat during the next few months!
In before 2012 part 2 lol
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6 hours ago, Azazel said:
Been a very depressing Spring so far and we’re nearly half way through. Getting bored of having to have the heating on all the time.
It’s been the exact same all the way through. I can count 2 warm days since February. It’s not been a cold weather lovers dream because there’s been no snow and it gets up to 11-12 degrees in the day, but it’s been negatives at night, and not just in the countryside. The heating bills are gonna be through the roof. When you throw in compressions around this time last year we were getting 20 degrees at least for 3-4 days and now we’re getting 12. I’m in my winter coat a lot of the time and there’s a reason it’s a winter coat and not an april coat
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24 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:
Monday 15 Apr - Wednesday 24 Apr
There is reasonably high confidence in the general trend next week. Monday looks mostly dry with some sunshine, although temperatures will be below average with a cold east to southeasterly wind. Rain may edge in across the far west and southwest. From Tuesday to Thursday the weather is generally likely to become more changeable from the south and southwest, with most areas seeing some rain. However, the far north could stay drier and brighter. Temperatures should rise to average, turning locally rather warm in the south and west. Confidence reduces markedly during Easter and the start of the following week. However, the weather looks mixed with rain and some sun at times, the rain becoming most likely towards the northwest. Temperatures will trend from slightly above average to nearer normal.
Thursday 25 Apr - Thursday 9 May
Confidence is low. The weather is most likely to be rather mixed with showers or longer spells of rain, the most widespread of which is expected to affect northwestern parts of the United Kingdom. However, all areas can also expect some drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures are generally likely to be near or slightly above normal during this period, but with some marked day on day variations, as often happens at this time of the year.
RIP to the drier and warmer weather that was predicted even yesterday on the long range forecast
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I’ve just seen some Easter weather charts. Good Friday and Easter Saturday looking nice, Easter Sunday and Monday look absolutely rank weather wise, looking at highs of 1 degree in Scotland and 6-7 degrees in most of England and Wales, 8-9 degrees in the south and southeast . This “hot spell” we’ve been rumoured for having since mid March is being pushed back further and further I swear. What do you guys think about this weather? It’s genuinely not getting warmer than January and February apart from the odd sunny days
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6 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
My thoughts are early summer, May June early July will be hot. I'm not going to make any prediction about August!
Just the thought of it gets me looking forward to it! Fingers crossed we’re both predicting it right
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19 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
Yes, that is my bet too, and has been for a while, if you factor in seasonal model predictions, GWO towards phase 6, sea surface temperatures than in my view it warrants a prediction of a hot summer with the jet stream north of the UK at least at the start. I still think there could be more thundery episodes this year compared to last which was very dry.
I agree with this mate. Looks like summer could be thundery from some of the weather charts I’ve seen. Hot and wet. Do you expect early summer to be warm and it to last a while or do you think it’ll take most of June to get kicking but once it does July and August will be good? Today has been warm in Wigan temps of 16 degrees. The forecasts are looking slightly less gloomy for the week as the days go by too. Good signs for sure
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4 minutes ago, markyo said:
Really loving the current weather,enjoying the fresh feel to the days,long me it continue....though i doubt it will
I’d hope so too Mark, doesn’t look like good news for this week though. Winter coat back out again for me
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I was watching a few weather forecasts from this time last year. They are actually rather similar. The week beginning the 9th April had easterly winds following a nicer weekend than the week before. Temperatures were suppressed to high single digits like what is expected this week. Then what is Easter this year (around 20th April) had some very nice weather, before turning cooler again until the beginning of May when the weather improved and we had the hottest May Day bank holiday. Couple this with the 45% chance that the next 3 months will be quite a bit warmer than average, and only 5% chance it will be much colder than average from the Met Office 3 month outlook. Something to watch out for, could the U.K. really have 2 good summers in a row? Hasn’t happened since the 90’s at least, or even 75/76 if you wanna go back that far
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1 minute ago, karyo said:
It is only looking chilly for the first week or so. Hardly anything noteworthy from what i can see.
If we manage a below average month it will be almost a miracle given recent temperature trends.
I’m not necessarily expecting below average. Maybe less above average is a better way to put it. However not much above 11 degrees is expected in the north apart from this weekend until Easter. It’s been 2-3 degrees at night. So it will be a rather cool April in my opinion, especially if late April isn’t too particularly warm either
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Looking like a pretty chilly April indeed. Wonder how it will be compared to ‘89. Recently we’ve been able to rely on May for some nice weather, hopefully it comes up trumps again
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2 hours ago, SLEETY said:
frustrating because i’m a golfer and when spring arrives ,instead of expecting warmer weather ,instead now it’s normally colder than the majority of the winter lol and freezing trying to play around of golf for 4 hours
I’m with you lol. Waking up in the morning and going for runs is just a massive pain when it’s 2 degrees but feels like -3 in April for goodness sakes, I’d understand if it was January. I think one thing is for sure in this country now, the second half of the year is much warmer than usual, and the first is cooler (maybe not by overall temperature compared to the average, but not increasing by as much and with quite strong winds at times). Anyways I’m hoping these Easterly winds mean us folk on the West get some decent weather for a little bit
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2 minutes ago, SLEETY said:
that’s why it going to get cold now,such a mild winter,always thought the spring would be cold ,amazing how many perfect winter charts we get in springtime instead.
Frustrating for people that chase cold all winter,only for it arrive in spring AGAIN!
Quite possibly February to May is the new winter as such, more winterly weather than December to February in the last few years
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Just now, Scorcher said:
Yes that was the odd thing about April that year- it followed on from that exceptional March. The first half of May was also very cold before a late warm spell saved it.
Glad it’s cleared up! I hope we have something like that this year but it’s not looking brilliant so far off the models ive seen. We’ve had a relatively mild year so far however there was a few days where the thermometer didn’t go above 0 degrees, and a few where it went above 15 degrees. All in all it’s not really been too brilliant weather wise and it doesn’t look likely apart from a little spell in mid April. I’m slightly concerned about it. Unsettled summer usually means big floods too
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I’d also be extremely disappointed should we have a poor spring and poor summer. From what I seen before, March was the wettest month for a year, breaking a long spell of less than average rainfall. Said spells are supposedly hard to break, indicating an unsettled summer. 2012 is springing to mind already. Supposedly gonna get some nice weather in mid April, but that’s the only long term sight of high pressure. I’m not feeling very optimistic. Might be a rainy and cool one
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1 hour ago, Scorcher said:
Really? Not sure where that Met Office figure comes from- there was an exceptional warm spell in March in 2012 when that sort of temperature was recorded in Scotland, but the warm spell was well and truly over by the time April came- I can't see anything in the records anywhere near that warm in April 2012.
Ahhhh must have read March 2012 by accident, my apologies mate!
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2 hours ago, Scorcher said:
Things can shift very quickly in April- within a couple of days we could see a flip to 20C+ temperatures with the right setup, and the change could happen at quite short notice. You may remember that April last year started cold and just beyond mid-month. There was no 20C in 2012 by the way- the highest temperature was 19.7C I believe which fell short. Also 2006 only managed 19.7C I believe.
It would be remarkable if February recorded 20C and April didn't in the same year!
Actually on the met office website it read 23.6 degrees in Aberdeenshire in 2012. It did read 19.7 in 2006 though that is right.
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1 hour ago, Scorcher said:
Things can shift very quickly in April- within a couple of days we could see a flip to 20C+ temperatures with the right setup, and the change could happen at quite short notice. You may remember that April last year started cold and just beyond mid-month. There was no 20C in 2012 by the way- the highest temperature was 19.7C I believe which fell short. Also 2006 only managed 19.7C I believe.
It would be remarkable if February recorded 20C and April didn't in the same year!
Thanks for the response! As I’ve said I think it’s felt cold just from gut instinct. Certainly feels colder than Winter right now. Is April the month when it usually gets warmer then towards the end? It’s been about 6.5-7 degrees today near Manchester. No sunny skies at all and a quite brisk wind. Add to that the heaviest rain I’ve seen for a while and some hail. I can’t really remember early last year just because of the lovely heatwave. Hopefully it cheers up a bit soon I’ve got a set of shorts that haven’t been worn yet lol. Any indications of the early Summer weather yet? May/June?
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Hiya everyone! I know next to nothing about weather but I’m trying to learn more and more as I go along and so I’ve come to a place where people clearly know their stuff. A couple of questions. Is this April colder than December so far? And secondly, do we think the possibility that the temperature doesn’t reach 20 degrees will happen? Hasn’t happened since 1989 I don’t think, but the weather has been bitterly cold 6 degrees or so, and the forecast doesn’t show particularly warm weather in the future from what I’ve seen. Thanks
Spring 2019 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
I very much doubt it’s gonna be very wet. It’s false hope anyways for people who want it to be wet. CFS models, which get slated but have recently been very accurate have mid to late May, June and July looking fantastic, August warm and wet, September warm and October relatively warm. A lot has changed since 2007 anyways. That was a once in a generational event. Heatwaves are far more likely than mass floods in the summer nowadays